{"id":26130,"date":"2024-08-09T12:00:29","date_gmt":"2024-08-09T10:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=26130"},"modified":"2025-01-31T16:48:59","modified_gmt":"2025-01-31T15:48:59","slug":"cette-ia-peut-predire-quelques-minutes-a-lavance-le-naufrage-dun-navire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/cette-ia-peut-predire-quelques-minutes-a-lavance-le-naufrage-dun-navire\/","title":{"rendered":"Cette IA peut pr\u00e9dire quelques minutes \u00e0 l&rsquo;avance le naufrage d&rsquo;un navire"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates sont des vagues d&rsquo;une taille exceptionnelle, connues pour surgir de nulle part et prendre en tra\u00eetre les navires et les baigneurs malchanceux. Mais un nouveau mod\u00e8le d&rsquo;intelligence artificielle peut pr\u00e9dire la plupart de ces vagues surprenantes jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 cinq minutes \u00e0 l&rsquo;avance. C&rsquo;est ce que rapportent les ing\u00e9nieurs en m\u00e9canique Thomas Breunung et Balakumar Balachandran, de l&rsquo;universit\u00e9 du Maryland \u00e0 College Park, dans la revue Scientific Reports du 18 juillet.<\/p>\n<p>Avec une cr\u00eate plus de deux fois plus haute que les vagues voisines, les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates peuvent se former lorsque des houles convergentes soul\u00e8vent une seule vague amplifi\u00e9e ou lorsque les courants oc\u00e9aniques compriment les houles pour en faire de puissantes vagues de billows. Bien que les chercheurs aient remarqu\u00e9 que certains sch\u00e9mas pouvaient pr\u00e9c\u00e9der ces vagues soudaines, aucun algorithme de pr\u00e9vision efficace n&rsquo;avait encore \u00e9t\u00e9 mis au point (SN : 6\/8\/15). Un tel outil pourrait sauver des vies &#8211; de 2011 \u00e0 2018, les t\u00e9moignages recueillis indiquent que les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates ont tu\u00e9 386 personnes et coul\u00e9 24 navires.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p>\u00c0 l&rsquo;aide d&rsquo;environ 16 millions de points de donn\u00e9es recueillis \u00e0 intervalles d&rsquo;une demi-heure par un r\u00e9seau de 172 bou\u00e9es oc\u00e9aniques, Breunung et Balachandran ont entra\u00een\u00e9 un programme d&rsquo;intelligence artificielle \u00e0 distinguer les formes de vagues qui pr\u00e9c\u00e8dent les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates. Le programme a pr\u00e9dit trois arriv\u00e9es de vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates sur quatre aux bou\u00e9es du r\u00e9seau une minute \u00e0 l&rsquo;avance. Lorsque le d\u00e9lai a \u00e9t\u00e9 port\u00e9 \u00e0 cinq minutes, environ 7 vagues sur 10 ont \u00e9t\u00e9 anticip\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<p>Il est \u00e0 noter que le programme a anticip\u00e9 les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s aussi bien aux endroits o\u00f9 il n&rsquo;avait re\u00e7u aucune donn\u00e9e d&rsquo;entra\u00eenement. \u00ab Si vous voulez pr\u00e9dire les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates \u00e0 un nouvel endroit, il vous suffit de placer votre bou\u00e9e et vous pouvez utiliser ce programme sans formation \u00bb, explique M. Breunung.<\/p>\n<p>L&rsquo;exploitation d&rsquo;architectures d&rsquo;IA plus puissantes et d&rsquo;un plus grand nombre de donn\u00e9es pourrait permettre d&rsquo;obtenir des taux de pr\u00e9diction encore plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s. \u00ab Peut-\u00eatre pourrons-nous atteindre un taux de 4 sur 4 &#8230;.. A suivre.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"26131\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/cette-ia-peut-predire-quelques-minutes-a-lavance-le-naufrage-dun-navire\/vague-scelerate-8\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1024,1024\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"vague scelerate\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=800%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?resize=1024%2C1024&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-26131\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?w=1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?resize=800%2C800&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?resize=768%2C768&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?resize=144%2C144&amp;ssl=1 144w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Adaptation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Terra Projects<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencenews.org\/article\/ai-predict-ship-sinking-freak-waves\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.sciencenews.org\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"26130\">(89)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates sont des vagues d&rsquo;une taille exceptionnelle, connues pour surgir de nulle part et prendre en tra\u00eetre les&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26131,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[8194],"tags":[1102,745,241,3158,7013],"class_list":["post-26130","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technologie","tag-bateau","tag-ia","tag-ocean","tag-vagues","tag-vagues-scelerates","wpcat-8194-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-6Ns","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":10865,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-bateau-frappe-en-direct-par-une-vague-scelerate-et-alerte-sur-la-cote-ouest-des-etats-unis\/","url_meta":{"origin":26130,"position":0},"title":"Un bateau frapp\u00e9 en direct par une vague sc\u00e9l\u00e9rate et alerte sur la c\u00f4te ouest des Etats-Unis","author":"Admin","date":"31 janvier 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Des images incroyables tourn\u00e9es au large de l'Alaska. Un bateau est frapp\u00e9 de travers par une vague sc\u00e9l\u00e9rate et perd un temps sa propulsion. Les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates sont des vagues oc\u00e9aniques tr\u00e8s hautes, soudaines, que l'on consid\u00e8re comme tr\u00e8s rares, bien que cette raret\u00e9 semble toute relative. https:\/\/youtu.be\/l_8hOai9hGQ Jusqu'au milieu\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=994%2C629&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=994%2C629&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=994%2C629&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=994%2C629&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":25786,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/les-vagues-scelerates-geantes-pourraient-se-produire-beaucoup-plus-souvent-quon-ne-le-pense\/","url_meta":{"origin":26130,"position":1},"title":"Les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates g\u00e9antes pourraient se produire beaucoup plus souvent qu&rsquo;on ne le pense","author":"Admin","date":"23 avril 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Nous avons utilis\u00e9 l'imagerie tridimensionnelle des vagues oc\u00e9aniques pour observer des conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques exceptionnelles qui produisent un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne notoire connu sous le nom de \"vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates\". Nos r\u00e9sultats sont maintenant publi\u00e9s dans Physical Review Letters. Les vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates sont des colosses oc\u00e9aniques g\u00e9ants - deux fois plus hauts que les\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Courants Marins&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Courants Marins","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/circulation-oceanique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-3.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-3.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-3.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-3.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":27654,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/une-vague-vague-scelerate-inedite-observee-dans-le-pacifique\/","url_meta":{"origin":26130,"position":2},"title":"Une vague \u00ab vague sc\u00e9l\u00e9rate \u00bb in\u00e9dite observ\u00e9e dans le Pacifique","author":"Admin","date":"7 f\u00e9vrier 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"En novembre 2020, une vague sc\u00e9l\u00e9rate est apparue, soulevant une bou\u00e9e isol\u00e9e au large des c\u00f4tes de la Colombie-Britannique \u00e0 une hauteur de 17,6 m\u00e8tres (58 pieds). Quelques ann\u00e9es plus tard, il a \u00e9t\u00e9 confirm\u00e9 que ce mur d'eau de quatre \u00e9tages \u00e9tait la vague sc\u00e9l\u00e9rate la plus extr\u00eame jamais\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/vague-scelerate-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":18338,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vagues-scelerates-ces-vagues-terrifiantes-et-mythiques\/","url_meta":{"origin":26130,"position":3},"title":"\u00ab\u00a0Vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates\u00a0\u00bb : ces vagues terrifiantes et mythiques","author":"Admin","date":"12 f\u00e9vrier 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Ces vagues sont mythiques et font partie des l\u00e9gendes entourant les marins : des vagues impr\u00e9visibles et gigantesques (jusqu'\u00e0 trente m\u00e8tres de hauteur !). Pendant longtemps personne n\u2019a cru ces descriptions apocalyptiques. Des chercheurs \u00e9cossais ont compris aujourd'hui comment elles se formaient. La disparition de navires dans des conditions myst\u00e9rieuses\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=858%2C439&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=858%2C439&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=858%2C439&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/vague-scelerate.jpg?fit=858%2C439&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3993,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/locean-indien-balaye-par-une-houle-hors-norme\/","url_meta":{"origin":26130,"position":4},"title":"L&rsquo;Oc\u00e9an Indien balay\u00e9 par une houle hors norme","author":"Admin","date":"22 mai 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"L\u2019origine et le d\u00e9placement des vagues de pr\u00e8s de 11 m de haut qui ont d\u00e9vast\u00e9 l\u2019\u00eele fran\u00e7aise de la R\u00e9union, dans l\u2019Oc\u00e9an Indien, dans la soir\u00e9e de samedi 12 mai 2007, ont \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9tect\u00e9s par le satellite Envisat de l\u2019ESA. Les vagues, qui ont durement frapp\u00e9 le port de\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/reunion.gif?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/reunion.gif?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/reunion.gif?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3996,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tempete-de-neige-en-afrique-du-sud\/","url_meta":{"origin":26130,"position":5},"title":"Temp\u00eate de Neige en Afrique du Sud","author":"Admin","date":"24 mai 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Suite \u00e0 une houle hors norme dans l'oc\u00e9an Indien, l'Afrique est frapp\u00e9e dans le m\u00eame temps par une temp\u00eate de neige pas vue depuis 25 ans. Quand le r\u00e9chauffement climatique provoque une forte temp\u00eate de neige avec des vagues sc\u00e9l\u00e9rates,\u00a0le r\u00e9chauffement ne ressemblera vraiment pas \u00e0 ce qu'on pouvait imaginer...\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/afriquedusud1.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26130","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26130"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26130\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26133,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26130\/revisions\/26133"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26131"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26130"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26130"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26130"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}