{"id":24325,"date":"2022-08-25T19:44:04","date_gmt":"2022-08-25T17:44:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=24325"},"modified":"2022-08-25T19:44:04","modified_gmt":"2022-08-25T17:44:04","slug":"un-monde-depeuple","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-depeuple\/","title":{"rendered":"Un monde d\u00e9peupl\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Nous ne serons plus que 4 milliards en 2100 : une \u00e9tude anticipe une baisse d\u00e9mographique in\u00e9dite. Selon James Pomeroy nous seront que 4 milliards en 2100 et non pas 10 milliards. Pour lui la natalit\u00e9 devrait baisser drastiquement et la mortalit\u00e9 devrait quant \u00e0 elle \u00eatre d\u00e9cupl\u00e9 en raison du vieillissement de la population.<\/p>\n<p>\u00ab\u00a0La probabilit\u00e9 que la taille de la population mondiale commence \u00e0 se r\u00e9duire dans les vingt prochaines ann\u00e9es est bien plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e que ce que nous avions pr\u00e9vu initialement\u00a0\u00bb pr\u00e9vient l&rsquo;\u00e9conomiste dans son \u00e9tude.<\/p>\n<p>Selon James Pomeroy, le pic de la population mondiale aura lieu en 2043 et non pas en 2100 comme le pense l&rsquo;ONU. D\u00e8s lors, le d\u00e9croissement aurait lieu plus t\u00f4t que pr\u00e9vu.<\/p>\n<p>La chute du taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 devrait \u00eatre plus importante que pr\u00e9vu selon l&rsquo;\u00e9conomiste. L&rsquo;ONU estimait en 2021 qu&rsquo;il serait de 2,1 enfants par femme en 2050. Il est actuellement de 2,3 contre 5 en 1950. Pour le chercheur, cette chute plus importante devrait \u00eatre li\u00e9e \u00e0 la meilleure int\u00e9gration des femmes sur le march\u00e9 du travail, ou le meilleur acc\u00e8s aux soins et \u00e0 la contraception.<\/p>\n<p>\u00ab La probabilit\u00e9 que la taille de la population mondiale commence \u00e0 se r\u00e9duire dans les vingt prochaines ann\u00e9es est bien plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e que ce que nous avions pr\u00e9vu initialement \u00bb, avance l&rsquo;\u00e9conomiste.<\/p>\n<p>Toujours bas\u00e9s sur l&rsquo;\u00e9tude de l&rsquo;\u00e9conomiste, certains pays continueront de conna\u00eetre une hausse de leur population. Mais pour lui, \u00ab\u00a0\u00e0 Hong Kong, \u00e0 Singapour, en Cor\u00e9e du Sud et \u00e0 Ta\u00efwan, l&rsquo;actuel taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 permet de pr\u00e9dire une division par deux de leur population d&rsquo;ici \u00e0 la fin du si\u00e8cle. La Chine n&rsquo;est pas loin de les rejoindre\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n<p>Pour l&rsquo;Europe, \u00ab\u00a0au rythme o\u00f9 vont les choses, la population aura diminu\u00e9 de moiti\u00e9 avant 2070, le continent risquant de perdre 400 millions d&rsquo;habitants d&rsquo;ici \u00e0 2100\u00a0\u00bb, d\u00e9taille l&rsquo;\u00e9tude.<\/p>\n<p>Enfin, James Pomeroy annonce que le taux de mortalit\u00e9 va fortement augmenter. Actuellement et dans les prochaines ann\u00e9es, la population mondiale serait de plus en plus vieillissante.<\/p>\n<p>Pourtant, une \u00e9tude de l\u2019ONU affirmait le contraire. Selon ses r\u00e9sultats, nous devrions \u00eatre 8 milliards sur Terre d\u2019ici novembre et 10,4 milliards \u00e0 la fin du si\u00e8cle.<\/p>\n<p>sources : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ladepeche.fr\/2022\/08\/25\/nous-ne-serons-plus-que-4-milliards-en-2100-une-etude-anticipe-une-baisse-demographique-inedite-10504963.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.ladepeche.fr<\/a> \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lindependant.fr\/2022\/08\/25\/societe-selon-une-etude-il-ny-aura-plus-que-4-milliards-dhabitants-sur-terre-a-la-fin-du-siecle-10505040.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.lindependant.fr\/<\/a> \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alouette.fr\/nous-serons-4-milliards-d-habitants-sur-terre-d-ici-2100-selon-une-etude\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.alouette.fr\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"24325\">(494)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nous ne serons plus que 4 milliards en 2100 : une \u00e9tude anticipe une baisse d\u00e9mographique in\u00e9dite. Selon James Pomeroy&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22788,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Un monde d\u00e9peupl\u00e9 @laterredufutur.com Terra Projects","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[18],"tags":[1278,7938,5263,728,736,731],"class_list":["post-24325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde-futur","tag-1278","tag-4-milliards","tag-habitants","tag-humains","tag-nombre","tag-population","wpcat-18-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-6kl","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":21137,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-un-monde-avec-88-milliards-dhabitants-en-2100\/","url_meta":{"origin":24325,"position":0},"title":"Vers un monde avec 8,8 milliards d&rsquo;habitants en 2100","author":"Admin","date":"15 juillet 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"La population mondiale devrait d\u00e9cliner d\u00e8s la deuxi\u00e8me moiti\u00e9 du si\u00e8cle pour atteindre 8,8 milliards en 2100, soit 2 milliards de moins que les projections de l'ONU, selon une \u00e9tude in\u00e9dite qui pr\u00e9dit des bouleversements dans l'\u00e9quilibre mondial et au sein des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s. Le chiffre a fait grand bruit lors\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1024%2C632&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23441,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/en-2100-nous-serons-8-8-milliards-dhabitants-sur-terre\/","url_meta":{"origin":24325,"position":1},"title":"En 2100, nous serons 8.8 milliards d&rsquo;habitants sur Terre","author":"Admin","date":"19 novembre 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"L\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, l\u2019ONU estimait que la population mondiale s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8verait \u00e0 11.2 milliards \u00e0 l\u2019horizon 2100. Une nouvelle \u00e9tude \u00e9met l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se que nous serons en fait 2.4 milliards de moins que pr\u00e9vu. Une nouvelle \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e dans la revue The Lancet d\u00e9voile une toute nouvelle hypoth\u00e8se : la Terre sera peupl\u00e9e\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26068,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-population-mondiale-atteindra-son-pic-dans-60-ans-puis-diminuera\/","url_meta":{"origin":24325,"position":2},"title":"La population mondiale atteindra son pic dans 60 ans, puis diminuera","author":"Admin","date":"28 juillet 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"La population mondiale atteindra un pic au milieu des ann\u00e9es 2080, autour de 10,3 milliards de personnes, puis chutera l\u00e9g\u00e8rement \u00e0 un niveau bien inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui pr\u00e9vu il y a dix ans, ont indiqu\u00e9 les Nations Unies. La population actuelle de 8,2 milliards de personnes atteindra ce maximum au\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22786,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/pour-la-premiere-fois-depuis-des-siecles-la-population-du-monde-diminuera-en-quelques-decennies\/","url_meta":{"origin":24325,"position":3},"title":"Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis des si\u00e8cles, la population du monde diminuera en quelques d\u00e9cennies","author":"Admin","date":"24 juillet 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Pour la premi\u00e8re fois dans l'histoire moderne, la population mondiale devrait diminuer au cours du prochain si\u00e8cle, ce qui entra\u00eenera une \"r\u00e9volution dans l'histoire de notre civilisation humaine\" et de profonds changements dans la fa\u00e7on dont les gens vivent leur vie. La population mondiale s'\u00e9l\u00e8ve actuellement \u00e0 environ 7,8 milliards\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=960%2C606&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26759,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-croissance-de-la-population-diminue-rapidement-au-niveau-mondial\/","url_meta":{"origin":24325,"position":4},"title":"La croissance de la population diminue rapidement au niveau mondial","author":"Admin","date":"11 mars 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Alors que l\u2019on pr\u00e9voyait il y a encore une d\u00e9cennie une croissance d\u00e9mographique galopante, celle-ci semble d\u00e9j\u00e0 avoir atteint son pic dans de nombreux pays, ce qui devrait se traduire par une baisse de la population mondiale d\u2019ici la fin du si\u00e8cle. Une f\u00e9condit\u00e9 qui s\u2019effondre En 2024, la population\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/population-mondiale.jpg?fit=1000%2C1000&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19310,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-monde-aura-109-milliards-dhumains-en-2100\/","url_meta":{"origin":24325,"position":5},"title":"Le monde aura 10,9 milliards d&rsquo;humains en 2100","author":"Admin","date":"11 octobre 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"La division de la population des Nations Unies vient de rendre publiques ses nouvelles pr\u00e9visions d\u00e9mographiques au niveau mondial, \u00e0 l'horizon 2100. Ces donn\u00e9es sont actualis\u00e9es tous les deux ans, et figurent parmi les plus fiables en mati\u00e8re de mortalit\u00e9, f\u00e9condit\u00e9, vieillissement des populations et croissance d\u00e9mographique. Le centre de\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/population.jpg?fit=800%2C450&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24325","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24325"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24325\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24338,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24325\/revisions\/24338"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22788"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}