{"id":4177,"date":"2007-11-02T11:04:43","date_gmt":"2007-11-02T09:04:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil1\/?p=4177"},"modified":"2015-04-12T11:06:17","modified_gmt":"2015-04-12T09:06:17","slug":"la-production-mondiale-de-petrole-a-atteint-son-pic-en-2006","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-production-mondiale-de-petrole-a-atteint-son-pic-en-2006\/","title":{"rendered":"La production mondiale de p\u00e9trole a atteint son pic en 2006"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Selon les chiffres publi\u00e9s par l\u00a0\u00bbEWG, le monde a produit 81 millions de barils par jour (Mbj) en 2006.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">La production de p\u00e9trole dans le monde a atteint son pic en 2006, et devrait d\u00e9cliner de moiti\u00e9 d\u00a0\u00bbici 2030, a pr\u00e9venu lundi l\u00a0\u00bbinstitut Energy Watch Group, lors d\u00a0\u00bbune conf\u00e9rence sur le \u00ab\u00a0pic p\u00e9trolier\u00a0\u00bb (\u00ab\u00a0peak oil\u00a0\u00bb) organis\u00e9e \u00e0 Londres. \u00ab\u00a0Cela cr\u00e9era un manque de production qu\u00a0\u00bbil sera difficile de combler malgr\u00e9 l\u00a0\u00bbexploitation grandissante d\u00a0\u00bbautres \u00e9nergies fossiles, du nucl\u00e9aire ou de sources alternatives\u00a0\u00bb, met en garde l\u00a0\u00bbEnergy Watch Group (EWG), d\u00e9fenseur de la th\u00e8se du \u00ab\u00a0pic p\u00e9trolier\u00a0\u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Selon les chiffres publi\u00e9s par l\u00a0\u00bbEWG, le monde a produit 81 millions de barils par jour (Mbj) en 2006. En 2020, il devrait en produire 58 millions par jour, puis simplement 39 millions en 2030 &#8211; une baisse de plus de 50% par rapport aux niveaux actuels.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Cette hypoth\u00e8se baissi\u00e8re contraste avec les projections de l\u00a0\u00bbAgence internationale de l\u00a0\u00bbEnergie (AIE), qui table sur 105 Mbj en 2020 (extrapolation de l\u00a0\u00bbEWG \u00e0 partir d\u00a0\u00bbune projection de l\u00a0\u00bbAIE pour 2015), et 116 Mbj en 2030.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Selon l\u00a0\u00bbEWG, l\u00a0\u00bbAIE, comme les autres organismes qui contestent la th\u00e9orie d\u00a0\u00bbun \u00e9puisement d\u00e9j\u00e0 en cours des ressources fossiles, envoie aux milieux d\u00a0\u00bbaffaire un message dangereux, en supposant que l\u00a0\u00bbapprovisionnement en p\u00e9trole ira en s\u00a0\u00bbam\u00e9liorant, ce qui n\u00a0\u00bbencourage pas l\u00a0\u00bbindustrie \u00e0 s\u00a0\u00bbatteler aux changements structurels n\u00e9cessaires.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00ab\u00a0Le syst\u00e8me \u00e9conomique mondial est \u00e0 l\u00a0\u00bbaube d\u00a0\u00bbun changement structurel\u00a0\u00bb, insiste le groupe d\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9tude, qui se veut ind\u00e9pendant de l\u00a0\u00bbindustrie p\u00e9troli\u00e8re, au contraires de groupes d\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9tudes et d\u00a0\u00bbagences telles que l\u00a0\u00bbAIE, ou le CERA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Pour l\u00a0\u00bbun des intervenants invit\u00e9s par l\u00a0\u00bbEWG, l\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9conomiste britannique David Fleming, la rar\u00e9faction des ressources p\u00e9troli\u00e8res ne sera pas sans cons\u00e9quences sociales: \u00ab\u00a0on pourrait ais\u00e9ment assister aux m\u00eames sc\u00e8nes d\u00a0\u00bbagitation sociale de masse que celles survenues en Birmanie ce mois-ci\u00a0\u00bb, pr\u00e9vient-il, en r\u00e9f\u00e9rence au soul\u00e8vement populaire qui avait pris racine dans le m\u00e9contentement des habitants apr\u00e8s une hausse surprise et massive des prix des carburants.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">L\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9conomiste met en garde contre le risque d\u00a0\u00bb\u00a0\u00bbeffondrement social\u00a0\u00bb, si les gouvernements ne pr\u00e9parent pas la transition vers les autres sources d\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9nergie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">sources : AFP \/ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lalibre.be\/\">http:\/\/www.lalibre.be\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"4177\">(127)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Selon les chiffres publi\u00e9s par l\u00a0\u00bbEWG, le monde a produit 81 millions de barils par jour (Mbj) en 2006. La&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4178,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[31],"tags":[428,102,3233,3236,3234,1131,3232,3235],"class_list":["post-4177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-divers","tag-danger","tag-economie","tag-effondrement-social","tag-energies","tag-gouvernements","tag-industrie","tag-petrole-peak-oil","tag-sources","wpcat-31-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/gouttepetrole.jpg?fit=200%2C300&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-15n","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":931,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-dans-un-pic-petrolier\/","url_meta":{"origin":4177,"position":0},"title":"Un monde dans un pic p\u00e9trolier","author":"Admin","date":"14 juin 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Dix ans apr\u00e8s sa cr\u00e9ation, l'ASPO confirme le pic p\u00e9trolier.\u00a0Les faits semblent donner raison \u00e0 l'Association d'\u00e9tude du pic p\u00e9trolier. La production annuelle de p\u00e9trole conventionnel a amorc\u00e9 une d\u00e9crue depuis 2006, tandis que le baril est \u00e0 plus de 100 $ en continu depuis un an, situation sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/indicateur.jpg?fit=225%2C225&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":4431,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-4eme-choc-petrolier\/","url_meta":{"origin":4177,"position":1},"title":"Le 4eme Choc P\u00e9trolier","author":"Admin","date":"23 mai 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Un \u00ab pic de production \u00bb d\u00e9signe le sommet de la courbe qui caract\u00e9rise la production p\u00e9troli\u00e8re d'un puits ou d'un champ p\u00e9trolier ; par extension le pic p\u00e9trolier d\u00e9signe celle d'un pays voire de l'ensemble de la plan\u00e8te. Appel\u00e9 Peak Oil en anglais, il constitue l'extrapolation des travaux du\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":381,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-sans-petrole\/","url_meta":{"origin":4177,"position":2},"title":"Un monde sans p\u00e9trole act VI","author":"Admin","date":"28 juin 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Un monde sans p\u00e9trole est un sujet qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9velopper sur la Terre du Futur. Pour rappel, les articles suivants : D\u00e8s 2005, nous avertissions : Un monde sans p\u00e9trole., en 2006 : vers la p\u00e9tro apocalypse, en 2008 :\u00a0Old Peak - un monde sans p\u00e9trole. Le 4eme\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg?fit=225%2C225&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":776,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-de-penurie-petroliere\/","url_meta":{"origin":4177,"position":3},"title":"Un monde de p\u00e9nurie p\u00e9troli\u00e8re","author":"Admin","date":"23 f\u00e9vrier 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Apr\u00e8s le Pentagone, la Bundeswehr \u00a0a publi\u00e9 en septembre 2010 un rapport alarmiste quant aux cons\u00e9quences, pour l'\u00e9conomie et la paix dans le monde, d'un pic p\u00e9trolier qui serait imminent voir d\u00e9pass\u00e9. L\u2019article paru en septembre 2010 dans l\u2019hebdomadaire allemand Der Spiegel, le magazine s\u2019est en effet procur\u00e9 un rapport\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"petrole","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/02\/petrole-2012-4.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":5655,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-monde-de-hubbert\/","url_meta":{"origin":4177,"position":4},"title":"Le Monde de Hubbert","author":"Admin","date":"10 janvier 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Nous commen\u00e7ons \u00e0 \u00eatre relativement bien inform\u00e9s des changements climatiques. Les dirigeants se rencontrent r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement pour parler du probl\u00e8me et d\u00e9finir des programmes que nos d\u00e9mocraties ont d\u00fb mal \u00e0 appliquer. M\u00eame si les modifications climatiques sont indubitablement un probl\u00e8me s\u00e9rieux, ses aspects les plus dangereux ne nous menaceront probablement\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/puitsdepetroleenfeu.jpg?fit=400%2C254&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":20446,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lindustrie-petroliere-peut-elle-soutenir-un-monde-qui-consomme-105-millions-de-barils-de-petrole-par-jour-en-2025\/","url_meta":{"origin":4177,"position":5},"title":"L\u2019industrie p\u00e9troli\u00e8re peut-elle soutenir un monde qui consomme 105 millions de barils de p\u00e9trole par jour en 2025 ?","author":"Admin","date":"27 f\u00e9vrier 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Cet article examine le risque important d\u2019une insuffisante offre de p\u00e9trole d\u2019ici 2025 et au-del\u00e0, compte tenu du rythme actuel des investissements et de la demande croissante au niveau mondial. Il se concentre en premier lieu sur l\u2019\u00e9tat actuel du secteur amont p\u00e9trolier et sur les d\u00e9fis futurs qu\u2019il doit\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/petrole.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/petrole.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/petrole.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/petrole.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/petrole.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4177","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4177"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4177\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4179,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4177\/revisions\/4179"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4178"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4177"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4177"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4177"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}