{"id":23759,"date":"2022-02-19T15:53:27","date_gmt":"2022-02-19T14:53:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=23759"},"modified":"2022-02-19T16:37:51","modified_gmt":"2022-02-19T15:37:51","slug":"tendances-saisonnieres-printemps-2022-premieres-perspectives-pour-lete-prochain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-printemps-2022-premieres-perspectives-pour-lete-prochain\/","title":{"rendered":"Tendances saisonni\u00e8res : printemps 2022 &#8211; premi\u00e8res perspectives pour l&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9 prochain"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Voici les nouvelles pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de Thibaud M. Avec un taux de r\u00e9ussite d\u00e9passant largement les 80% de r\u00e9ussite depuis 1 an, on peut donc se pencher sur ses travaux toujours plus enthousiasmants. Nous vous proposons de d\u00e9couvrir ses pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res pour le printemps et l&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9 2022.<\/p>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\"><b>CONTEXTE : <\/b><\/span><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">Au sein de cette publication, seront pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es les tendances saisonni\u00e8res du Printemps 2022, ainsi que les perspectives de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 prochain r\u00e9dig\u00e9es par MERIEL Thibaud, courant F\u00e9vrier 2022.<\/span><\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\"><b>ABSTRACT :<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">D\u2019apr\u00e8s les projections statistiques \u00e0 Modulo Mono-Canal Solaire, le Printemps 2022 se profile thermiquement de saison, \u00e0 doux. Cot\u00e9 pluviom\u00e9trie, constat identique : Aucune anomalie ne se d\u00e9gage, malgr\u00e9 une tendance de fond \u00e0 la s\u00e9cheresse. La suivante saison mod\u00e9lis\u00e9e, l\u2019\u00c9t\u00e9 2022, se d\u00e9marque par un signal de l\u2019organisation de la circulation atmosph\u00e9rique relativement propice \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sence d\u2019une masse d\u2019air chaud. Cette p\u00e9riode se caract\u00e9riserait par des temp\u00e9ratures anormalement \u00e9lev\u00e9es, et, une pluviom\u00e9trie classique, voir d\u00e9ficitaire.<\/span><\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\"><b>M\u00c9THODOLOGIE :<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\">\n<p><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">Afin de r\u00e9aliser ces tendances saisonni\u00e8res, l\u2019utilisation de la statistique est fondamentale. L\u2019application d\u2019un Modulo Mono-Canal Solaire est ainsi propos\u00e9e, via la Th\u00e9orie d\u00e9nomm\u00e9e Miroir Solaire. Un traitement statistique des donn\u00e9es est actif. En effet, un membre binaire conditionnel d\u00e9termine suppos\u00e9ment l\u2019\u00e9volution du positionnement des centres d\u2019actions avec le r\u00e9chauffement climatique, via une analyse empirique de l\u2019\u00e9volution r\u00e9trospective des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes analogies propos\u00e9es par le Modulo Mono-Canal Solaire. Autrement dit, si un ensemble not\u00e9 \u0194 de synoptiques \u00e0 G\u00e9n\u00e9ration n+0 issues du Modulo sont dupliqu\u00e9es en n+1, alors, l\u2019\u00e9volution globale du comportement des centres d\u2019action sera appliqu\u00e9e aux futures synoptiques de g\u00e9n\u00e9ration n+k, k \u00e9tant un entier naturel, sous condition de stabilisation des conditions climatiques. Des correctifs de g\u00e9n\u00e9rations n+k, k diff\u00e9rent de 0 et 1, sont envisageables \u00e0 l\u2019observation des derri\u00e8res projections climatiques (<a class=\"oajrlxb2 g5ia77u1 qu0x051f esr5mh6w e9989ue4 r7d6kgcz rq0escxv nhd2j8a9 nc684nl6 p7hjln8o kvgmc6g5 cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x jb3vyjys rz4wbd8a qt6c0cv9 a8nywdso i1ao9s8h esuyzwwr f1sip0of lzcic4wl gpro0wi8 py34i1dx\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/l.facebook.com\/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fipcc.ch%2Freport%2Fsixth-assessment-report-cycle%3Ffbclid%3DIwAR1VgHFUS-Ah7ZGP9WLaj8j48mGmF-KTOUFE-8_7HLxi7dvawm5zrAtEqMo&amp;h=AT0QgF3J_cEBmPRa-zDYi_O7WxBDOoq8VuNqdJgkizNccd_IRDv4RYQvg4D1pjm5K8evEDo1EmDrYPocVxm_YFks91rM1XwST8WFu1P5xYUU-aqoeJfo60ibCz0XUdiKWy-gbPpoRkwDONksGw&amp;__tn__=-UK-R&amp;c[0]=AT1PLHTYcDq1iKDbCyHjwjGTs7EYYCTMBqM5bNKw1wAqXLpEbRa6nt0gXyAINcJtAKHC69S3CehqqLOYfMXdAfCXkVAez2jdJRW3jUp2-o-UbigCaVCvY8CT9OXa_HTruRDptGHpI9NZ49zuJQiItoE_ZoQ8aSukWvU\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">ipcc.ch\/report\/sixth-assessment-report-cycle<\/a><\/span>). Il est primordial de signaler qu\u2019aucune preuve physique n\u2019atteste des liens statistiques pos\u00e9s.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">Ce mod\u00e8le est exp\u00e9rimental et empirique. Sa fiabilit\u00e9 demandera \u00e0 \u00eatre v\u00e9rifi\u00e9e. Il est primordial de signaler qu\u2019aucune preuve physique n\u2019atteste des liens statistiques pos\u00e9s. Il s&rsquo;agit d&rsquo;une exp\u00e9rience. Il ne peut remplacer un mod\u00e8le num\u00e9rique saisonnier pour le moment.<\/span><\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"23770\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-printemps-2022-premieres-perspectives-pour-lete-prochain\/previsions-printemps-2022-4\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-4.jpg?fit=1080%2C1350&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1080,1350\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"previsions printemps 2022 &amp;#8211; 4\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-4.jpg?fit=640%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23770\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-4.jpg?resize=1080%2C1350&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"1080\" height=\"1350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-4.jpg?w=1080&amp;ssl=1 1080w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-4.jpg?resize=240%2C300&amp;ssl=1 240w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-4.jpg?resize=640%2C800&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-4.jpg?resize=768%2C960&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\"><b>CHAPITRE 1 : LE PRINTEMPS 2022.<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">&#8211; Mars 2022 se profile essentiellement doux et sec d\u2019apr\u00e8s la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9actualisation du mod\u00e8le statistique propos\u00e9 ici-m\u00eame (V5).<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">&#8211; D\u2019autre part, Avril 2022 s\u2019annonce tr\u00e8s l\u00e9g\u00e8rement humide en Europe de l\u2019Ouest. Le nord de la France M\u00e9tropolitaine serait davantage \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9cart des pr\u00e9cipitations au sein de ce sc\u00e9nario, contrairement au sud, largement plus expos\u00e9. Le signal froid reste cependant marginal.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">&#8211; Enfin, Mai 2022 se dessine sec et bien doux. Il s\u2019agirait du mois le plus anticyclonique de ce printemps 2022.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">Une faible s\u00e9cheresse printani\u00e8re n\u2019est donc pas \u00e0 exclure si Avril n\u2019est pas aussi humide qu\u2019attendu. Cependant, ce printemps ne s\u2019annonce pas aussi froid que l\u2019an pass\u00e9 (2021).<\/span><\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\"><b>CHAPITRE 2 : L\u2019\u00c9T\u00c9 2022.<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"bi6gxh9e\"><span class=\"d2edcug0 hpfvmrgz qv66sw1b c1et5uql lr9zc1uh jq4qci2q a3bd9o3v b1v8xokw oo9gr5id\">&#8211; Bien qu\u2019il soit encore t\u00f4t pour se prononcer efficacement, les premiers signaux statistiques propos\u00e9s par le V5 pour l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2022 sont inqui\u00e9tants. En effet, malgr\u00e9 un mois de Juin frais avec un bilan pluviom\u00e9trique classique, Juillet &amp; Ao\u00fbt 2022 pourraient s\u2019av\u00e9rer \u00eatre chauds et secs. Ao\u00fbt serait le mois le plus chaud de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9, Juillet ayant un profil davantage orageux.<\/span><\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"23760\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-printemps-2022-premieres-perspectives-pour-lete-prochain\/previsions-printemps-2022-1\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-1.jpg?fit=560%2C892&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"560,892\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"previsions printemps 2022 &amp;#8211; 1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-1.jpg?fit=502%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-23760\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-1.jpg?resize=622%2C991&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"622\" height=\"991\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-1.jpg?w=560&amp;ssl=1 560w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-1.jpg?resize=188%2C300&amp;ssl=1 188w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-1.jpg?resize=502%2C800&amp;ssl=1 502w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 622px) 100vw, 622px\" \/><\/div>\n<div><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"23761\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-printemps-2022-premieres-perspectives-pour-lete-prochain\/previsions-printemps-2022-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-2.jpg?fit=560%2C892&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"560,892\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"previsions printemps 2022 &amp;#8211; 2\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-2.jpg?fit=502%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-23761\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-2.jpg?resize=593%2C945&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"593\" height=\"945\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-2.jpg?w=560&amp;ssl=1 560w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-2.jpg?resize=188%2C300&amp;ssl=1 188w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-2.jpg?resize=502%2C800&amp;ssl=1 502w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 593px) 100vw, 593px\" \/><\/div>\n<div><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"23762\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-printemps-2022-premieres-perspectives-pour-lete-prochain\/previsions-printemps-2022-3\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-3.jpg?fit=560%2C892&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"560,892\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"previsions printemps 2022 &amp;#8211; 3\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-3.jpg?fit=502%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-23762\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-3.jpg?resize=600%2C956&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"956\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-3.jpg?w=560&amp;ssl=1 560w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-3.jpg?resize=188%2C300&amp;ssl=1 188w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/previsions-printemps-2022-3.jpg?resize=502%2C800&amp;ssl=1 502w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/div>\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/groups\/MeteoNet\/posts\/1014362452621791\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Suivi en cours ICI<\/a><\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"23759\">(1129)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Voici les nouvelles pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de Thibaud M. Avec un taux de r\u00e9ussite d\u00e9passant largement les 80% de r\u00e9ussite depuis&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Tendances saisonni\u00e8res : printemps 2022 - premi\u00e8res perspectives pour l'\u00e9t\u00e9 prochain @laterredufutur.com Terra Projects","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[32],"tags":[316,7851,618,7850,329],"class_list":["post-23759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-meteorologie","tag-chaleur","tag-ete-2022","tag-previsions-saisonnieres","tag-printemps-2022","tag-secheresse","wpcat-32-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/secheresse-beau-temps.jpg?fit=960%2C640&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-6bd","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":24298,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-pour-lautomne-2022-hiver-2022-2023-printemps-2023\/","url_meta":{"origin":23759,"position":0},"title":"Tendances saisonni\u00e8res pour l&rsquo;automne 2022, hiver 2022-2023, printemps 2023","author":"Admin","date":"15 ao\u00fbt 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Depuis plus d'un an, Thibaud Meriel nous a donn\u00e9 l'habitude d'apporter ses pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res \"exp\u00e9rimentales\".\u00a0 Ses tendances s'av\u00e8rent juste \u00e0 un niveau de plus de 70%. Sa m\u00e9thodologie bas\u00e9e sur la m\u00e9thode miroir solaire tant \u00e0 nous \u00e9tonner et dans le m\u00eame temps \u00e0 nous conforter sur une innovation majeure.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/tendances-saisonnieres-janvier-2023.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23347,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/previsions-saisonnieres-decembre-2021-janvier-2022-fevrier-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":23759,"position":1},"title":"Pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res d\u00e9cembre 2021-janvier 2022-f\u00e9vrier 2022","author":"Admin","date":"7 novembre 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Actuellement, il existe deux grandes m\u00e9thodologies permettant de r\u00e9aliser des tendances saisonni\u00e8res. La premi\u00e8re, traditionnellement utilis\u00e9e, se base sur l\u2019analyse des mod\u00e8les num\u00e9riques saisonniers. Ces mod\u00e8les sont de gros programmes informatiques d\u00e9livrant un large panel de sc\u00e9narios m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques possibles. L\u2019enjeu des pr\u00e9visionnistes est de retenir lequel est le plus probable.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hiver-2021-2022.jpg?fit=1100%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24476,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-nina-influence-leurope-et-cet-hiver-sannonce-froid-dans-un-contexte-de-crise-energetique\/","url_meta":{"origin":23759,"position":2},"title":"La Ni\u00f1a influence l&rsquo;Europe et cet hiver s&rsquo;annonce froid dans un contexte de crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique","author":"Admin","date":"8 octobre 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Selon le Centre europ\u00e9en pour les pr\u00e9visions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques \u00e0 moyen terme (CEPMMT), les temp\u00e9ratures risquent de baisser fortement durant les mois de novembre et de d\u00e9cembre. Bien qu\u2019il soit \u201cextr\u00eamement difficile\u201d de pr\u00e9voir la m\u00e9t\u00e9o aussi longtemps \u00e0 l\u2019avance, le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique La Ni\u00f1a pourrait bien avoir une incidence sur\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/froid-voiture.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22211,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/previsions-saisonnieres-pour-lete-2021-vers-un-ete-froid-et-pluvieux\/","url_meta":{"origin":23759,"position":3},"title":"Pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res pour l&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9 2021, vers un \u00e9t\u00e9 froid et pluvieux","author":"Admin","date":"22 mars 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Voici les tendances ou pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res pour l'\u00e9t\u00e9 2021 sur la France et Europe de l'ouest selon Thibault que nous soutenons dans ses analyses. Tendances pour l'\u00e9t\u00e9 2021 toujours d'actualit\u00e9 malgr\u00e9 l'insistance des mod\u00e8les num\u00e9riques saisonniers sur la possibilit\u00e9 d'une trimestre bien chaud et sec. Le 12 Novembre 2020, fut\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/orage-plage.jpg?fit=1050%2C700&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/orage-plage.jpg?fit=1050%2C700&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/orage-plage.jpg?fit=1050%2C700&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/orage-plage.jpg?fit=1050%2C700&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/orage-plage.jpg?fit=1050%2C700&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23038,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tendances-saisonnieres-octobre-et-novembre-2021\/","url_meta":{"origin":23759,"position":4},"title":"Tendances saisonni\u00e8res : octobre et novembre 2021","author":"Admin","date":"17 septembre 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"TENDANCES SAISONNI\u00c8RES : OCTOBRE & NOVEMBRE 2021. VERS UN AUTOMNE FRAIS ET SEC EN FRANCE M\u00c9TROPOLITAINE ? Terra Projects vous propose de d\u00e9couvrir les pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res de Thibaud M. Outre les mod\u00e8les num\u00e9riques saisonniers, il existe d\u2019autres m\u00e9thodologies scientifiques permettant d\u2019\u00e9tablir des tendances saisonni\u00e8res fiables et pr\u00e9cises. Il s\u2019agit, pour\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/previsions-saisonnieres-novembre-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/previsions-saisonnieres-novembre-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/previsions-saisonnieres-novembre-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/previsions-saisonnieres-novembre-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/previsions-saisonnieres-novembre-2021.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1182,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/previsions-saisonnieres-confirmation-dun-hiver-plutot-froid\/","url_meta":{"origin":23759,"position":5},"title":"Pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res : confirmation d&rsquo;un hiver plut\u00f4t froid","author":"Admin","date":"16 d\u00e9cembre 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Pr\u00e9visions saisonni\u00e8res : confirmation d'un hiver plut\u00f4t froid selon la chaine m\u00e9t\u00e9o. Vers un hiver assez standard, perturb\u00e9, ponctuellement froid : fin du cycle des s\u00e9cheresses. Les tendances exprim\u00e9es d\u00e9but novembre semblent se confirmer. L'hiver devrait \u00eatre assez standard, avec une grande variabilit\u00e9 des centres d'action mais avec un risque\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"previsions janiver fevrier 2013","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/previsions-janvier-fevrier-2013.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23759"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23771,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23759\/revisions\/23771"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}