{"id":24378,"date":"2022-09-10T16:53:25","date_gmt":"2022-09-10T14:53:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=24378"},"modified":"2022-09-10T20:59:35","modified_gmt":"2022-09-10T18:59:35","slug":"lhiver-2022-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2022-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"L&rsquo;hiver 2022-2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Nous avons d\u00e9marr\u00e9 ce nouvel automne m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique depuis le 1er septembre. Pour ce qui concerne notre futur hiver 2022-2023, les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res habituelles se profilent d\u00e9j\u00e0. Les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s encourageantes par leurs fiabilit\u00e9s \u00e0 hauteur de 70%. On peut revoir <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2021-2022\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">l\u2019article ici<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>La situation m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique mondiale \u00e0 quelque peu \u00e9volu\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re. Comme les ann\u00e9es pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes, nous allons nous pencher sur les indices \u00e0 notre disposition et \u00e9galement sur la Nina qui joue un grand r\u00f4le comme nous l&rsquo;avions d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu.<\/p>\n<p>Un \u00e9v\u00e8nement a \u00e9volu\u00e9 du cot\u00e9 de la QBO qui est repass\u00e9e en positive. Et comme nous l&rsquo;avions <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/chronique-et-explications-dune-qbo-vents-equatoriaux-dereglee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">vu ici<\/a> influence grandement l&rsquo;Am\u00e9rique du Nord et l&rsquo;Europe. Son <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/relation-qboactivite-solaire-explication-de-son-mecanisme\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">m\u00e9canisme est expliqu\u00e9 ici <\/a>! Notre QBO actuelle \u00e9tant tr\u00e8s positive, elle devrait donc ralentir <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-circulation-de-brewer-dobson\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">la circulation Brewer Dobson<\/a>, \u00ab La circulation de Brewer-Dobson est un mod\u00e8le de circulation atmosph\u00e9rique propos\u00e9 par Alan brewer en 1949 et par Gordon Dobson en 1956, expliquant pourquoi l\u2019air tropical a moins d\u2019ozone que l\u2019air polaire, m\u00eame si la zone tropicale de la stratosph\u00e8re est l\u2019endroit o\u00f9 la couche d\u2019ozone atmosph\u00e9rique est la plus produite. Il s\u2019agit d\u2019un mod\u00e8le de circulation simple qui postule l\u2019existence d\u2019un lent courant qui redistribue l\u2019air en hiver. \u00bb, et par cons\u00e9quent \u00ab\u00a0centraliser\u00a0\u00bb le vortex polaire sur notre prochain hiver. <a href=\"https:\/\/psl.noaa.gov\/data\/correlation\/qbo.data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">La QBO peut \u00eatre retrouv\u00e9e ici.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sur ce qui se passe du cot\u00e9 de l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an pacifique, la Nina est pass\u00e9e du Nina CP \u00e0 EP et la tendance pourrait bien se poursuivre :<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/nina-favorable-non-favorable.png?resize=448%2C406&amp;ssl=1\" width=\"584\" height=\"529\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Voici les cartes sst en 1 mois sur le mois d&rsquo;aout et septembre :<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"24391\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2022-2023\/sst-aout-2022\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?fit=1787%2C1085&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1787,1085\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"sst aout 2022\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?fit=800%2C486&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-24391\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?resize=1787%2C1085&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1787\" height=\"1085\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?w=1787&amp;ssl=1 1787w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?resize=300%2C182&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?resize=800%2C486&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?resize=768%2C466&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-aout-2022.jpg?resize=1536%2C933&amp;ssl=1 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"24392\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2022-2023\/sst-septembre-2022\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?fit=1787%2C1085&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1787,1085\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"sst septembre 2022\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?fit=800%2C486&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-24392\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?resize=1787%2C1085&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1787\" height=\"1085\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?w=1787&amp;ssl=1 1787w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?resize=300%2C182&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?resize=800%2C486&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?resize=768%2C466&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-septembre-2022.jpg?resize=1536%2C933&amp;ssl=1 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Le blob hyper chaud sur le pacifique Nord s&rsquo;est att\u00e9nu\u00e9 et d\u00e9plac\u00e9 sur le pacifique nord ouest. Il est grandement responsable de cet \u00e9t\u00e9 hyper chaud sur l&rsquo;Europe. Celui que les scientifiques surnomment \u00ab le blob \u00bb est une zone de chaleur anormale situ\u00e9e dans une partie de l\u2019oc\u00e9an Pacifique. Cette grande masse d\u2019eau, localis\u00e9e au large des c\u00f4tes de l\u2019Am\u00e9rique du Nord, a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9couverte \u00e0 la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2013 et a continu\u00e9 \u00e0 se propager et \u00e0 se r\u00e9chauffer au cours des ann\u00e9es suivantes. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/secheresse-la-nina-en-cause\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">voir ici&nbsp;<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-blob-de-chaleur-de-locean-pacifique-nord-impacte-durement-le-climat-sur-lamerique-du-nord-et-leurope\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">et surtout ICI.<\/a>. La situation m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique devrait donc radicalement changer dans les mois qui nous arrivent et sur ce futur hiver.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p>L&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire est en tr\u00e8s forte hausse par rapport aux pr\u00e9visions mais reste relativement encore faible par rapport aux cycles pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents :<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_24393\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24393\" style=\"width: 500px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"24393\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2022-2023\/activite-solaire-cycles-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/activite-solaire-cycles.jpg?fit=500%2C438&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"500,438\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"activit\u00e9 solaire cycles\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/activite-solaire-cycles.jpg?fit=500%2C438&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"wp-image-24393 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/activite-solaire-cycles.jpg?resize=500%2C438&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"438\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/activite-solaire-cycles.jpg?w=500&amp;ssl=1 500w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/activite-solaire-cycles.jpg?resize=300%2C263&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-24393\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">credit Noaa<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>La m\u00e9diterran\u00e9e n&rsquo;a toujours pas encore \u00e9vacu\u00e9e son exc\u00e9dent calorique emmagasin\u00e9 tout au long de cet \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s chaud sur l&rsquo;Europe :<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_24394\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24394\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"24394\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2022-2023\/sst-mediterranee-septembre-2022\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-mediterranee-septembre-2022.jpg?fit=300%2C368&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"300,368\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"sst m\u00e9diterran\u00e9e septembre 2022\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-mediterranee-septembre-2022.jpg?fit=300%2C368&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"wp-image-24394 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-mediterranee-septembre-2022.jpg?resize=300%2C368&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-mediterranee-septembre-2022.jpg?w=300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/sst-mediterranee-septembre-2022.jpg?resize=245%2C300&amp;ssl=1 245w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-24394\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">credit Noaa<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Dans ces conditions, nous aurions un vortex polaire centralis\u00e9 avec une Nina EP favorable au froid :<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/nina-favorable-non-favorable.png?resize=448%2C406&amp;ssl=1\" width=\"501\" height=\"454\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Les abords de la m\u00e9diterran\u00e9e devraient conna\u00eetre de forts \u00e9pisodes m\u00e9diterran\u00e9ens dans les semaines \u00e0 venir. Cependant, une Nina EP avec des hautes pressions plus au nord favoriseraient des flux continentaux sur l&rsquo;Hiver prochain.&nbsp; Les fortes chaleurs oc\u00e9aniques de l&rsquo;est du Canada favoriseraient encore plus un hiver en dessous des normes saisonni\u00e8res sur l&rsquo;Europe de l&rsquo;Ouest.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Nous aurions donc une fin d&rsquo;automne et d\u00e9but d&rsquo;hiver avec une tendance de renversement de situation m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique, nous passerions de l&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e0 l&rsquo;hiver assez subitement. Le climat continental a la particularit\u00e9 de connaitre des saisons tr\u00e8s marqu\u00e9es avec une grande diff\u00e9rence entre les temp\u00e9ratures estivales et hivernales. Les hivers sont froids et rigoureux, avec des chutes de neige non n\u00e9gligeables. Dixit <a href=\"https:\/\/jardinage.lemonde.fr\/dossier-2845-climats-europe-regions-biogeographiques.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lemondefr<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Le mois de d\u00e9cembre devrait \u00eatre sous les normes saisonni\u00e8res, froid, humide sur le sud, et enneig\u00e9 sur les massifs. Cela serait sec sur la moiti\u00e9 nord de la France.<br \/>\nSur le mois de Janvier, nous devrions avoir des flux Moscou-Paris et un grand froid devrait s&#8217;emparer de l&rsquo;Europe de l&rsquo;ouest et de la France. Des retours d&rsquo;est sur la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e devrait largement blanchir les massifs alpins.<\/p>\n<p>Cependant la QBO \u00e9tant positive cette ann\u00e9e, elle ne pourrait pas favoriserait un hiver qui s&rsquo;\u00e9tendrait sur les 3 mois cette ann\u00e9e. Le flux continental pourrait se transformer en Zonal ou flux d&rsquo;ouest sur le mois de f\u00e9vrier.<\/p>\n<p>En terme d&rsquo;humidit\u00e9 et pluviom\u00e9trie, nous passerions donc d&rsquo;un flux d&rsquo;est sec \u00e0 un flux d&rsquo;ouest humide au cours de l&rsquo;hiver. Cet hiver marquerait enfin un tournant hivernal et pas vu depuis 2012.<\/p>\n<p>Cependant, on peut toujours s\u2019attendre \u00e0 des surprises, apr\u00e8s tout la m\u00e9t\u00e9o n\u2019est pas une science exacte. La QBO pourrait r\u00e9ellement influencer une fin d&rsquo;hiver sur la fin janvier. Un renversement de Nina EP vers une CP reste possible. Une chose est certaine, la situation actuelle reste tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rente de l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, on vient de passer un \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s chaud et caniculaire sur nos contr\u00e9es. Bien diff\u00e9rent de l&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9 2021 qui fut class\u00e9 comme \u00ab\u00a0pourri\u00a0\u00bb. Serait ce de m\u00eame pour le futur hiver ? Si l&rsquo;on croit la situation de l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an pacifique, de la QBO, on peut dire Oui. L&rsquo;hiver prochain sera tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rent de ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<p>Adaptation&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/\">Terra Projects<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"24378\">(2777)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nous avons d\u00e9marr\u00e9 ce nouvel automne m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique depuis le 1er septembre. Pour ce qui concerne notre futur hiver 2022-2023, les&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"L'hiver 2022-2023 @laterredufutur.com Terra Projects","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[32],"tags":[7940,153,35,6523,47,7723],"class_list":["post-24378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-meteorologie","tag-2022-2023","tag-froid","tag-hiver","tag-humide","tag-neige","tag-sec","wpcat-32-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/paris-neige.jpg?fit=1024%2C656&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-6lc","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":24298,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-pour-lautomne-2022-hiver-2022-2023-printemps-2023\/","url_meta":{"origin":24378,"position":0},"title":"Tendances saisonni\u00e8res pour l&rsquo;automne 2022, hiver 2022-2023, printemps 2023","author":"Admin","date":"15 ao\u00fbt 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Depuis plus d'un an, Thibaud Meriel nous a donn\u00e9 l'habitude d'apporter ses pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res \"exp\u00e9rimentales\".\u00a0 Ses tendances s'av\u00e8rent juste \u00e0 un niveau de plus de 70%. Sa m\u00e9thodologie bas\u00e9e sur la m\u00e9thode miroir solaire tant \u00e0 nous \u00e9tonner et dans le m\u00eame temps \u00e0 nous conforter sur une innovation majeure.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":25184,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2023-2024\/","url_meta":{"origin":24378,"position":1},"title":"L\u2019hiver 2023-2024","author":"Admin","date":"9 septembre 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Nous avons d\u00e9marr\u00e9 ce nouvel automne m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique depuis le 1er septembre. Pour ce qui concerne notre futur hiver 2023-2024, des indices sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 tomb\u00e9s et les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res habituelles se profilent d\u00e9j\u00e0. Les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re ont \u00e9t\u00e9 encourageantes par leurs fiabilit\u00e9s \u00e0 hauteur de 60%. On peut\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/froid-brouillard.jpg?fit=1200%2C623&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/froid-brouillard.jpg?fit=1200%2C623&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/froid-brouillard.jpg?fit=1200%2C623&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/froid-brouillard.jpg?fit=1200%2C623&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/froid-brouillard.jpg?fit=1200%2C623&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24476,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-nina-influence-leurope-et-cet-hiver-sannonce-froid-dans-un-contexte-de-crise-energetique\/","url_meta":{"origin":24378,"position":2},"title":"La Ni\u00f1a influence l&rsquo;Europe et cet hiver s&rsquo;annonce froid dans un contexte de crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique","author":"Admin","date":"8 octobre 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Selon le Centre europ\u00e9en pour les pr\u00e9visions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques \u00e0 moyen terme (CEPMMT), les temp\u00e9ratures risquent de baisser fortement durant les mois de novembre et de d\u00e9cembre. Bien qu\u2019il soit \u201cextr\u00eamement difficile\u201d de pr\u00e9voir la m\u00e9t\u00e9o aussi longtemps \u00e0 l\u2019avance, le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique La Ni\u00f1a pourrait bien avoir une incidence sur\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22995,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/lhiver-2021-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":24378,"position":3},"title":"L&rsquo;Hiver 2021-2022","author":"Admin","date":"8 septembre 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Nous avons d\u00e9marr\u00e9 ce nouvel automne m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique. Pour ce qui concerne notre futur hiver 2021-2022, les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res habituelles se profilent d\u00e9j\u00e0. Les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de l'ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s encourageantes par leurs fiabilit\u00e9s \u00e0 hauteur de 70%. On peut revoir l'article ici. 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La premi\u00e8re, traditionnellement utilis\u00e9e, se base sur l\u2019analyse des mod\u00e8les num\u00e9riques saisonniers. Ces mod\u00e8les sont de gros programmes informatiques d\u00e9livrant un large panel de sc\u00e9narios m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques possibles. L\u2019enjeu des pr\u00e9visionnistes est de retenir lequel est le plus probable.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5527,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/hiver-europeen-2010-2011-tres-froid-en-perspective\/","url_meta":{"origin":24378,"position":5},"title":"Hiver europ\u00e9en 2010-2011 tr\u00e8s froid en perspective","author":"Admin","date":"17 septembre 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Aujourd'hui l'Equipe de Joe Bastardi nous annonce des pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res digne des plus grands hivers connus pendant le XXeme si\u00e8cle. Comme toute pr\u00e9vision saisonni\u00e8re ceci doit toujours \u00eatre pris avec des pincettes. N\u00e9anmoins, certains points semblent s'affirmer avec le temps.\u00a0 L'hiver dernier, en d\u00e9pit d'un fort El Nino, a \u00e9t\u00e9\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/hiver-2010-2011-1.JPG?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24378"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24378\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24399,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24378\/revisions\/24399"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}