{"id":664,"date":"2011-12-04T23:00:00","date_gmt":"2011-12-04T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/?p=664"},"modified":"2011-12-04T23:00:00","modified_gmt":"2011-12-04T22:00:00","slug":"conference-de-durban-a-quoi-sattendre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/conference-de-durban-a-quoi-sattendre\/","title":{"rendered":"Conf\u00e9rence de Durban : \u00e0 quoi s&rsquo;attendre ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"663\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/mechants-climatosceptiques-et-horribles-rechauffistes\/climat\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/climat.gif?fit=80%2C50&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"80,50\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"climat\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/climat.gif?fit=80%2C50&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-663\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/climat.gif?w=120\" border=\"0\" alt=\"climat\" title=\"climat\"  style=\"float: left;\" \/>lien fourni par <a href=\"..\/html\/phpBB3\/memberlist.php?mode=viewprofile&amp;u=61\">Hldesign<\/a> &#8211; La France, selon Serge Lepeltier, ambassadeur fran\u00e7ais en charge des n\u00e9gociations sur le changement climatique, veut \u00eatre \u00e0 la pointe pour d\u00e9fendre la reconduction du protocole de Kyoto. La question du nucl\u00e9aire n&rsquo;est pas abord\u00e9e dans les n\u00e9gociations : chaque pays d\u00e9cide lui-m\u00eame de son mix \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique; la n\u00e9gociation porte donc sur des engagements de limitation des gaz \u00e0 effet de serre, mais chaque pays engag\u00e9 d\u00e9cide lui-m\u00eame de la fa\u00e7on dont il op\u00e8re pour y aboutir. Avec tout ceci, le GIEC revoie \u00e9galement sa copie&#8230; <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Il faut que les pays engag\u00e9s dans la premi\u00e8re p\u00e9riode du protocole de Kyoto qui se termine en 2012 renouvellent leur engagement, et qu&rsquo;un accord global soit trouv\u00e9 y compris avec les pays r\u00e9fractaires (Japon, Canada, Russie&#8230;) et \u00e9mergents (Inde, Chine, Br\u00e9sil&#8230;). En effet, certains de ces pays qui s&rsquo;\u00e9taient engag\u00e9s \u00e0 limiter leurs \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre ne souhaitent pas s&rsquo;engager dans une deuxi\u00e8me p\u00e9riode.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Sans entrer dans les d\u00e9tails scientifiques, retenons en substance que le climat pourrait s&rsquo;auto-r\u00e9guler, ce que l&rsquo;on appelle la variabilit\u00e9 naturelle climatique, li\u00e9e \u00e0 des cycles naturels (solaires, oc\u00e9aniques, etc&#8230;), et que le poids des activit\u00e9s humaines pourrait s&rsquo;av\u00e9rer moins pr\u00e9pond\u00e9rant que ce que l&rsquo;on pouvait croire. Le climat pourrait donc \u00eatre moins sensible \u00e0 une augmentation du taux de CO2.<\/span><\/span><\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><strong>On est loin, d\u00e9sormais, des pr\u00e9visions alarmistes des premiers rapports du GIEC qui envisageaient une hausse de +3\u00b0 \u00e0 +6\u00b0 des temp\u00e9ratures plan\u00e9taires \u00e0 l&rsquo;horizon 2100 ! le chiffre aujourd&rsquo;hui annonc\u00e9 par ces m\u00eames chercheurs est plut\u00f4t proche de +2\u00b0C. Certains climatologues envisagent m\u00eame une baisse du climat mondial \u00e0 partir de la d\u00e9cennie 2020 ! <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Variabilit\u00e9 naturelle du climat<\/p>\n<p>Contrairement aux conclusions des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents rapports du GIEC, de nombreux climatologues pensent d\u00e9sormais qu&rsquo;un doublement du CO2 dans l&rsquo;atmosph\u00e8re conduirait \u00e0 une \u00e9l\u00e9vation probable de la temp\u00e9rature comprise entre 1.7\u00b0C et 2.6\u00b0C, la meilleure estimation tournant autour de 2.3\u00b0C.<br \/>C&rsquo;est le premier objectif de cette conf\u00e9rence internationale sur le climat : limiter \u00e0 +2\u00b0 le r\u00e9chauffement plan\u00e9taire par rapport \u00e0 la p\u00e9riode pr\u00e9industrielle. Pour arriver \u00e0 cet objectif, le probl\u00e8me scientifique qui se pose est de savoir \u00e0 quel niveau de dioxyde de carbone (CO2) atmosph\u00e8rique correspond une \u00e9l\u00e9vation de la temp\u00e9rature moyenne de la terre de 2\u00b0C&#8230;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">R\u00e9duire les rejets de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre (GES) afin de limiter le r\u00e9chauffement climatique plan\u00e9taire \u00e0 +2\u00b0 \u00e0 l&rsquo;horizon 2040<br \/>Quel est le but de cette conf\u00e9rence et que peut-on concr\u00e8tement en attendre ? Retrouvez le point vid\u00e9o de notre m\u00e9t\u00e9orologue-climatologue.<br \/>La conf\u00e9rence sur le climat s&rsquo;est ouverte lundi dernier 28 novembre \u00e0 Durban en Afrique du Sud. Celle-ci fait suite aux conf\u00e9rences de Copenhague, de Kyoto et de Cancun, visant \u00e0 ratifier les accords pr\u00e9alables avec tous les pays partenaires (pays \u00e9mergents et pays r\u00e9fractaires jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">source :\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/actualite.lachainemeteo.com\/\">http:\/\/actualite.lachainemeteo.com\/<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"664\">(267)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify; \"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-663\" src=\"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/climat.gif\" border=\"0\" alt=\"climat\" title=\"climat\" width=\"120\" style=\"float: left;\" \/>lien fourni par <a href=\"..\/html\/phpBB3\/memberlist.php?mode=viewprofile&amp;u=61\">Hldesign<\/a> &#8211; La France, selon Serge Lepeltier, ambassadeur fran\u00e7ais en charge des n\u00e9gociations sur le changement climatique, veut \u00eatre \u00e0 la pointe pour d\u00e9fendre la reconduction du protocole de Kyoto. La question du nucl\u00e9aire n&rsquo;est pas abord\u00e9e dans les n\u00e9gociations : chaque pays d\u00e9cide lui-m\u00eame de son mix \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique; la n\u00e9gociation porte donc sur des engagements de limitation des gaz \u00e0 effet de serre, mais chaque pays engag\u00e9 d\u00e9cide lui-m\u00eame de la fa\u00e7on dont il op\u00e8re pour y aboutir. Avec tout ceci, le GIEC revoie \u00e9galement sa copie&#8230; <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; \">\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":663,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[20],"tags":[872,41,870,365,52,169,46],"class_list":["post-664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climat","tag-auto-reguler","tag-climat","tag-durban","tag-giec","tag-rechauffement","tag-rechauffement-climatique","tag-refroidissement","wpcat-20-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/climat.gif?fit=80%2C50&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-aI","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":3481,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/al-gore-dit-sa-verite-qui-derange-a-cannes\/","url_meta":{"origin":664,"position":0},"title":"Al Gore dit sa v\u00e9rit\u00e9 qui d\u00e9range \u00e0 Cannes","author":"Admin","date":"23 mai 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"L'ancien vice-pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain est venu \u00e0 Cannes, samedi, pr\u00e9senter un film documentaire qui \u00e9voque les dangers du r\u00e9chauffement climatique. Le candidat malheureux face \u00e0 George W. Bush lors de la pr\u00e9sidentielle de 2000 avait \u00e9t\u00e9 le n\u00e9gociateur des Etats-Unis pour le protocole de Kyoto. La Terre fait face \u00e0 un\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9243,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/rechauffement-climatique-rafale-dannonces-alarmistes-a-la-veille-de-la-cop21\/","url_meta":{"origin":664,"position":1},"title":"R\u00e9chauffement climatique : rafale d&rsquo;annonces alarmistes \u00e0 la veille de la COP21","author":"Admin","date":"11 novembre 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"La conf\u00e9rence de Paris sur le climat sera un \u00e9chec si la Chine, l'Inde et la Russie repartent sans avoir sign\u00e9 un engagement fort. A trois semaines de l'ouverture, les agences internationales dramatisent les enjeux. R\u00e9chauffement de la plan\u00e8te, crises humanitaires, pollution de l'atmosph\u00e8re, mont\u00e9e des eaux... les organisations internationales\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/monde-globe.jpg?fit=965%2C466&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/monde-globe.jpg?fit=965%2C466&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/monde-globe.jpg?fit=965%2C466&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/monde-globe.jpg?fit=965%2C466&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2557,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/mise-en-garde-de-lonu\/","url_meta":{"origin":664,"position":2},"title":"Mise en garde de l&rsquo;Onu","author":"Admin","date":"7 d\u00e9cembre 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"Les scientifiques sont formels, dans un rapport qu'ils ont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9, \u00e0 Gen\u00e8ve, il y a d\u00e9j\u00e0 2 ans, si les gouvernements ne passent pas \u00e0 l'action, tous les pays s'exposent \u00e0 des catastrophes au XXIe si\u00e8cle : fonte des glaciers, inondations, famines, \u00e9pid\u00e9mies, disparitions de terres arables. S\u00c9CHERESSES, inondations, disparitions\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/onu.jpg?fit=255%2C256&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":8477,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/climat-investigation\/","url_meta":{"origin":664,"position":3},"title":"Climat Investigation","author":"Admin","date":"2 octobre 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Les dessous d'un scandale plan\u00e9taire - Le climat est aujourd'hui une guerre, une religion. Tout avis contraire sera \u00e9limin\u00e9. Quelle voix s \u00e9l\u00e8vera pour rompre le silence pour faire \u00e9clater la v\u00e9rit\u00e9, avant le sommet de Paris ? Il n'existe aujourd'hui plus de lien entre le climat et le discours\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/philippe-verdier.jpg?fit=1200%2C787&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/philippe-verdier.jpg?fit=1200%2C787&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/philippe-verdier.jpg?fit=1200%2C787&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/philippe-verdier.jpg?fit=1200%2C787&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/philippe-verdier.jpg?fit=1200%2C787&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":662,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-climat-pourrait-etre-legerement-moins-sensible-au-dioxyde-de-carbone\/","url_meta":{"origin":664,"position":4},"title":"Le climat pourrait \u00eatre l\u00e9g\u00e8rement moins sensible au dioxyde de carbone","author":"Admin","date":"11 d\u00e9cembre 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Deux degr\u00e9s Celsius. Derri\u00e8re l'objectif affich\u00e9 de la communaut\u00e9 internationale - limiter \u00e0 2\u00b0C le r\u00e9chauffement du climat terrestre, par rapport \u00e0 la p\u00e9riode pr\u00e9industrielle - se cache un \u00e9pineux probl\u00e8me scientifique. Une question opportun\u00e9ment remise sur le devant de la sc\u00e8ne par la revue Science alors que s'ouvrait, lundi\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"co2","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/co2.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2753,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/secheresse-record\/","url_meta":{"origin":664,"position":5},"title":"S\u00e9cheresse record","author":"Admin","date":"22 mars 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"Apr\u00e8s un hiver qui fut qu'un bel hiver d'apr\u00e8s certains sp\u00e9cialistes. Voici une s\u00e9cheresse qui ne sera certainement qu'une belle s\u00e9cheresse. Mais au del\u00e0 de l'ironie, les records semblent vouloir tomber. Ainsi la s\u00e9cheresse actuelle n'avait pas \u00e9t\u00e9 vue depuis 29 ans... Cette s\u00e9cheresse ne tombe vraiment pas \u00e0 pic...\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/663"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}