{"id":26759,"date":"2025-03-11T12:00:50","date_gmt":"2025-03-11T11:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=26759"},"modified":"2025-02-26T12:27:52","modified_gmt":"2025-02-26T11:27:52","slug":"la-croissance-de-la-population-diminue-rapidement-au-niveau-mondial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-croissance-de-la-population-diminue-rapidement-au-niveau-mondial\/","title":{"rendered":"La croissance de la population diminue rapidement au niveau mondial"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Alors que l\u2019on pr\u00e9voyait il y a encore une d\u00e9cennie une croissance d\u00e9mographique galopante, celle-ci semble d\u00e9j\u00e0 avoir atteint son pic dans de nombreux pays, ce qui devrait se traduire par une baisse de la population mondiale d\u2019ici la fin du si\u00e8cle.<\/p>\n<p>Une f\u00e9condit\u00e9 qui s\u2019effondre<br \/>\nEn 2024, la population mondiale a franchi pour la premi\u00e8re fois le seuil des huit milliards d\u2019habitants, mais il s\u2019av\u00e8re que son taux de croissance diminue consid\u00e9rablement. Selon les derni\u00e8res projections de l\u2019ONU, elle atteindra son pic au cours des ann\u00e9es 2080 (10,3 milliards d\u2019\u00eatres humains) et devrait commencer \u00e0 diminuer avant 2100.<\/p>\n<p>Lire aussi Duba\u00ef d\u00e9voile l\u2019appartement le plus haut du monde en vente pour 51 millions de dollars<br \/>\nIl y a quelques ann\u00e9es seulement, la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un tel sc\u00e9nario ne d\u00e9passait pas 30 % : plusieurs mod\u00e8les estimaient m\u00eame que la Terre accueillerait plus de 12 milliards d\u2019\u00e2mes avant la fin du si\u00e8cle.<\/p>\n<p>Cette situation est \u00e9troitement li\u00e9e \u00e0 la chute des taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire le nombre moyen d\u2019enfants pour chaque femme adulte. Pour que la population d\u2019un pays se maintienne, il doit se situer autour de 2,1. Or, dans plus de la moiti\u00e9 d\u2019entre eux, il se r\u00e9v\u00e8le largement inf\u00e9rieur.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p>D\u2019ici le milieu du si\u00e8cle, on estime que le nombre d\u2019habitants de nations comme la Chine (qui affiche un taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 de 1,4 enfant par femme seulement), la Russie et le Japon (dont pr\u00e8s d\u2019un tiers de la population est \u00e2g\u00e9e de plus de 65 ans) devrait diminuer d\u2019environ 14 %.<\/p>\n<p>Transition d\u00e9mographique<br \/>\nL\u2019effondrement g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9 des taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 est aujourd\u2019hui largement attribu\u00e9 \u00e0 la \u00ab transition d\u00e9mographique \u00bb. \u00c0 mesure que les pays s\u2019industrialisent, les taux de natalit\u00e9 et de mortalit\u00e9 diminuent. Dans ces soci\u00e9t\u00e9s, les femmes disposent g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement de davantage d\u2019opportunit\u00e9s d\u2019\u00e9volution, et choisissent souvent de fonder une famille plus tard.<\/p>\n<p>Une esp\u00e9rance de vie plus longue et moins de naissances impliquent un vieillissement progressif de la population mondiale. Actuellement, les statisticiens pr\u00e9voient que le nombre de personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es de plus de 65 ans d\u00e9passe celui des jeunes de moins de 18 ans autour de 2070.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019an pass\u00e9, une \u00e9tude avait sugg\u00e9r\u00e9 que plus de la moiti\u00e9 des villes pourraient devenir des villes fant\u00f4mes d\u2019ici 2100.<\/p>\n<p>source : <a href=\"https:\/\/dailygeekshow.com\/chute-croissance-population\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/dailygeekshow.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"26759\">(164)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alors que l\u2019on pr\u00e9voyait il y a encore une d\u00e9cennie une croissance d\u00e9mographique galopante, celle-ci semble d\u00e9j\u00e0 avoir atteint son&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24540,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[18],"tags":[3576,130,1305,731],"class_list":["post-26759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde-futur","tag-decroissance","tag-monde","tag-mondial","tag-population","wpcat-18-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-6XB","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":26068,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-population-mondiale-atteindra-son-pic-dans-60-ans-puis-diminuera\/","url_meta":{"origin":26759,"position":0},"title":"La population mondiale atteindra son pic dans 60 ans, puis diminuera","author":"Admin","date":"28 juillet 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"La population mondiale atteindra un pic au milieu des ann\u00e9es 2080, autour de 10,3 milliards de personnes, puis chutera l\u00e9g\u00e8rement \u00e0 un niveau bien inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui pr\u00e9vu il y a dix ans, ont indiqu\u00e9 les Nations Unies. La population actuelle de 8,2 milliards de personnes atteindra ce maximum au\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22786,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/pour-la-premiere-fois-depuis-des-siecles-la-population-du-monde-diminuera-en-quelques-decennies\/","url_meta":{"origin":26759,"position":1},"title":"Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis des si\u00e8cles, la population du monde diminuera en quelques d\u00e9cennies","author":"Admin","date":"24 juillet 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Pour la premi\u00e8re fois dans l'histoire moderne, la population mondiale devrait diminuer au cours du prochain si\u00e8cle, ce qui entra\u00eenera une \"r\u00e9volution dans l'histoire de notre civilisation humaine\" et de profonds changements dans la fa\u00e7on dont les gens vivent leur vie. La population mondiale s'\u00e9l\u00e8ve actuellement \u00e0 environ 7,8 milliards\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":21137,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-monde-avec-88-milliards-dhabitants-en-2100\/","url_meta":{"origin":26759,"position":2},"title":"Vers un monde avec 8,8 milliards d&rsquo;habitants en 2100","author":"Admin","date":"15 juillet 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"La population mondiale devrait d\u00e9cliner d\u00e8s la deuxi\u00e8me moiti\u00e9 du si\u00e8cle pour atteindre 8,8 milliards en 2100, soit 2 milliards de moins que les projections de l'ONU, selon une \u00e9tude in\u00e9dite qui pr\u00e9dit des bouleversements dans l'\u00e9quilibre mondial et au sein des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s. Le chiffre a fait grand bruit lors\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24325,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-depeuple\/","url_meta":{"origin":26759,"position":3},"title":"Un monde d\u00e9peupl\u00e9","author":"Admin","date":"25 ao\u00fbt 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Nous ne serons plus que 4 milliards en 2100 : une \u00e9tude anticipe une baisse d\u00e9mographique in\u00e9dite. Selon James Pomeroy nous seront que 4 milliards en 2100 et non pas 10 milliards. Pour lui la natalit\u00e9 devrait baisser drastiquement et la mortalit\u00e9 devrait quant \u00e0 elle \u00eatre d\u00e9cupl\u00e9 en raison\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19310,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-monde-aura-109-milliards-dhumains-en-2100\/","url_meta":{"origin":26759,"position":4},"title":"Le monde aura 10,9 milliards d&rsquo;humains en 2100","author":"Admin","date":"11 octobre 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"La division de la population des Nations Unies vient de rendre publiques ses nouvelles pr\u00e9visions d\u00e9mographiques au niveau mondial, \u00e0 l'horizon 2100. Ces donn\u00e9es sont actualis\u00e9es tous les deux ans, et figurent parmi les plus fiables en mati\u00e8re de mortalit\u00e9, f\u00e9condit\u00e9, vieillissement des populations et croissance d\u00e9mographique. Le centre de\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24538,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/notre-monde-notre-terre-a-loree-de-8-milliards-dhabitants\/","url_meta":{"origin":26759,"position":5},"title":"Notre monde, notre Terre \u00e0 l&rsquo;or\u00e9e de 8 milliards d&rsquo;habitants","author":"Admin","date":"12 novembre 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Ce 15 novembre 2022, nous serons 8 milliards d\u2019humains sur Terre ! La population mondiale s\u2019appr\u00eate \u00e0 atteindre un nouveau palier record. Le d\u00e9mographe Thomas Spoorenberg, l\u2019un de ses auteurs, y voit \u00ab une bonne nouvelle pour l\u2019humanit\u00e9. Si elle franchit ce seuil, c\u2019est gr\u00e2ce aux progr\u00e8s de la m\u00e9decine,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26759"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26760,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26759\/revisions\/26760"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24540"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}