{"id":28183,"date":"2026-05-14T20:53:48","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T18:53:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=28183"},"modified":"2026-05-14T20:53:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T18:53:48","slug":"vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/","title":{"rendered":"Vers un \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s chaud en France ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>L\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2026 pourrait bien devenir l\u2019un des plus int\u00e9ressants de ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es sur le plan m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique et climatique. Plusieurs grands m\u00e9canismes atmosph\u00e9riques et oc\u00e9aniques semblent en effet converger vers un sc\u00e9nario favorisant des conditions souvent chaudes sur l\u2019Europe occidentale et particuli\u00e8rement sur la France. Parmi eux figurent la mise en place progressive d\u2019un El Ni\u00f1o dans le Pacifique, l\u2019\u00e9volution de la Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, les variations possibles de l\u2019Arctic Oscillation, mais aussi le comportement de la circulation stratosph\u00e9rique dite de Brewer-Dobson circulation.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00eame si aucun mod\u00e8le saisonnier ne peut pr\u00e9voir pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment la m\u00e9t\u00e9o d\u2019un jour donn\u00e9 plusieurs mois \u00e0 l\u2019avance, les tendances de fond deviennent progressivement plus lisibles.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Le retour progressif d\u2019El Ni\u00f1o dans le Pacifique<\/strong><br \/>\nDepuis plusieurs mois, les temp\u00e9ratures oc\u00e9aniques du Pacifique \u00e9quatorial montrent une \u00e9volution importante. Les eaux chaudes gagnent progressivement le centre du bassin pacifique et certains mod\u00e8les envisagent d\u00e9sormais l\u2019installation progressive d\u2019un \u00e9pisode El Ni\u00f1o durant l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026.<br \/>\nCe ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne correspond \u00e0 un affaiblissement des aliz\u00e9s et \u00e0 une accumulation anormale de chaleur dans les eaux tropicales du Pacifique. Cette chaleur agit ensuite comme un gigantesque moteur \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique capable de modifier les circulations atmosph\u00e9riques \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle plan\u00e9taire.<br \/>\nLa question essentielle r\u00e9side d\u00e9sormais dans la nature exacte de cet El Ni\u00f1o. Plusieurs signaux actuels sugg\u00e8rent une composante de type Central Pacific, parfois appel\u00e9e El Ni\u00f1o Modoki, caract\u00e9ris\u00e9e par des anomalies chaudes davantage centr\u00e9es au milieu du Pacifique plut\u00f4t qu\u2019au large du P\u00e9rou. Toutefois, certains sc\u00e9narios envisagent une migration progressive vers un El Ni\u00f1o plus oriental de type EP d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00eame en \u00e9t\u00e9, alors que les impacts europ\u00e9ens d\u2019ENSO restent indirects, ce type de configuration tend souvent \u00e0 favoriser des circulations atmosph\u00e9riques plus ondulantes, des p\u00e9riodes de blocage anticyclonique et un renforcement des dorsales subtropicales vers l\u2019Europe occidentale.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28184\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/enso-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?fit=1080%2C1167&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1080,1167\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"enso\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?fit=740%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28184 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?resize=1080%2C1167&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"1167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?resize=278%2C300&amp;ssl=1 278w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?resize=740%2C800&amp;ssl=1 740w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?resize=56%2C60&amp;ssl=1 56w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?resize=768%2C830&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?resize=928%2C1003&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/enso.jpg?resize=480%2C519&amp;ssl=1 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28185\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/sst-noaa-mai-2026\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?fit=1787%2C1054&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1787,1054\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"sst noaa mai 2026\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?fit=800%2C472&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28185 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=800%2C472&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"472\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=800%2C472&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=300%2C177&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=80%2C47&amp;ssl=1 80w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=768%2C453&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=1536%2C906&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=1226%2C723&amp;ssl=1 1226w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=928%2C547&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?resize=480%2C283&amp;ssl=1 480w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sst-noaa-mai-2026.png?w=1787&amp;ssl=1 1787w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28186\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/el-nino-et-la-nina\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?fit=1080%2C926&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1080,926\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"el nino et la nina\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?fit=800%2C686&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28186 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?resize=1080%2C926&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"926\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?resize=300%2C257&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?resize=800%2C686&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?resize=70%2C60&amp;ssl=1 70w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?resize=768%2C658&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?resize=928%2C796&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/el-nino-et-la-nina.jpg?resize=480%2C412&amp;ssl=1 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>La QBO : une oscillation discr\u00e8te mais majeure<\/strong><br \/>\nLa Quasi-Biennial Oscillation est une oscillation des vents stratosph\u00e9riques \u00e9quatoriaux alternant entre phases est et ouest environ tous les 28 mois.<br \/>\nM\u00eame si elle agit tr\u00e8s haut dans l\u2019atmosph\u00e8re, son influence peut descendre progressivement vers la troposph\u00e8re et modifier certains comportements des courants-jets ou des \u00e9changes entre tropiques et hautes latitudes.<\/p>\n<p>Les tendances actuelles orientent plut\u00f4t vers une phase ouest de la QBO durant l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2026. Or, ce type de configuration est parfois associ\u00e9 \u00e0 une circulation atmosph\u00e9rique plus stable sur l\u2019Europe occidentale, avec une capacit\u00e9 accrue des hautes pressions subtropicales \u00e0 remonter vers la France.<br \/>\nAutrement dit, la QBO pourrait contribuer \u00e0 installer des s\u00e9quences anticycloniques durables, favorisant :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>des p\u00e9riodes de forte chaleur,<\/li>\n<li>des nuits tropicales plus fr\u00e9quentes,<\/li>\n<li>et une limitation des descentes d\u2019air frais oc\u00e9aniques.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28187\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/circulation-atmospherique\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?fit=1080%2C1097&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1080,1097\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"circulation atmospherique\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?fit=788%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28187 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?resize=1080%2C1097&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"1097\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?resize=295%2C300&amp;ssl=1 295w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?resize=788%2C800&amp;ssl=1 788w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?resize=59%2C60&amp;ssl=1 59w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?resize=768%2C780&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?resize=928%2C943&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique.jpg?resize=480%2C488&amp;ssl=1 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Le r\u00f4le de l\u2019AO : l\u2019Arctic Oscillation<\/strong><br \/>\nL\u2019Arctic Oscillation joue surtout un r\u00f4le majeur en hiver, mais son comportement en \u00e9t\u00e9 peut tout de m\u00eame influencer la dynamique europ\u00e9enne.<br \/>\nLorsque l\u2019AO reste positive :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>l\u2019air froid demeure davantage confin\u00e9 vers l\u2019Arctique,<\/li>\n<li>les \u00e9changes m\u00e9ridiens diminuent,<\/li>\n<li>les circulations zonales dominent davantage.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Dans ce contexte, les masses d\u2019air chaudes subtropicales peuvent remonter plus facilement vers l\u2019Europe.<br \/>\n\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une AO n\u00e9gative favoriserait davantage :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>les ondulations du jet-stream,<\/li>\n<li>les d\u00e9crochages frais,<\/li>\n<li>et des \u00e9pisodes orageux plus marqu\u00e9s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Le probl\u00e8me est que l\u2019AO estivale reste difficile \u00e0 anticiper plusieurs mois \u00e0 l\u2019avance. Cependant, plusieurs projections saisonni\u00e8res sugg\u00e8rent que les conditions g\u00e9n\u00e9rales pourraient favoriser des p\u00e9riodes relativement stables sur l\u2019Europe de l\u2019Ouest.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28189\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/vortex-polaire-3\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?fit=1080%2C1048&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1080,1048\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"vortex polaire\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?fit=800%2C776&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28189 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?resize=1080%2C1048&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"1048\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?resize=300%2C291&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?resize=800%2C776&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?resize=62%2C60&amp;ssl=1 62w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?resize=768%2C745&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?resize=928%2C901&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/vortex-polaire.jpg?resize=480%2C466&amp;ssl=1 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>La circulation Brewer-Dobson et les \u00e9changes stratosph\u00e9riques<\/strong><br \/>\nLa Brewer-Dobson circulation est une immense circulation atmosph\u00e9rique stratosph\u00e9rique transportant lentement l\u2019air des tropiques vers les p\u00f4les.<br \/>\nBien que son impact direct sur la m\u00e9t\u00e9o quotidienne soit faible, cette circulation influence :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>la temp\u00e9rature stratosph\u00e9rique,<\/li>\n<li>la r\u00e9partition de l\u2019ozone,<\/li>\n<li>les interactions entre la troposph\u00e8re et la stratosph\u00e8re.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Certains chercheurs estiment que les modifications actuelles de cette circulation, combin\u00e9es au r\u00e9chauffement climatique global, participent \u00e0 rendre certaines configurations atmosph\u00e9riques plus persistantes.<br \/>\nCela pourrait favoriser en \u00e9t\u00e9 :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>des blocages durables,<\/li>\n<li>des d\u00f4mes de chaleur,<\/li>\n<li>ou des situations orageuses lentes et fortement pluvieuses.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Quel sc\u00e9nario pour la France ?<br \/>\n\u00c0 ce stade, plusieurs \u00e9l\u00e9ments convergent vers un sc\u00e9nario relativement chaud pour l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2026.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28188\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/circulation-atmospherique-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?fit=1080%2C742&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1080,742\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"circulation atmospherique\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?fit=800%2C550&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28188 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?resize=1080%2C742&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"742\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?resize=300%2C206&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?resize=800%2C550&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?resize=80%2C55&amp;ssl=1 80w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?resize=768%2C528&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?resize=928%2C638&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/circulation-atmospherique-1.jpg?resize=480%2C330&amp;ssl=1 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Juin 2026<\/strong><br \/>\nLe d\u00e9but d\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 pourrait rester relativement contrast\u00e9 :<br \/>\nalternance entre chaleur pr\u00e9coce et passages orageux,<br \/>\nhumidit\u00e9 parfois importante,<br \/>\npremi\u00e8res pouss\u00e9es subtropicales notables.<br \/>\nLa v\u00e9g\u00e9tation encore humide pourrait limiter temporairement les exc\u00e8s thermiques.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Juillet 2026<\/strong><br \/>\nJuillet pourrait devenir plus stable et plus chaud.<br \/>\nLes sc\u00e9narios actuellement les plus coh\u00e9rents sugg\u00e8rent :<br \/>\ndes dorsales subtropicales plus fr\u00e9quentes,<br \/>\ndes temp\u00e9ratures souvent sup\u00e9rieures aux normales,<br \/>\nun risque accru de vagues de chaleur.<br \/>\nLe sud-ouest, la vall\u00e9e du Rh\u00f4ne et le pourtour m\u00e9diterran\u00e9en pourraient \u00eatre particuli\u00e8rement expos\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ao\u00fbt 2026<\/strong><br \/>\nAo\u00fbt pourrait devenir le mois le plus instable.<br \/>\nLa chaleur accumul\u00e9e :<\/p>\n<p>sur les sols,<br \/>\ndans les basses couches atmosph\u00e9riques,<br \/>\net sur les mers environnantes,<br \/>\npourrait alimenter des \u00e9pisodes orageux parfois violents.<\/p>\n<p>On pourrait alors observer :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>de fortes cellules convectives,<\/li>\n<li>des \u00e9pisodes de gr\u00eale,<\/li>\n<li>des pluies diluviennes locales,<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>voire des \u00e9pisodes m\u00e9diterran\u00e9ens pr\u00e9coces si la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e atteint des temp\u00e9ratures tr\u00e8s \u00e9lev\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28190\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?fit=1536%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1536,1024\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"ete 2026 en france indices et oscillations\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?fit=800%2C533&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28190 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=1536%2C1024&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?w=1536&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=800%2C533&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=80%2C53&amp;ssl=1 80w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=768%2C512&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=1226%2C817&amp;ssl=1 1226w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=928%2C619&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-en-france-indices-et-oscillations.jpg?resize=480%2C320&amp;ssl=1 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique amplifie d\u00e9sormais tout<\/strong><br \/>\nIl devient \u00e9galement impossible d\u2019analyser un \u00e9t\u00e9 moderne sans int\u00e9grer l\u2019impact du r\u00e9chauffement climatique global.<br \/>\nAujourd\u2019hui :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>les oc\u00e9ans sont plus chauds,<\/li>\n<li>l\u2019atmosph\u00e8re contient davantage de vapeur d\u2019eau,<\/li>\n<li>les sols s\u2019ass\u00e8chent plus rapidement,<\/li>\n<li>les nuits refroidissent moins efficacement.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Dans ce contexte, les oscillations naturelles comme El Ni\u00f1o, la QBO ou l\u2019AO agissent d\u00e9sormais sur une base thermique d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9lev\u00e9e.<br \/>\nAutrement dit : un \u00e9t\u00e9 simplement \u201cchaud\u201d il y a 30 ans peut aujourd\u2019hui devenir un \u00e9t\u00e9 exceptionnellement chaud.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><br \/>\nL\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2026 semble pr\u00e9senter plusieurs ingr\u00e9dients favorables \u00e0 une saison dynamique et souvent chaude sur la France :<br \/>\nmise en place progressive d\u2019El Ni\u00f1o, possible domination anticyclonique par moments, influence probable de la QBO, oc\u00e9ans anormalement chauds, \u00e9nergie atmosph\u00e9rique importante.<\/p>\n<p>Le sc\u00e9nario le plus probable reste celui :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>d\u2019un \u00e9t\u00e9 plus chaud que la normale,<\/li>\n<li>ponctu\u00e9 d\u2019\u00e9pisodes orageux parfois violents,<\/li>\n<li>avec un risque de vagues de chaleur significatif surtout en juillet et ao\u00fbt.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Mais comme toujours en m\u00e9t\u00e9orologie europ\u00e9enne, la position exacte du jet-stream et l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019Atlantique nord resteront les arbitres finaux de la saison.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"28191\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-ete-tres-chaud-en-france\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?fit=1246%2C776&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1246,776\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"ete 2026 europe de l&amp;rsquo;ouest et france\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?fit=800%2C498&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-28191 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=1246%2C776&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1246\" height=\"776\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?w=1246&amp;ssl=1 1246w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=300%2C187&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=800%2C498&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=80%2C50&amp;ssl=1 80w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=768%2C478&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=1226%2C764&amp;ssl=1 1226w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=928%2C578&amp;ssl=1 928w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?resize=480%2C299&amp;ssl=1 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Adaptation<a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/\"> T<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/\">erra Projects<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"28183\">(1166)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2026 pourrait bien devenir l\u2019un des plus int\u00e9ressants de ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es sur le plan m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique et climatique. Plusieurs&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28191,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[32],"tags":[316,8337,247,618],"class_list":["post-28183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-meteorologie","tag-chaleur","tag-ete-2026","tag-oscillations","tag-previsions-saisonnieres","wpcat-32-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ete-2026-europe-de-louest-et-france.jpg?fit=1246%2C776&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-7kz","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":23550,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/chronique-et-explications-dune-mjo-loscillation-de-madden-julian\/","url_meta":{"origin":28183,"position":0},"title":"Chronique et explications d&rsquo;une MJO (L\u2019oscillation de Madden-Julian)","author":"Admin","date":"15 d\u00e9cembre 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"L\u2019oscillation de Madden-Julian est un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne anormal de fortes pr\u00e9cipitations le long de l'\u00e9quateur \u00e0 l'\u00e9chelle plan\u00e9taire. Il se caract\u00e9rise par une progression graduelle vers l'est des zones de pluies tropicales et des zones s\u00e8ches concomitantes. On l'observe surtout dans les oc\u00e9ans Indien et Pacifique. Les pluies anormalement fortes se\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/MJO.jpg?fit=990%2C670&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/MJO.jpg?fit=990%2C670&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/MJO.jpg?fit=990%2C670&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/MJO.jpg?fit=990%2C670&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1333,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-rechauffement-climatique-est-fini\/","url_meta":{"origin":28183,"position":1},"title":"Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique est fini","author":"Admin","date":"31 mars 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Institut europ\u00e9en pour le climat et l'\u00e9nergie d\u00e9nomme la nouvelle hypoth\u00e8se du \"chaud-froid \" un non sens m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique ! Ce qui suit est une r\u00e9futation de la tr\u00e8s douteuse analyse du r\u00e9chauffement climatique qui provoque un refroidissement que nous avons entendu parler ces derniers temps. La banquise serait en cause.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ao","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/ao-positif-negatif.jpg?fit=450%2C449&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":15549,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/hiver-2017-2018\/","url_meta":{"origin":28183,"position":2},"title":"Hiver 2017-2018","author":"Admin","date":"25 ao\u00fbt 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"L'Hiver 2017-2018 se profile d\u00e9j\u00e0 en terme de m\u00e9t\u00e9orologie pour tous les passionn\u00e9s qui se penchent sur les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res. Une science qui n'est qu'\u00e0 ces d\u00e9buts tant elle est compliqu\u00e9e et rarement juste \u00e0 100%. L'hiver dernier notre score se situe dans les 20% de justesse. Un facteur d\u00e9terminant\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/neige-janvier2016-alpes.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/neige-janvier2016-alpes.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/neige-janvier2016-alpes.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/neige-janvier2016-alpes.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/neige-janvier2016-alpes.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":8294,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-circulation-de-brewer-dobson\/","url_meta":{"origin":28183,"position":3},"title":"La circulation de Brewer-Dobson","author":"Admin","date":"19 septembre 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"La circulation de Brewer-Dobson par Nanuq.\u00a0Je m'y suis repris \u00e0 plusieurs reprises. Sujet passionnant mais compliqu\u00e9!\u00a0Cette partie ne concerne que le pacifique \u00e9quatorial. Il existe d'autre ondes de gravit\u00e9 (bruits) dans l'atlantique et ailleurs dans le monde. Autres exemples, les cyclones, typhons etc..qui sont issus de la force de Coriolis,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/brewer-dobson.jpg?fit=462%2C357&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":904,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-meteo-desastreuse-expliquee-simplement\/","url_meta":{"origin":28183,"position":4},"title":"La M\u00e9t\u00e9o d\u00e9sastreuse expliqu\u00e9e simplement","author":"Admin","date":"22 mai 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Printemps pourri, mai pluvieux, \u00ab ponts \u00bb ou week-end g\u00e2ch\u00e9s... En ce \u00ab joli \u00bb mois de mai, le ciel fait des siennes. M\u00e9t\u00e9o d\u00e9traqu\u00e9e ou simple al\u00e9a climatique ? Oui certainement, et voici \u00e9galement un indice qui nous aide \u00e0 expliquer le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne, on l'appelle l'AO (l'oscillation arctique).","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"orage ","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/orage-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":13226,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/hiver-2016-2017-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":28183,"position":5},"title":"Hiver 2016-2017","author":"Admin","date":"6 septembre 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Apr\u00e8s notre premier article de fin juillet 2016 sur les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de notre prochain Hiver 2016-2017. Voici une nouvelle tendance\u00a0selon Mike\u00a0: J'ai les premiers \u00e9l\u00e9ments pour la tendance de l'hiver 2016\/2017 qui pourrait s\u2019av\u00e9rer tr\u00e8s int\u00e9ressant sur l'Europe en premi\u00e8re partie. Tout d'abord, il y a du changement au\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/neige-verglas.jpeg?fit=1024%2C560&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/neige-verglas.jpeg?fit=1024%2C560&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/neige-verglas.jpeg?fit=1024%2C560&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/neige-verglas.jpeg?fit=1024%2C560&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28183"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28183\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28192,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28183\/revisions\/28192"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28191"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}