{"id":2091,"date":"2014-07-10T23:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-07-10T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/?p=2091"},"modified":"2014-07-10T23:00:00","modified_gmt":"2014-07-10T22:00:00","slug":"un-monde-de-chocs-petroliers-a-repetition-solutions-en-vue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-de-chocs-petroliers-a-repetition-solutions-en-vue\/","title":{"rendered":"Un monde de chocs p\u00e9troliers \u00e0 r\u00e9p\u00e9tition, solutions en vue"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"380\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-de-chocs-petroliers-a-repetition-solutions-en-vue\/petrole\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg?fit=225%2C225&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"225,225\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"petrole\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg?fit=225%2C225&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg?fit=225%2C225&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-380\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg?w=120\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px; float: left;\" \/>De la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2001 au 31 juillet 2008 le prix du p\u00e9trole a augment\u00e9 de 525% en USD.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Une information fondamentale publi\u00e9e par l&rsquo;Agence internationale de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie (AIE) est pass\u00e9e totalement inaper\u00e7ue : le pic p\u00e9trolier s&rsquo;est produit en 2006. Alors que la demande mondiale continuera \u00e0 cro\u00eetre avec la mont\u00e9e en puissance des pays \u00e9mergents (Chine, Inde et Br\u00e9sil), la production de p\u00e9trole conventionnel va conna\u00eetre un d\u00e9clin inexorable apr\u00e8s avoir plafonn\u00e9. La crise \u00e9conomique masque pour l&rsquo;heure cette r\u00e9alit\u00e9.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">   <br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><strong><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">P\u00e9trole cher<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Apr\u00e8s avoir connu le 3eme choc p\u00e9trolier en 2008, le monde reste tr\u00e8s sensible aux moindres fluctuations et aux moindres crises. Mais elle ob\u00e9rera tout retour de la croissance. La remont\u00e9e des co\u00fbts d&rsquo;exploration-production fera na\u00eetre des tensions extr\u00eamement vives. L&rsquo;exploitation du charbon et des r\u00e9serves fossiles non conventionnelles exigera des investissements lourds et progressifs qui ne permettront gu\u00e8re de desserrer l&rsquo;\u00e9tau des prix \u00e0 un horizon de temps proche. Les prix de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie ne peuvent ainsi que s&rsquo;affoler.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Le silence et l&rsquo;ignorance d&rsquo;une grande partie de la classe politique sur ce sujet ne sont gu\u00e8re plus rassurants. Et cela sans tenir compte du fait que nous aurons rel\u00e2ch\u00e9 et continuerons \u00e0 dissiper dans l&rsquo;atmosph\u00e8re le dioxyde de carbone stock\u00e9 pendant des mill\u00e9naires&#8230; Chocs p\u00e9troliers \u00e0 r\u00e9p\u00e9tition jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 l&rsquo;effondrement et p\u00e9ril climatique. Voil\u00e0 donc ce que nous pr\u00e9parent les tenants des strat\u00e9gies de l&rsquo;aveuglement. La catastrophe de Fukushima alourdira encore la donne \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2089\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-de-chocs-petroliers-a-repetition-solutions-en-vue\/_spaw_images_terre-petrole\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_terre-petrole.jpg?fit=645%2C444&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"645,444\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\".._spaw_images_terre-petrole\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_terre-petrole.jpg?fit=300%2C207&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_terre-petrole.jpg?fit=645%2C444&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-2089\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_terre-petrole.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_terre-petrole.jpg?w=645&amp;ssl=1 645w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_terre-petrole.jpg?resize=300%2C207&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 645px) 100vw, 645px\" \/><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">De telles remarques g\u00e9n\u00e8rent souvent de grands malentendus. Les objections diagnostiquent et d\u00e9noncent aussit\u00f4t les proph\u00e8tes de malheur comme le sympt\u00f4me d&rsquo;une soci\u00e9t\u00e9 sur le d\u00e9clin, qui ne croit plus au progr\u00e8s. Ces strat\u00e9gies de l&rsquo;aveuglement sont absurdes. Affirmer que notre \u00e9poque est caract\u00e9ris\u00e9e par une \u00ab\u00a0\u00e9pist\u00e9mophobie\u00a0\u00bb ou la recherche du risque z\u00e9ro est une grave erreur d&rsquo;analyse, elle \u00e9clipse derri\u00e8re des r\u00e9actions aux processus d&rsquo;adaptation la cause du bouleversement.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p> <script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script> <!-- TDF2 --> <ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"      style=\"display:inline-block;width:336px;height:280px\"      data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"      data-ad-slot=\"1340140919\"><\/ins> <script> (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); <\/script> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abOn est vraiment entr\u00e9 dans une \u00e8re du p\u00e9trole cher\u00bb, <\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: small; color: #000000; line-height: 1.3em;\">assurait en 2008, la ministre de l&rsquo;\u00c9conomie et de l&rsquo;Emploi, Christine Lagarde. Et toute l&rsquo;Europe le ressentira malgr\u00e9 l&rsquo;euro fort. \u00abSi ces niveaux (de cours) tr\u00e8s \u00e9lev\u00e9s se maintiennent, cela aura forc\u00e9ment un impact sur l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie\u00bb, a insist\u00e9 hier la porte-parole de la Commission en charge des Affaires \u00e9conomiques, Amelia Torres. La Commission europ\u00e9enne tablait d\u00e9but novembre sur une croissance de 2,2 % dans la zone euro en 2008. \u00c0 la lumi\u00e8re des derni\u00e8res informations, ce sera sans doute moins.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Depuis 2008, En fin de compte, il appara\u00eet que le troisi\u00e8me choc p\u00e9trolier a d\u00e9bouch\u00e9, comme dans les deux cas pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, sur une r\u00e9cession qui\u00a0 affecte l\u2019ensemble de l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Choc p\u00e9trolier en vue? Pas de panique!<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Depuis le mois de juin 2014, sous l&rsquo;influence de la guerre en Irak, les cours de p\u00e9trole brut montent de part et d&rsquo;autre de l&rsquo;Atlantique. A moins d&rsquo;une rupture d&rsquo;approvisionnement, pas de crise en vue. D\u00e9pass\u00e9 par la Russie, le Moyen-Orient n&rsquo;est plus fournisseur privil\u00e9gi\u00e9 de l&rsquo;Europe.<\/span><\/span><\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00ab\u00a0Si les attaques des islamistes venaient \u00e0 gagner le sud et menacer les zones principales de production de p\u00e9trole, alors les prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient augmenter de 30-50% par rapport aux niveaux actuels\u00a0\u00bb, met en garde Adam Slater, d&rsquo;Oxford Economics.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Et pour cause, les craintes qu&rsquo;elle suscite font d&rsquo;ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0 augmenter les cours de l&rsquo;or noir depuis que les combattants ont mis la main sur la ville de Mossoul, centre important de l&rsquo;extraction p\u00e9troli\u00e8re irakienne, et qu&rsquo;ils se rapprochent rapidement de Bagdad. A l&rsquo;ouverture ce vendredi \u00e0 New-York, le \u00ab\u00a0light sweet crude\u00a0\u00bb (WTI) pour livraison en juillet gagnait 16 cents, \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 107 dollars. Son plus haut niveau depuis septembre 2013.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Le risque n&rsquo;est pas imm\u00e9diat<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">On n&rsquo;en est pas encore au choc durable, a r\u00e9pondu en substance l&rsquo;Agence internationale de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie (AIE) qui ne voit pas de risque \u00ab\u00a0imm\u00e9diat\u00a0\u00bb, \u00ab\u00a0pour autant que le conflit ne s&rsquo;\u00e9tende pas\u00a0\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2090\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-de-chocs-petroliers-a-repetition-solutions-en-vue\/_spaw_images_petrole4\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_petrole4.jpg?fit=400%2C265&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"400,265\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\".._spaw_images_petrole4\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_petrole4.jpg?fit=300%2C199&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_petrole4.jpg?fit=400%2C265&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-2090\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_petrole4.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_petrole4.jpg?w=400&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/.._spaw_images_petrole4.jpg?resize=300%2C199&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><strong>Solutions en vue<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Et si, pourtant, ce baril hors de prix avait des vertus ? Aujourd\u2019hui, personne ou presque ne se soucie de consommer mieux, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire de consommer moins de ressources et surtout d\u2019\u00e9nergie. En d\u00e9pit d\u2019un engouement sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, les \u00e9nergies \u00abpropres\u00bb, sans hydrocarbures ni d\u00e9chets \u00e0 long terme, ne p\u00e8seront au mieux que 2 % de la consommation mondiale en 2030. M\u00eame l\u2019atome n\u2019y pourra rien.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Pourtant, la Chine, l\u2019Inde, l\u2019Europe, n\u2019en finissent pas de planter des moulins \u00e0 vent ; le Br\u00e9sil fait tout pour sucrer ses moteurs et ceux du reste du monde ; et les adeptes du diesel \u00e0 huile d\u00e9couvrent des qualit\u00e9s \u00e0 la friture.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Un p\u00e9trole cher, c\u2019est l\u2019assurance que les milliers de projets, d\u2019exp\u00e9riences du moins consommer, ou du consommer autrement, ne seront plus de simples gouttes d\u2019eau r\u00e9serv\u00e9es \u00e0 quelques bobos. La plupart des id\u00e9es qui germent ici et l\u00e0 n\u2019attendent plus qu\u2019un petit coup de pouce et beaucoup de p\u00e9dagogie : est-il normal que l\u2019Autriche affiche trois fois plus de chauffe-eau solaires que la France ? Est-il raisonnable d\u2019utiliser des hordes de camions quand le rail a prouv\u00e9 depuis longtemps son efficacit\u00e9 ? Est-il judicieux que les ingr\u00e9dients d\u2019un simple pot de yaourt parcourent plusieurs milliers de kilom\u00e8tres avant d\u2019atterrir sur nos tables ? Est-il l\u00e9gitime de d\u00e9grader les c\u00f4tes chiliennes en quelques ann\u00e9es pour assouvir l\u2019app\u00e9tit de saumon des Europ\u00e9ens?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Le choc p\u00e9trolier dont nous vivons les pr\u00e9mices exige des politiques ambitieuses, pour forcer les uns, et accompagner les autres. Mais on ne les voit se dessiner ni en France ni en Europe ni ailleurs. La cure de d\u00e9sintoxication au p\u00e9trole aujourd\u2019hui, la panne s\u00e8che demain, seront d\u2019autant plus violentes que les responsables politiques auront gard\u00e9 leurs oeill\u00e8res.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Si nous ne faisons rien, demain, le baril sera \u00e0 prix d\u2019or quand le sevrage sera impossible et le climat en surchauffe. Alors aujourd\u2019hui, ce p\u00e9trole d\u00e9j\u00e0 cher est l\u2019occasion ou jamais de changer notre monde. Vive le p\u00e9trole cher, donc !<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">En route vers la Troisi\u00e8me R\u00e9volution Industrielle&#8230; Prochain article sur TDF<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">sources : http:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/ \/ \u00a0http:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">http:\/\/professoral.edhec.com\/ \/ http:\/\/www.dhnet.be\/<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">http:\/\/www.latribune.fr\/ \/\u00a0http:\/\/www.neomansland.info\/<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"2091\">(373)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-380\" src=\"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg\" border=\"0\" width=\"120\" style=\"border: 0px; float: left;\" \/>De la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2001 au 31 juillet 2008 le prix du p\u00e9trole a augment\u00e9 de 525% en USD.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Une information fondamentale publi\u00e9e par l&rsquo;Agence internationale de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie (AIE) est pass\u00e9e totalement inaper\u00e7ue : le pic p\u00e9trolier s&rsquo;est produit en 2006. Alors que la demande mondiale continuera \u00e0 cro\u00eetre avec la mont\u00e9e en puissance des pays \u00e9mergents (Chine, Inde et Br\u00e9sil), la production de p\u00e9trole conventionnel va conna\u00eetre un d\u00e9clin inexorable apr\u00e8s avoir plafonn\u00e9. La crise \u00e9conomique masque pour l&rsquo;heure cette r\u00e9alit\u00e9.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":380,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[18],"tags":[2148,2146,2149,101,464,88,2147,38],"class_list":["post-2091","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde-futur","tag-aie","tag-choc-petrolier","tag-crise-economique","tag-energie","tag-oil","tag-petrole","tag-repetition","tag-solutions","wpcat-18-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg?fit=225%2C225&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-xJ","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":4431,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-4eme-choc-petrolier\/","url_meta":{"origin":2091,"position":0},"title":"Le 4eme Choc P\u00e9trolier","author":"Admin","date":"23 mai 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Un \u00ab pic de production \u00bb d\u00e9signe le sommet de la courbe qui caract\u00e9rise la production p\u00e9troli\u00e8re d'un puits ou d'un champ p\u00e9trolier ; par extension le pic p\u00e9trolier d\u00e9signe celle d'un pays voire de l'ensemble de la plan\u00e8te. Appel\u00e9 Peak Oil en anglais, il constitue l'extrapolation des travaux du\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":931,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-dans-un-pic-petrolier\/","url_meta":{"origin":2091,"position":1},"title":"Un monde dans un pic p\u00e9trolier","author":"Admin","date":"14 juin 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Dix ans apr\u00e8s sa cr\u00e9ation, l'ASPO confirme le pic p\u00e9trolier.\u00a0Les faits semblent donner raison \u00e0 l'Association d'\u00e9tude du pic p\u00e9trolier. La production annuelle de p\u00e9trole conventionnel a amorc\u00e9 une d\u00e9crue depuis 2006, tandis que le baril est \u00e0 plus de 100 $ en continu depuis un an, situation sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/indicateur.jpg?fit=225%2C225&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3564,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-vers-la-petro-apocalypse\/","url_meta":{"origin":2091,"position":2},"title":"Un monde vers la p\u00e9tro apocalypse","author":"Admin","date":"19 juillet 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Dans quelques ann\u00e9es, la production mondiale de p\u00e9trole conventionnel d\u00e9clinera tandis que la demande mondiale ne cesse de cro\u00eetre. Le choc r\u00e9sultant de cette famine p\u00e9troli\u00e8re structurelle est in\u00e9vitable, tant sont importantes la d\u00e9pendance de nos \u00e9conomies au p\u00e9trole bon march\u00e9 et l'impossibilit\u00e9 concomitante de les en sevrer rapidement. Nous\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5679,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/a-la-recherche-de-solutions\/","url_meta":{"origin":2091,"position":3},"title":"A la recherche de solutions","author":"Admin","date":"31 janvier 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"La plupart des commentateurs de la crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique qui s'annoncent oublient le r\u00e9chauffement climatique lorsqu'ils \u00e9voquent les solutions possibles. Inversement, les avocats de la cause climatique oublient (ou ignorent) g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement qu'une crise \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique se profile. Or, les deux probl\u00e8mes sont \u00e9troitement imbriqu\u00e9s ; les prendre en compte en m\u00eame temps\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Solutions&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Solutions","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/solutions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":381,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-sans-petrole\/","url_meta":{"origin":2091,"position":4},"title":"Un monde sans p\u00e9trole act VI","author":"Admin","date":"28 juin 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Un monde sans p\u00e9trole est un sujet qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9velopper sur la Terre du Futur. Pour rappel, les articles suivants : D\u00e8s 2005, nous avertissions : Un monde sans p\u00e9trole., en 2006 : vers la p\u00e9tro apocalypse, en 2008 :\u00a0Old Peak - un monde sans p\u00e9trole. Le 4eme\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/petrole.jpg?fit=225%2C225&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2732,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-choc-petrolier-honteux\/","url_meta":{"origin":2091,"position":5},"title":"Le choc p\u00e9trolier honteux","author":"Admin","date":"8 mars 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"C'\u00e9tait en 2001 : A une centaine de kilom\u00e8tres des c\u00f4tes br\u00e9siliennes, la plus grande plate-forme p\u00e9troli\u00e8re du monde continue lentement de couler, tandis que les sauveteurs s'efforcent de la stabiliser en injectant de l'air et de l'azote dans sa structure. Jeudi dernier, plusieurs explosions, dont l'origine reste \u00e0 d\u00e9terminer,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Pollution&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Pollution","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/pollution\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/pt_maree_noire03.jpeg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2091","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2091"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2091\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/380"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}