{"id":5721,"date":"2011-03-07T21:00:03","date_gmt":"2011-03-07T19:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=5721"},"modified":"2015-04-15T21:02:12","modified_gmt":"2015-04-15T19:02:12","slug":"le-nombre-de-cyclones-est-reste-stable-de-1972-a-2010","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-nombre-de-cyclones-est-reste-stable-de-1972-a-2010\/","title":{"rendered":"Le nombre de cyclones est rest\u00e9 stable de 1972 \u00e0 2010\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Les mod\u00e8les du GIEC pr\u00e9disent une augmentation de leur fr\u00e9quence. Le graphe ci-dessus (tir\u00e9 lui des observations et non pas des mod\u00e8les) indique (courbe du haut) le nombre de temp\u00eates (tropicales) qui atteignent au moins la force des temp\u00eates tropicales (vitesse du vent sup. \u00e0 34 noeuds). La courbe du bas indique le nombre d&rsquo;ouragans dont la force est sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 64 noeuds. Les deux lignes droites vertes ajout\u00e9es servent \u00e0 montrer les moyennes respectives des deux graphes (sup\u00e9rieur et inf\u00e9rieur). Bref le nombre de cyclones n\u2019augmente pas\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/ouragans_3.jpg?resize=500%2C326\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"326\" \/><\/span><\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Source \u00e9tude du professeur Ryan Maue (Universit\u00e9 de Floride) : <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.coaps.fsu.edu\/~maue\/tropical\/\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">http:\/\/www.coaps.fsu.edu\/~maue\/tropical\/<\/span><\/a>\u00a0&#8211;<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">William M. Gray, sp\u00e9cialiste des ouragans, Ph.D, auteur de tr\u00e8s nombreux articles acad\u00e9miques : pour lui, le r\u00e9chauffement climatique est essentiellement un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne naturel et non li\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019activit\u00e9 humaine. Il s\u2019est en particulier oppos\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019alarmisme de Gore et du GIEC en mati\u00e8re d\u2019ouragans. Il a ainsi rappel\u00e9 que les ouragans suivaient g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement un cycle multi-d\u00e9cennal et qu\u2019il n\u2019y avait rien d\u2019anormal \u00e0 observer des variations dans leur nombre et leur intensit\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">\u00a0sources : <a href=\"http:\/\/astrosurf.com\/\">http:\/\/astrosurf.com\/<\/a>\u00a0\/ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.matierevolution.fr\/\">http:\/\/www.matierevolution.fr\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"5721\">(258)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les mod\u00e8les du GIEC pr\u00e9disent une augmentation de leur fr\u00e9quence. Le graphe ci-dessus (tir\u00e9 lui des observations et non pas&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4225,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Le nombre de cyclones est rest\u00e9 stable de 1972 \u00e0 2010\u2026","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[21],"tags":[1524,922,1868,1766,365,2068,232,1942,4053],"class_list":["post-5721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-evenement-brutal","tag-activite-humaine","tag-bilan","tag-courbe","tag-erreur","tag-giec","tag-graphique","tag-ouragans","tag-stable","tag-stables","wpcat-21-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/ouragans.jpg?fit=180%2C135&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-1uh","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":19606,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/louragan-dorian-balaye-les-bahamas-les-ouragans-en-chiffres\/","url_meta":{"origin":5721,"position":0},"title":"L&rsquo;ouragan Dorian balaye les Bahamas, les ouragans en chiffres","author":"Admin","date":"3 septembre 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Le Premier ministre des Bahamas, Hubert Minnis, a annonc\u00e9 lors d\u2019une conf\u00e9rence de presse que cinq personnes \u00e9taient mortes sur les \u00eeles Abacos, en qualifiant l\u2019ouragan de \u00ab trag\u00e9die historique \u00bb pour cet archipel compos\u00e9 de quelque 700 \u00eeles, dont une trentaine sont habit\u00e9es. Rues inond\u00e9es, toitures emport\u00e9es, arbres d\u00e9racin\u00e9s\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/ouragan-dorian4.png?fit=677%2C662&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/ouragan-dorian4.png?fit=677%2C662&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/ouragan-dorian4.png?fit=677%2C662&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3274,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/les-cyclones-sement-la-tempete-chez-les-scientifiques\/","url_meta":{"origin":5721,"position":1},"title":"Les cyclones s\u00e8ment la temp\u00eate chez les scientifiques","author":"Admin","date":"20 janvier 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Voici un article qui met le trouble chez les scientifiques et dont les mod\u00e8les statistiques sont remis s\u00e9rieusement remis en cause. Bien des donn\u00e9es \u00e9taient dans le flou concernant les ouragans. L'ann\u00e9e cyclonique 2005 apporte la preuve que les mod\u00e8les peuvent \u00eatre erron\u00e9s. Certains jettent l'\u00e9ponge face \u00e0 des \u00e9v\u00e8nements\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/scientifique.jpeg?fit=270%2C400&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":26270,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/comment-une-intensification-rapide-a-donne-naissance-a-deux-ouragans-monstres-en-une-semaine\/","url_meta":{"origin":5721,"position":2},"title":"Comment une intensification rapide a donn\u00e9 naissance \u00e0 deux ouragans monstres en une semaine","author":"Admin","date":"27 septembre 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Les eaux chaudes ont renforc\u00e9 l'ouragan H\u00e9l\u00e8ne dans le golfe du Mexique et l'ouragan John dans le Pacifique oriental. L'un des ouragans les plus \u00e9tendus jamais enregistr\u00e9s a frapp\u00e9 la c\u00f4te du golfe de Floride le 26 septembre sous la forme d'une puissante temp\u00eate de cat\u00e9gorie 4, inondant la c\u00f4te\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ouragan-Helene1.jpg?fit=1200%2C651&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ouragan-Helene1.jpg?fit=1200%2C651&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ouragan-Helene1.jpg?fit=1200%2C651&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ouragan-Helene1.jpg?fit=1200%2C651&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ouragan-Helene1.jpg?fit=1200%2C651&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3974,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/annee-cyclonique-intense-pour-2007\/","url_meta":{"origin":5721,"position":3},"title":"Ann\u00e9e cyclonique intense pour 2007","author":"Admin","date":"6 mai 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Les scientifiques am\u00e9ricains pr\u00e9disent une saison des ouragans en 2007 intense, avec la formation de 17 temp\u00eates tropicales en Atlantique. D\u2019apr\u00e8s William Gray et Phil Klotzbach, de l\u2019Universit\u00e9 du Colorado, neuf de ces 17 temp\u00eates tropicales pourraient devenir des ouragans. Ces m\u00e9t\u00e9orologues pr\u00e9disent une activit\u00e9 des cyclones tropicaux cette saison\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/katrinaoeil.jpg?fit=400%2C300&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":24072,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-noaa-prevoit-une-saison-cyclonique-dans-latlantique-superieure-a-la-normale-en-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":5721,"position":4},"title":"La NOAA pr\u00e9voit une saison cyclonique dans l&rsquo;Atlantique sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la normale en 2022","author":"Admin","date":"28 mai 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"La Ni\u00f1a est actuellement en cours, les temp\u00e9ratures atlantiques sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 la moyenne pr\u00e9parent le terrain pour une saison charg\u00e9e \u00e0 venir. Les pr\u00e9visionnistes du Climate Prediction Center de la NOAA, une division du National Weather Service, pr\u00e9disent une activit\u00e9 cyclonique sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la moyenne cette ann\u00e9e, ce qui en\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5715,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/laffaire-dune-courbe-inexacte\/","url_meta":{"origin":5721,"position":5},"title":"L&rsquo;affaire d&rsquo;une courbe inexacte","author":"Admin","date":"2 mars 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Il faisait plus chaud au Moyen\u00a0Age qu\u2019aujourd\u2019hui. Le scandale\u00a0de la crosse de hockey. En 2001 le GIEC de l\u2019ONU (IPCC en anglais) a publi\u00e9\u00a0 un rapport (le N\u00b03) qui contenait un graphe en forme de crosse de hockey. (ci-dessous \u00e0 droite) sur l\u2019\u00e9volution des temp\u00e9tatures depuis l\u2019an 1000 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 nos\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/courbe-ipcc-avant1998.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5721","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5721"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5721\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5722,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5721\/revisions\/5722"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5721"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5721"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5721"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}