{"id":3498,"date":"2006-05-30T19:25:23","date_gmt":"2006-05-30T17:25:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil1\/?p=3498"},"modified":"2015-04-10T19:27:35","modified_gmt":"2015-04-10T17:27:35","slug":"simulation-dun-arret-du-gulf-stream","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/simulation-dun-arret-du-gulf-stream\/","title":{"rendered":"Simulation d&rsquo;un Arr\u00eat du Gulf Stream"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Apr\u00e8s des mois de questionnements sur l&rsquo;arr\u00eat possible du Gulf Stream et au del\u00e0 des cons\u00e9quences physiques d&rsquo;un tel ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne, voici donc les simulations des temp\u00e9ratures que nous pourrions observer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Si ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne devait arriver la temp\u00e9rature de l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an Atlantique Nord changerait radicalement&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Ici une carte Mondiale, nous n&rsquo;aurons pas de difficult\u00e9 \u00e0 rep\u00e9rer un tr\u00e8s fort refroidissement qui d\u00e9buterait sur le nord de l&rsquo;Atlantique Nord :<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\n<p align=\"center\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/simulationgs2.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/simulationgs3.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Un tel refroidissement n&rsquo;est pour le moment qu&rsquo;hypoth\u00e9tique, engendrerait un changement radical du climat Europ\u00e9en dans un 1er temps. Ensuite viendrait l&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique du Nord qui pourrait subir les contrecoups d&rsquo;une telle modification. Ce sc\u00e9nario apporterait des hivers type 1962 dans moins de 15 ans.\u00a0Ci dessus\u00a0le sc\u00e9nario d&rsquo;un arr\u00eat dans moins de 15 ans.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/simulationgs4.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Ces simulations d\u00e9pendent du r\u00e9chauffement actuel. Car l&rsquo;arr\u00eat du Gulf Stream est mal connu. Sur la Terre du Futur, certains points nous apporterait des dates beaucoup plus proches. Mais aucune conclusion d\u00e9finitive ne peut \u00eatre avanc\u00e9e.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p align=\"justify\">Cette\u00a0conclusion dramatique du Gulf Stream vient d&rsquo;une \u00e9tude de la circulation de l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an atlantique du nord, qui a d\u00e9montr\u00e9 une r\u00e9duction de 30% des courants chauds qui draine\u00a0les eaux du Gulf Stream\u00a0vers le\u00a0nord.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Harry Bryden au centre national d&rsquo;oc\u00e9anographie\u00a0\u00e0 Southampton, Royaume Uni, dont le groupe a effectu\u00e9 l&rsquo;analyse, dit qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;est pas encore s\u00fbr si le changement est provisoire ou si cela signale une tendance \u00e0 long terme. \u00ab\u00a0nous ne voulons pas dire que la circulation s&rsquo;arr\u00eatera,\u00a0\u00bb. \u00ab\u00a0mais nous sommes nerveux au sujet de nos r\u00e9sultats. Ils sont\u00a0arriv\u00e9s comme tout \u00e0 fait surprenant.\u00a0\u00bb<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Un autre \u00e9l\u00e9ment confirmerait ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne, les carottes de glace apporte la preuve qu&rsquo;\u00e0 chaque baisse du m\u00e9thane dans l&rsquo;air, de tr\u00e8s fortes s\u00e9cheresses sont constat\u00e9es \u00e0 travers le monde\u00a0avec dans le m\u00eame temps un arr\u00eat du Gulf Stream.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Pendant que le monde parle de r\u00e9chauffement, il est effectivement des plus \u00e9tonnant de parler de refroidissement. Mais ici, justement, c&rsquo;est bien le r\u00e9chauffement qui va provoquer ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent de vie d&rsquo;Homme.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">En septembre 2005, une anomalie n\u00e9gative \u00e9tait \u00e0 noter dans l&rsquo;Atlantique Nord. Elle a dur\u00e9 1 mois. C&rsquo;est bien \u00e0 la suite d&rsquo;un \u00e9t\u00e9 o\u00f9 les eaux n&rsquo;ont jamais \u00e9t\u00e9 aussi chaudes que ces anomalies sont apparues. Depuis 2004,\u00a0on rel\u00e8ve\u00a0un ralentissement du Gulf Stream, que nous r\u00e9serve septembre prochain o\u00f9 l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e 2006 est dore et d\u00e9j\u00e0 la plus chaude dans l&rsquo;Altlantique Nord ? Un blocage doit il \u00eatre attendu ?<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Sources : BBC (Coup de froid sur la Plan\u00e8te) \/ La 5 TV \/ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newscientist.com\/article.ns?id=dn8398\">http:\/\/www.newscientist.com\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"3498\">(2271)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apr\u00e8s des mois de questionnements sur l&rsquo;arr\u00eat possible du Gulf Stream et au del\u00e0 des cons\u00e9quences physiques d&rsquo;un tel ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3499,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[20,23],"tags":[1396,395,153,396,1264,47,52,170,851],"class_list":["post-3498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climat","category-circulation-oceanique","tag-arret","tag-atlantique-nord","tag-froid","tag-gulf-stream","tag-londres","tag-neige","tag-rechauffement","tag-refroidissement-climatique","tag-simulation","wpcat-20-id","wpcat-23-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/londres.jpg?fit=250%2C200&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-Uq","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":20378,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-une-disparition-du-gulf-stream-dici-100-ans\/","url_meta":{"origin":3498,"position":0},"title":"Vers une disparition du Gulf Stream d&rsquo;ici 100 ans ?","author":"Admin","date":"1 f\u00e9vrier 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Le courant de l'Atlantique Nord, qui conf\u00e8re un climat relativement doux \u00e0 l'Europe, aurait 15 % de chances de s'arr\u00eater dans les 100 prochaines ann\u00e9es, d'apr\u00e8s une nouvelle simulation. Cet arr\u00eat ne serait toutefois que temporaire. Le courant de l'Atlantique Nord (Gulf Stream) transporte de l'eau chaude du golfe du\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/gulf-stream.jpg?fit=930%2C558&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/gulf-stream.jpg?fit=930%2C558&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/gulf-stream.jpg?fit=930%2C558&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/gulf-stream.jpg?fit=930%2C558&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4560,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/mise-au-point-sur-le-gulf-stream\/","url_meta":{"origin":3498,"position":1},"title":"Mise au point sur le Gulf Stream","author":"Admin","date":"18 ao\u00fbt 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Le Gulf Stream baigne de ses eaux chaudes une partie de la c\u00f4te Atlantique de l'Europe du Nord Ouest, c'est \u00e0 dire: - la fa\u00e7ade Ouest du Royaume Uni - la c\u00f4te Atlantique en France - le pays basque espagnol ... et de mani\u00e8re moins importante les c\u00f4tes islandaises et\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/08\/gulf_stream.jpg?fit=580%2C347&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/08\/gulf_stream.jpg?fit=580%2C347&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/08\/gulf_stream.jpg?fit=580%2C347&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3162,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-debit-du-gulf-stream-ralentit-vers-un-refroidissement-en-europe\/","url_meta":{"origin":3498,"position":2},"title":"Le d\u00e9bit du Gulf Stream ralentit, vers un refroidissement en Europe","author":"Admin","date":"4 d\u00e9cembre 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"Une nouvelle \u00e9tude note que le d\u00e9bit du Gulf Stream aurait diminu\u00e9 de fa\u00e7on significative, ce qui pourrait entra\u00eener un refroidissement climatique majeur en Europe C'est la revue scientifique britannique Nature qui a publi\u00e9 le 1er d\u00e9cembre les r\u00e9sultats d'une \u00e9tude men\u00e9e par Harry Bryden, Stuart Cunningham et Hannah Longworth,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/gulf-stream.gif?fit=358%2C230&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3594,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-gulf-stream-tres-malade\/","url_meta":{"origin":3498,"position":3},"title":"Un Gulf Stream tr\u00e8s malade","author":"Admin","date":"14 ao\u00fbt 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Voici le Gulf Stream, ce courant durement touch\u00e9 par le r\u00e9chauffement climatique qui pourrait changer sa route non plus \u00e0 hauteur de l'Islance mais plutot celle de la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e. Cette circulation des eaux en Atlantique pourrait \u00eatre bloqu\u00e9e par une arriv\u00e9e d\u2019eau douce dans le Nord (fonte de la banquise\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/bateau-glace.jpeg?fit=461%2C300&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":15342,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-gulf-stream-pourrait-refroidir-leurope-dici-moins-de-10-ans\/","url_meta":{"origin":3498,"position":4},"title":"Le Gulf Stream pourrait refroidir l&rsquo;Europe d&rsquo;ici moins de 10 ans","author":"Admin","date":"5 juin 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Le d\u00e9r\u00e8glement climatique n\u2019occasionne pas que des pics de chaleur ! L\u2019affaiblissement du Gulf Stream provoquerait une baisse de la temp\u00e9rature en Europe de l\u2019Ouest. Vous pensiez profiter tranquillement du r\u00e9chauffement climatique et attendre que poussent les cocotiers sur les rives de la Mer du Nord ? D\u00e9trompez-vous ! Les\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/gulf-stream-avril-2015.jpg?fit=900%2C472&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/gulf-stream-avril-2015.jpg?fit=900%2C472&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/gulf-stream-avril-2015.jpg?fit=900%2C472&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/gulf-stream-avril-2015.jpg?fit=900%2C472&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23894,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/dossier-de-nouvelles-donnees-montrent-que-le-gulf-stream-continue-de-ralentir-leau-douce-a-cree-un-desequilibre-et-le-rapproche-dun-point-deffondrement\/","url_meta":{"origin":3498,"position":5},"title":"Dossier : De nouvelles donn\u00e9es montrent que le Gulf Stream continue de ralentir, l&rsquo;eau douce a cr\u00e9\u00e9 un d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre et le rapproche d&rsquo;un point d&rsquo;effondrement","author":"Admin","date":"6 avril 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Le Gulf Stream s'est consid\u00e9rablement affaibli au cours des derni\u00e8res d\u00e9cennies, comme le r\u00e9v\u00e8lent les derni\u00e8res donn\u00e9es et de nouvelles \u00e9tudes. Le temps aux \u00c9tats-Unis et en Europe d\u00e9pend fortement de ce courant oc\u00e9anique, il est donc important de comprendre les changements en cours et ce qu'ils signifient pour notre\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hemisphere-nord-ocean-salinite-concentration-amoc-gulf-stream.png?fit=1200%2C862&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hemisphere-nord-ocean-salinite-concentration-amoc-gulf-stream.png?fit=1200%2C862&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hemisphere-nord-ocean-salinite-concentration-amoc-gulf-stream.png?fit=1200%2C862&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hemisphere-nord-ocean-salinite-concentration-amoc-gulf-stream.png?fit=1200%2C862&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hemisphere-nord-ocean-salinite-concentration-amoc-gulf-stream.png?fit=1200%2C862&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3498","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3498"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3498\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3500,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3498\/revisions\/3500"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3499"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}