{"id":21017,"date":"2020-06-18T17:00:28","date_gmt":"2020-06-18T15:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=21017"},"modified":"2020-06-17T09:28:08","modified_gmt":"2020-06-17T07:28:08","slug":"la-saison-cyclonique-devrait-etre-active-haut-risque-pour-les-antilles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-saison-cyclonique-devrait-etre-active-haut-risque-pour-les-antilles\/","title":{"rendered":"La saison cyclonique devrait \u00eatre active, haut risque pour les Antilles"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Les \u00eeles Antillaises ont de grandes chances d\u2019\u00eatre frapp\u00e9es par des temp\u00eates ou des ouragans. Plusieurs services m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques nationaux et agences scientifiques pr\u00e9voient une saison des ouragans tr\u00e8s active. Leurs trajectoires pourraient \u00eatre une mauvaise nouvelle pour les \u00eeles Antillaises.<\/p>\n<p>Selon le mod\u00e8le de la NOAA, les ondes tropicales devraient traverser l\u2019Atlantique et aller directement vers les Antilles. Bien s\u00fbr, ce ne sont que des pr\u00e9dictions, mais selon l\u2019agence gouvernementale, ils pourraient se r\u00e9aliser. Les scientifiques craignent que les trajectoires des ouragans ou des temp\u00eates puissent changer \u00e0 tout moment comme l\u2019a fait l\u2019ouragan Dorian en 2019 et se d\u00e9placer vers les \u00eeles Antillaises qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 fortement touch\u00e9es par les ouragans Irma et Maria en 2017. Aujourd\u2019hui encore, les impactes d\u2019Irma et de Maria sont visibles.<\/p>\n<p>\u00ab\u00a0Il y a 60% de probabilit\u00e9 d&rsquo;une saison au-dessus de la normale\u00a0\u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 jeudi 21 mai 2020, lors d&rsquo;une conf\u00e9rence de presse t\u00e9l\u00e9phonique, Neil Jacobs, responsable de l&rsquo;Agence am\u00e9ricaine d&rsquo;observation oc\u00e9anique et atmosph\u00e9rique (NOAA). Cette saison 2020 pourrait \u00eatre \u00ab\u00a0extr\u00eamement active\u00a0\u00bb, a-t-il ajout\u00e9, avec 13 \u00e0 19 temp\u00eates tropicales attendues dans l&rsquo;Atlantique, dont six \u00e0 dix pourraient se transformer en ouragans. Entre trois \u00e0 six d&rsquo;entre eux pourraient atteindre la cat\u00e9gorie 3 ou plus, charriant des vents d&rsquo;au moins 178 km\/h.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p>Il a \u00e9voqu\u00e9 des eaux plus chaudes dans l&rsquo;Atlantique et les Cara\u00efbes, ainsi que l&rsquo;absence du ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne climatique El Nino, qui fait baisser l&rsquo;activit\u00e9 des ouragans. Selon lui, les r\u00e9gions tropicales de l&rsquo;Atlantique et de la mer des Cara\u00efbes sont les \u00ab\u00a0r\u00e9gions cl\u00e9s\u00a0\u00bb, avec notamment une temp\u00e9rature des eaux en surface de 0,5 degr\u00e9 centigrade au-dessus de la moyenne dans les Cara\u00efbes. Les eaux du Golfe du Mexique, \u00e9galement plus chaudes que la moyenne, ne sont en revanche \u00ab\u00a0pas n\u00e9cessairement un facteur pour (d\u00e9terminer) la saison enti\u00e8re\u00a0\u00bb, a dit le pr\u00e9visionniste.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"15893\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/cela-pourrait-sortir-dun-film-dhorreur-lile-de-santa-cruz-devastee-par-louragan-maria\/ouragan-maria-devastation-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria-devastation-1.jpg?fit=908%2C605&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"908,605\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;5.6&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;DSC-P10&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1052265408&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;7.9&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;100&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0.002&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"ouragan-maria-devastation\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria-devastation-1.jpg?fit=800%2C533&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-15893\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria-devastation-1.jpg?resize=908%2C605&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"908\" height=\"605\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria-devastation-1.jpg?w=908&amp;ssl=1 908w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria-devastation-1.jpg?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria-devastation-1.jpg?resize=768%2C512&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria-devastation-1.jpg?resize=800%2C533&amp;ssl=1 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 908px) 100vw, 908px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Adaptation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Terra Projects <\/a><\/p>\n<p>sources : <a href=\"https:\/\/flashinfoantilles.wordpress.com\/2020\/06\/16\/les-iles-antillaises-ont-de-grandes-chances-detre-frappees-par-des-tempetes-ou-des-ouragans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/flashinfoantilles.wordpress.com\/<\/a> \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencesetavenir.fr\/nature-environnement\/meteo\/ouragans-vers-une-saison-2020-plus-intense_144518\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.sciencesetavenir.fr\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"21017\">(400)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les \u00eeles Antillaises ont de grandes chances d\u2019\u00eatre frapp\u00e9es par des temp\u00eates ou des ouragans. Plusieurs services m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques nationaux et&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15786,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[21,32],"tags":[1682,1068,269,257],"class_list":["post-21017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-evenement-brutal","category-meteorologie","tag-1682","tag-intensite","tag-noaa","tag-ouragan","wpcat-21-id","wpcat-32-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/irma-jos%C3%A9.jpg?fit=1200%2C450&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-5sZ","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":15732,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monstre-denomme-irma-qui-cacherait-jose\/","url_meta":{"origin":21017,"position":0},"title":"Un monstre d\u00e9nomm\u00e9 Irma qui cacherait Jos\u00e9","author":"Admin","date":"5 septembre 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"La cat\u00e9gorie 5 sur l'\u00e9chelle de l'ouragan Saffir-Simpson n'a pas d'\u00e9chelle sup\u00e9rieure, sur le papier. Mais en th\u00e9orie, les vents d'un puissant ouragan pourraient faire sauter cette limite sur cette \u00e9chelle selon les scientifiques. Il n'y a pas de temp\u00eate de cat\u00e9gorie 6, en partie parce qu'une fois que les\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/irma-ouragan.jpg?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/irma-ouragan.jpg?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/irma-ouragan.jpg?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26048,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/louragan-beryl-extremement-dangereux-bat-des-records-en-ce-debut-de-saison\/","url_meta":{"origin":21017,"position":1},"title":"L&rsquo;ouragan Beryl, \u00ab\u00a0extr\u00eamement dangereux\u00a0\u00bb, bat des records en ce d\u00e9but de saison","author":"Admin","date":"1 juillet 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"L'ouragan Beryl s'est dirig\u00e9 vers le sud-est des Cara\u00efbes dimanche, et les habitants ont \u00e9t\u00e9 invit\u00e9s \u00e0 se d\u00e9p\u00eacher de terminer les pr\u00e9paratifs avant l'arriv\u00e9e pr\u00e9vue dans la nuit de cette temp\u00eate de cat\u00e9gorie 4 \"extr\u00eamement dangereuse\", la premi\u00e8re jamais enregistr\u00e9e au mois de juin. Le National Hurricane Center (NHC)\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ouragan-Beryl.jpg?fit=1024%2C415&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ouragan-Beryl.jpg?fit=1024%2C415&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ouragan-Beryl.jpg?fit=1024%2C415&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ouragan-Beryl.jpg?fit=1024%2C415&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15829,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/louragan-maria-vers-la-martinique-la-guadeloupe-vers-louragan-jose-et-leffet-fujiwara\/","url_meta":{"origin":21017,"position":2},"title":"L&rsquo;Ouragan Maria vers la Martinique, la Guadeloupe&#8230; vers l&rsquo;ouragan Jos\u00e9 et l&rsquo;effet \u00ab\u00a0Fujiwara\u00a0\u00bb","author":"Admin","date":"18 septembre 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00c0 l\u2019approche de l\u2019Arc antillais, l\u2019ouragan Maria est\u2009\u2013\u2009pour l\u2019instant\u2009\u2013\u2009moins violent qu\u2019Irma. Mais\u2026 Class\u00e9 en cat\u00e9gorie 1 (vents jusqu\u2019\u00e0 150\u2009km\/h), il va s\u2019intensifier pour sans doute atteindre la cat\u00e9gorie 3 (jusqu\u2019\u00e0 210\u2009km\/h). Pire\u2009: sa trajectoire, plus sud que celle de l\u2019ouragan qui a d\u00e9vast\u00e9 les Cara\u00efbes voici une dizaine de jours,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria.jpg?fit=640%2C418&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria.jpg?fit=640%2C418&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragan-maria.jpg?fit=640%2C418&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24072,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-noaa-prevoit-une-saison-cyclonique-dans-latlantique-superieure-a-la-normale-en-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":21017,"position":3},"title":"La NOAA pr\u00e9voit une saison cyclonique dans l&rsquo;Atlantique sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la normale en 2022","author":"Admin","date":"28 mai 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"La Ni\u00f1a est actuellement en cours, les temp\u00e9ratures atlantiques sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 la moyenne pr\u00e9parent le terrain pour une saison charg\u00e9e \u00e0 venir. Les pr\u00e9visionnistes du Climate Prediction Center de la NOAA, une division du National Weather Service, pr\u00e9disent une activit\u00e9 cyclonique sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la moyenne cette ann\u00e9e, ce qui en\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/ouragan-leslie-temepte1.jpg?fit=1200%2C678&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15756,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/les-tempetes-jose-et-katia-sintensifient-et-deviennent-ouragans\/","url_meta":{"origin":21017,"position":4},"title":"Les temp\u00eates Jos\u00e9 et Katia s&rsquo;intensifient et deviennent ouragans","author":"Admin","date":"7 septembre 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Ce sont d\u00e9sormais trois ouragans qui s\u00e9vissent simultan\u00e9ment c\u00f4t\u00e9 Atlantique. Alors qu'Irma continue de progresser en direction des c\u00f4tes am\u00e9ricaines, les temp\u00eates Katia et Jos\u00e9 s'intensifient et se hissent dans la cat\u00e9gorie ouragans (1 sur 5). Jos\u00e9 menace \u00e0 son tour les Petites Antilles, tr\u00e8s affect\u00e9es par Irma. Trois ouragans\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragans-jose-katia-irma.jpg?fit=640%2C458&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragans-jose-katia-irma.jpg?fit=640%2C458&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/ouragans-jose-katia-irma.jpg?fit=640%2C458&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":527,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/tempetes-tropicales\/","url_meta":{"origin":21017,"position":5},"title":"Temp\u00eates Tropicales","author":"Admin","date":"4 septembre 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Les temp\u00eates tropicales se suivent actuellement dans tous les oc\u00e9ans Atlantique et Pacifique. Voici la chronique du Week end et de la semaine. Entre la temp\u00eate tropicale Lee, la Temp\u00eate Talas, la temp\u00eate Nanmadol, et la derni\u00e8re temp\u00eate encore tr\u00e8s active Katia. Le point commun de ces temp\u00eates, inondations, forte\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21017","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21017"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21017\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21018,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21017\/revisions\/21018"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15786"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21017"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21017"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}