{"id":5527,"date":"2010-09-17T15:14:02","date_gmt":"2010-09-17T13:14:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=5527"},"modified":"2015-04-15T15:15:46","modified_gmt":"2015-04-15T13:15:46","slug":"hiver-europeen-2010-2011-tres-froid-en-perspective","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/hiver-europeen-2010-2011-tres-froid-en-perspective\/","title":{"rendered":"Hiver europ\u00e9en 2010-2011 tr\u00e8s froid en perspective"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">Aujourd&rsquo;hui l&rsquo;Equipe de Joe Bastardi nous annonce des pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res digne des plus grands hivers connus pendant le XXeme si\u00e8cle. Comme toute pr\u00e9vision saisonni\u00e8re ceci doit toujours \u00eatre pris avec des pincettes. N\u00e9anmoins, certains points semblent s&rsquo;affirmer avec le temps.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">L&rsquo;hiver dernier, en d\u00e9pit d&rsquo;un fort El Nino, a \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s froid (des records ont \u00e9t\u00e9 battus dans\u00a0certaines r\u00e9gions) de l&rsquo;h\u00e9misph\u00e8re Nord. Une forte Nina s&rsquo;est form\u00e9e\u00a0au cours de l&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9. D&rsquo;autres\u00a0r\u00e9gions ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s\u00a0fraiches. Les anomalies ne sont pas tant une affaire d&rsquo;extr\u00eames seulement la persistance d&rsquo;un m\u00eame mod\u00e8le en raison d&rsquo;une configuration du jet stream.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">La persistance est une caract\u00e9ristique des ann\u00e9es de faible \u00e9nergie solaire. Les derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es ont vu beaucoup de persistance saisonni\u00e8res. Un Fort El Nino et Nina tendent \u00e9galement \u00e0 d\u00e9montrer plus de persistance.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Qu&rsquo;en est-il de cet hiver 2010-2011 ? Eh bien avec une forte Ni\u00f1a, PDO froide,\u00a0 AMO chaude de l&rsquo;Atlantique, la transition \u00e0 l&rsquo;ouest du QBO et\u00a0de plus\u00a0une activit\u00e9 faible solaire sugg\u00e8re ce qui suit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Les anomalies de la hauteur g\u00e9opotentielle 500 Mo pour le monde entier pour D\u00e9cembre \/ Janvier :<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/hiver-2010-2011-1.JPG?resize=500%2C350\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">La temp\u00e9rature de surface des anomalies au niveau mondial pour D\u00e9cembre \/ Janvier :<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/hiver-2010-2011-2.JPG?resize=500%2C350\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">La hauteur du g\u00e9opotentiel 500 mb anomalie pour F\u00e9vrier \/ Mars 2011<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/hiver-2010-2011-3.JPG?resize=500%2C350\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">La temp\u00e9rature de surface anomalie pour F\u00e9vrier \/ Mars:<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/hiver-2010-2011-4.JPG?resize=500%2C350\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">source : <a href=\"http:\/\/www.icecap.us\/\">http:\/\/www.icecap.us\/<\/a>\u00a0selon Joe Bastardi et Joseph D\u2019Aleo<\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"5527\">(343)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd&rsquo;hui l&rsquo;Equipe de Joe Bastardi nous annonce des pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res digne des plus grands hivers connus pendant le XXeme si\u00e8cle&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5528,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Hiver europ\u00e9en 2010-2011 tr\u00e8s froid en perspective","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[32],"tags":[1067,188,153,35,3940,618,1323],"class_list":["post-5527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-meteorologie","tag-anomalies","tag-europe","tag-froid","tag-hiver","tag-hiver-2010-2011","tag-previsions-saisonnieres","tag-record","wpcat-32-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/hiver-2010-2011-5.jpg?fit=200%2C168&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-1r9","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5471,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/hiver-2010-2011\/","url_meta":{"origin":5527,"position":0},"title":"Hiver 2010-2011","author":"Admin","date":"27 juillet 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Depuis 2 ans, nous observons des hivers en de\u00e7a des normes saisonni\u00e8res sur l'Europe de l'Ouest. Dans le m\u00eame temps, le vent solaire est beaucoup plus calme. La nina est de retour cette ann\u00e9e. Dans ce contexte, regardons ce qu'il va se passer sur ce nouvel hiver que se profile\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Tableau NAO","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/precip\/CWlink\/pna\/total.obs.gif?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":667,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-nina-actuelle-presente-des-similitudes-avec-celle-du-terrible-hiver-1962\/","url_meta":{"origin":5527,"position":1},"title":"La Nina actuelle pr\u00e9sente des similitudes avec celle du terrible hiver 1962 !","author":"Admin","date":"8 d\u00e9cembre 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Lien fourni par JulienTDF et \u00a0Soleil Vert - La Nina actuelle pr\u00e9sente des similitudes avec celle du terrible hiver 1962 ! Nous sommes sans aucun doute face \u00e0 la plus intense Nina depuis les ann\u00e9es 1970. Est ce que cette douceur actuelle cacherait un tr\u00e8s gros hiver ?","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"sst decembre 2011","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/sst-dec-2011.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":22995,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2021-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":5527,"position":2},"title":"L&rsquo;Hiver 2021-2022","author":"Admin","date":"8 septembre 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Nous avons d\u00e9marr\u00e9 ce nouvel automne m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique. Pour ce qui concerne notre futur hiver 2021-2022, les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res habituelles se profilent d\u00e9j\u00e0. Les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de l'ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s encourageantes par leurs fiabilit\u00e9s \u00e0 hauteur de 70%. On peut revoir l'article ici. Pour appr\u00e9cier ce futur hiver, nous\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/tempete.jpg?fit=1050%2C689&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/tempete.jpg?fit=1050%2C689&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/tempete.jpg?fit=1050%2C689&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/tempete.jpg?fit=1050%2C689&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/tempete.jpg?fit=1050%2C689&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1182,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/previsions-saisonnieres-confirmation-dun-hiver-plutot-froid\/","url_meta":{"origin":5527,"position":3},"title":"Pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res : confirmation d&rsquo;un hiver plut\u00f4t froid","author":"Admin","date":"16 d\u00e9cembre 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res : confirmation d'un hiver plut\u00f4t froid selon la chaine m\u00e9t\u00e9o. Vers un hiver assez standard, perturb\u00e9, ponctuellement froid : fin du cycle des s\u00e9cheresses. Les tendances exprim\u00e9es d\u00e9but novembre semblent se confirmer. L'hiver devrait \u00eatre assez standard, avec une grande variabilit\u00e9 des centres d'action mais avec un risque\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"previsions janiver fevrier 2013","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/previsions-janvier-fevrier-2013.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":989,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2012-2013\/","url_meta":{"origin":5527,"position":4},"title":"L&rsquo;Hiver 2012-2013","author":"Admin","date":"24 juillet 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"L\u2019Hiver 2011-2012 selon la Terre du Futur. Apr\u00e8s 3 hivers en dessous des normes saisonni\u00e8res, puis cet hiver qui fut juste dans les moyennes -0,14\u00b0C (f\u00e9vrier 2012 tr\u00e8s en de\u00e7\u00e0),\u00a0il est statistiquement rarissime qu'un 5 eme hiver suive une tendance n\u00e9gative. Seulement voil\u00e0, les statistiques sont faites pour \u00eatre d\u00e9menties.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"vignette","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/vignette-2012-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":451,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2011-2012\/","url_meta":{"origin":5527,"position":5},"title":"L&rsquo;hiver 2011-2012","author":"Admin","date":"24 juillet 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"L\u2019Hiver 2011-2012 selon la Terre du Futur. 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Nous \u00e9tions dans le creu de 2 cycles solaires d\u00e9nomm\u00e9s 23 et 24.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/hiver2011-2012.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5527","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5527"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5527\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5529,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5527\/revisions\/5529"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5528"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}