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Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Phénomènes Climatiques en rapport avec le Soleil. Le cycle 24 devrait être faible, voici une question majeure sur l'influence climatique de notre prochaine decennie.

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 29 mai 2022, 03:46

3 région(s) active(s) RA 3021 , 3023 , 3024 et 4 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 43 / 15 observatoires
NOAA -> 34
SWPC -> 37
Flux solaire -> 102
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13017 [N13W79] rotated partly out of view and was mostly quiet. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 12:00 UT
Region 13019 [N16W33] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13020 [S21W06] was quiet and stable.
Region 13021 [N12E03] developed slowly and was mostly quiet.
Region 13022 [S08E16] was quiet and stable.
Region 13023 [S14E39] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flares: C1.3 @ 15:43 UT
Region 13024 [S33E43] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 00:39, C1.4 @ 19:33 UT

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7580 [S14W21] reemerged with tiny spots.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 30 mai 2022, 03:51

3 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3025 et 12 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 36 / 12 observatoires
NOAA -> 42
SWPC -> 46
Flux solaire -> 98
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13019 [N12W45] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13020 [S27W21] decayed with only tiny spots still visible.
Region 13021 [N12W10] decayed slowly and was unstable. C1 flares: C1.8 @ 19:04 UT
Region 13022 [S08E03] was quiet and stable.
Region 13023 [S13E26] gained a few spots and was quiet.
Region 13024 [S33E31] was quiet and stable.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7595 [N28W37] was mostly quiet and stable.
S7596 [N20E12] was quiet and stable.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 31 mai 2022, 03:49

3 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3025 et 10 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 58 / 18 observatoires
NOAA -> 40
SWPC -> 44
Flux solaire -> 101

Image
n 96.1 s 108.7

Region 13021 [N13W24] was mostly quiet and stable.
Region 13022 [S07W12] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13023 [S13E12] lost small spots while the 2 major spots seem to be merging into a single penumbra.
Region 13024 [S33E18] was quiet and stable.
New region 13025 [N28W50] emerged on May 27 and was numbered by SWPC 2 days later. The region developed after noon on May 29 as new flux emerged.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7596 [N16E01] was quiet and stable.
New region S7598 [S19E43] emerged early in the day and decayed slowly after noon.
New region S7600 [N22W68] emerged after noon with a few spots.
New region S7601 [N10W31] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7602 [N19E50] emerged with a tiny spot.
New region S7603 [S28E02] was observed with a tiny spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 01 juin 2022, 04:23

3 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3025 et 9 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 70 / 23 observatoires
NOAA -> 39
SWPC -> 43
Flux solaire -> 98
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13022 [S08W24] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13023 [S13W01] was quiet and stable.
Region 13024 [S33E07] was quiet and stable.
Region 13025 [N28W64] developed slowly and was mostly quiet.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7598 [S18E30] developed slowly again after noon.
S7600 [N22W81] was quiet and stable.
New region S7604 [S14E20] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7605 [N16W08] emerged with tiny spots.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 02 juin 2022, 03:40

4 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3026 , 3027 et 19 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 65 / 23 observatoires
NOAA -> 59
SWPC -> 65
Flux solaire -> 104
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13022 [S06W39] was quiet and stable.
Region 13023 [S13W13] was quiet and stable.
Region 13024 [S33W06] was quiet and stable.
Region 13025 [N28W78] decayed slowly and quietly.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7598 [S16E18] was quiet and stable.
S7605 [N18W22] developed further, has many spots, and could soon become capable of C class flaring.
New region S7606 [N29E68] emerged with a tiny spot.
New region S7607 [S50E02] emerged in the afternoon at a high latitude and with reversed polarities. Initially tiny trailing spots were visible, however, only a tiny leading polarity spot was visible by the end of the day.
New region S7608 [N27E26] emerged with tiny spots.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 02 juin 2022, 03:50

Moyennes provisoires mai 2022
WDC silso -> 96.5
NOAA SSN -> 96.1
Star SDO MSN 1k -> 108.3
Flux solaire -> 133.8
Index Ap -> 7.5
Eruption solaire -> 335 C : 21 M et 2 X
vent solaire -> max 627 km/s mini 282 km/s

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It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 03 juin 2022, 04:48

4 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3026 , 3027 et 19 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 63 / 20 observatoires
NOAA -> 59
SWPC -> 65
Flux solaire -> 101
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13023 [S13W28] was quiet and stable.
Region 13024 [S33W18] was quiet and stable.
New region 13026 [N17W38] emerged on May 30 and was numbered by SWPC 2 days later as the region continued to develop. The region has minor polarity intermixing.
New region 13027 [S16E04] emerged on May 29 and was numbered by SWPC 3 days later as new flux emerged.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 04 juin 2022, 04:14

4 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3026 , 3027 et 12 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 58 / 21 observatoires
NOAA -> 52
SWPC -> 57
Flux solaire -> 101
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13023 [S13W40] was quiet and stable.
Region 13024 [S33W30] was quiet and stable.
Region 13026 [N17W52] produced several B flares and displayed some growth in the leader spot, while decay was observe din the trailing spot section.
Region 13027 [S16W10] was quiet and stable.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
New region S7609 [S23E44] was observed with tiny spots in an old plage area.
New region S7610 [S11W55] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7611 [N12E45] emerged with a tiny spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 05 juin 2022, 05:13

6 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3026 , 3027 , 3028 , 3029 et 15 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 70 / 20 observatoires
NOAA -> 75
SWPC -> 83
Flux solaire -> 101
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13023 [S13W53] was quiet and stable.
Region 13024 [S34W43] developed after noon as new flux emerged in the southern section.
Region 13026 [N16W67] decayed further in the trailing spot section and was quiet.
Region 13027 [S16W23] decayed slowly and quietly.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7609 [S24E28] was quiet and stable.
New region S7612 [S11W00] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7613 [S18E75] rotated into view with a small spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 06 juin 2022, 03:43

5 région(s) active(s) RA 3023 , 3024 , 3026 , 3027 , 3029 et 7 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 50 / 14 observatoires
NOAA -> 57
SWPC -> 63
Flux solaire -> 99
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13023 [S13W67] was quiet and stable.
Region 13024 [S33W56] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13026 [N16W81] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13027 [S16W38] decayed slowly and quietly.
New region 13028 [N14E52] emerged with tiny spots early in the day, then began to decay.
New region 13029 [S18E61] rotated into view on June 3 and was numbered the following day by SWPC.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7609 [S26E20] was quiet and stable.
S7612 [S11W13] was quiet and stable.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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