{"id":2069,"date":"2014-06-26T23:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-06-26T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/?p=2069"},"modified":"2014-06-26T23:00:00","modified_gmt":"2014-06-26T22:00:00","slug":"vers-une-baisse-de-1d-des-temperatures-mondiales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-une-baisse-de-1d-des-temperatures-mondiales\/","title":{"rendered":"Vers une baisse de 1\u00b0 des temp\u00e9ratures mondiales"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2068\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-une-baisse-de-1d-des-temperatures-mondiales\/_spaw_images_stop-global-warning-3\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?fit=520%2C294&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"520,294\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\".._spaw_images_stop-global-warning\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?fit=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?fit=520%2C294&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-2068\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?w=120\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px; float: left;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?w=520&amp;ssl=1 520w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?resize=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/>Vous avez bien lu !\u00a0Une nouvelle \u00e9tude sugg\u00e8re une baisse des temp\u00e9ratures allant jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 1 \u00b0 C d&rsquo;ici \u00e0 2020 en raison de la faible activit\u00e9 solaire.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: small; color: #000000; line-height: 1.3em;\">De la HockeySchtick: Un article publi\u00e9 ce mois ci dans le Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics ont trouv\u00e9 que de longs cycles solaires nous pr\u00e9disent des temp\u00e9ratures plus basses au cours du cycle solaire suivant. Un d\u00e9calage de 11 ans [la longueur du cycle solaire moyen] a \u00e9tabli une corr\u00e9lation maximale entre la longueur du cycle solaire et la temp\u00e9rature.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Sur la base du dernier et long cycle solaire 23, les auteurs pr\u00e9voient une diminution de la temp\u00e9rature moyenne de plus de 1\u00b0C, par rapport l&rsquo;actuel cycle solaire N\u00b024, de 2009 \u00e0 2020 pour certains endroits.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"line-height: 1.3em;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Faits saillants<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"line-height: 1.3em;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u25ba un cycle solaire pr\u00e9dit des temp\u00e9ratures plus basses pendant le cycle suivant.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u25ba A 1 \u00b0 C voir plus, la chute des temp\u00e9ratures est pr\u00e9dite pour 2009-2020 pour certains endroits.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u25ba L&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire peut avoir contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 40% ou plus de l&rsquo;augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature au si\u00e8cle dernier.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u25ba Un d\u00e9calage de 11 ans donne une corr\u00e9lation maximale entre la longueur du cycle solaire et la temp\u00e9rature.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Les auteurs constatent \u00e9galement que \u00ab\u00a0l&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire peut avoir contribu\u00e9 de40% ou plus de l&rsquo;augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature au si\u00e8cle dernier\u00bb et \u00abPour 3 stations de l&rsquo;Atlantique Nord, nous obtenons une contribution solaire de 63 \u00e0 72% de l&rsquo;augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature des 150 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. Cela montre que les courants de l&rsquo;Atlantique sont un signal du renforcement solaire.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Les relations entre la dur\u00e9e d&rsquo;un cycle de taches solaires et la temp\u00e9rature moyenne du prochain cycle sont calcul\u00e9s pour un certain nombre de stations m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques en Norv\u00e8ge et dans la r\u00e9gion de l&rsquo;Atlantique Nord.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2067\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-une-baisse-de-1d-des-temperatures-mondiales\/_spaw_images_maunder_minimum_temperature\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_maunder_minimum_temperature.gif?fit=540%2C179&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"540,179\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\".._spaw_images_maunder_minimum_temperature\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_maunder_minimum_temperature.gif?fit=300%2C99&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_maunder_minimum_temperature.gif?fit=540%2C179&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-2067\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_maunder_minimum_temperature.gif?w=450\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><em>Les temp\u00e9ratues avaient chut\u00e9 lors du minimum de Maunder au XVII eme et XVIII eme si\u00e8cle.<\/em><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p> <script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script> <!-- TDF2 --> <ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"      style=\"display:inline-block;width:336px;height:280px\"      data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"      data-ad-slot=\"1340140919\"><\/ins> <script> (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); <\/script> <\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Aucune tendance significative a \u00e9t\u00e9 trouv\u00e9e entre la dur\u00e9e d&rsquo;un cycle et la temp\u00e9rature moyenne dans le m\u00eame cycle, mais une tendance n\u00e9gative significative est observ\u00e9e entre la dur\u00e9e d&rsquo;un cycle, et la temp\u00e9rature du cycle suivant. Cela fournit un outil permettant de pr\u00e9voir une diminution de la temp\u00e9rature moyenne d&rsquo;au moins\u00a0 1\u00b0 sur le cycle solaire 24 pour les stations et domaines analys\u00e9s. Nous trouvons pour les stations locales norv\u00e9giennes apr\u00e8s enqu\u00eate que 25 \u00e0 56% de l&rsquo;augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature des 150 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es peuvent \u00eatre attribu\u00e9s au Soleil. Pour les 3 stations de l&rsquo;Atlantique Nord, nous obtenons 63 \u00e0 72% de contribution solaire. Cela montre que les courants de l&rsquo;Atlantique renforcement un signal solaire.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"641\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-une-baisse-de-1d-des-temperatures-mondiales\/sa_tsi_1600_en\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/sa_tsi_1600_en.jpg?fit=1209%2C796&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1209,796\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"sa_tsi_1600_en\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/sa_tsi_1600_en.jpg?fit=300%2C198&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/sa_tsi_1600_en.jpg?fit=800%2C527&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-641\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/sa_tsi_1600_en.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px;\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><em>Evolution de l&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire depuis l&rsquo;an 1600 et future&#8230; <\/em><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">La question d&rsquo;une relation possible entre l&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire et le climat de la Terre a re\u00e7u une attention consid\u00e9rable au cours des 200 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. Des p\u00e9riodes avec de nombreuses taches et facules correspondent aux p\u00e9riodes o\u00f9 l&rsquo;\u00e9clairement \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique est le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e dans le spectre visuel et une r\u00e9ponse plus forte dans l&rsquo;ultraviolet, qui agit sur \u200b\u200ble niveau d&rsquo;ozone. Il est \u00e9galement propos\u00e9 que les rayons cosmiques galactiques peuvent servir de noyaux de condensation des nuages, ce qui peut relier les variations de la couverture nuageuse \u00e0 l&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire, puisque les rayons cosmiques p\u00e9n\u00e8trent plus le champ magn\u00e9tique de la Terre lorsque l&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire est faible. Un examen des connexions possibles entre le Soleil et le climat de la Terre est donn\u00e9 par \u00a0Gray et et al. (2010).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"373\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-une-baisse-de-1d-des-temperatures-mondiales\/maunder\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/maunder.jpg?fit=600%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"600,300\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"maunder\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/maunder.jpg?fit=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/maunder.jpg?fit=600%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-373\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/maunder.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px;\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><em>Le soleil avec et sans t\u00e2ches solaires<\/em><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Bas\u00e9 sur une forte corr\u00e9lation entre le taux de production des nucl\u00e9ides cosmog\u00e9niques 14C et 10Be et les donn\u00e9es de la d\u00e9rive de la banquise, \u00a0Bond et al. (2001) \u00a0ont conclu que les perturbations extr\u00eamement faibles\u00a0<span style=\"line-height: 1.3em;\">d\u00e9cennales<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 1.3em;\"> dans la production d&rsquo;\u00e9nergie du Soleil sur des \u00e9chelles de temps mill\u00e9naires g\u00e9n\u00e8rent une r\u00e9ponse forte sur \u200b\u200ble climat dans les eaux profondes de l&rsquo;Atlantique Nord (NADW). Cela affecte la circulation thermohaline mondiale et le climat mondial. Le lien possible avec le soleil, l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an et le climat peut \u00eatre d\u00e9tectable sur la temp\u00e9rature de la r\u00e9gion de l&rsquo;Atlantique Nord. Depuis l&rsquo;oc\u00e9an avec sa grande capacit\u00e9 calorique, il peut stocker et transporter d&rsquo;\u00e9normes quantit\u00e9s de chaleur, un d\u00e9calage dans le temps entre l&rsquo;activit\u00e9 solaire et l&rsquo;augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature de l&rsquo;air est attendue. Un d\u00e9calage observ\u00e9 nous donne l&rsquo;occasion de pouvoir faire des pr\u00e9visions, qui est la raison d&rsquo;\u00eatre de la pr\u00e9sente enqu\u00eate.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"line-height: 1.3em;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><a href=\"..\/\/\">Traduction, adaptation de la Terre du Futur<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"line-height: 1.3em;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">source :\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/\">http:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"line-height: 1.3em;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2068\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/vers-une-baisse-de-1d-des-temperatures-mondiales\/_spaw_images_stop-global-warning-3\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?fit=520%2C294&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"520,294\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\".._spaw_images_stop-global-warning\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?fit=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?fit=520%2C294&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-2068\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  style=\"border: 0px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?w=520&amp;ssl=1 520w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?resize=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"2069\">(714)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-2068\" src=\"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg\" border=\"0\" width=\"120\" style=\"border: 0px; float: left;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?w=520&amp;ssl=1 520w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?resize=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/>Vous avez bien lu !\u00a0Une nouvelle \u00e9tude sugg\u00e8re une baisse des temp\u00e9ratures allant jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 1 \u00b0 C d&rsquo;ici \u00e0 2020 en raison de la faible activit\u00e9 solaire.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: small; color: #000000; line-height: 1.3em;\">De la HockeySchtick: Un article publi\u00e9 ce mois ci dans le Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics ont trouv\u00e9 que de longs cycles solaires nous pr\u00e9disent des temp\u00e9ratures plus basses au cours du cycle solaire suivant. Un d\u00e9calage de 11 ans [la longueur du cycle solaire moyen] a \u00e9tabli une corr\u00e9lation maximale entre la longueur du cycle solaire et la temp\u00e9rature.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2068,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[20],"tags":[1243,41,1242,128,369,64],"class_list":["post-2069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climat","tag-baisse-des-temperatures","tag-climat","tag-cycle-solaire","tag-futur","tag-taches-solaires","tag-temperatures","wpcat-20-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/.._spaw_images_stop-global-warning.jpg?fit=520%2C294&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-xn","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":4018,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-refroidissement-global-est-en-cours\/","url_meta":{"origin":2069,"position":0},"title":"Le refroidissement global est en cours !","author":"Admin","date":"5 juin 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Pr\u00e9vision solaire de la baisse prochaine de la temp\u00e9rature terrestre par David Archibald de la NASA. Voici une pr\u00e9vision solaire de ce physicien de la NASA qui nous annonce donc une prochaine d\u00e9cennie qui nous apportera un refroidissement sur l'ensemble du globe. Et si ce refroidissement avait commenc\u00e9 ! Si\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Soleil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Soleil","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/soleil\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5388,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/pas-de-consensus\/","url_meta":{"origin":2069,"position":1},"title":"Pas de consensus","author":"Admin","date":"2 juin 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Les chercheurs pr\u00e9voient un minimum solaire qui va se prolonger. Un changement climatique d'une nouvelle p\u00e9riode froide. Tout ceci est fond\u00e9 sur l'activit\u00e9 solaire. 1. 1. Dr. Habibullo I Abdussamatov: Acad\u00e9mie Scientifique russe. Chef de la recherche spatiale \u00e0 l'observatoire de Poulkovo, \u00e0 Saint-P\u00e9tersbourg. Comment: RIA Novosti, August 25, 2006:\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":25092,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/activite-solaire-le-cycle-25-depasse-le-cycle-24\/","url_meta":{"origin":2069,"position":2},"title":"Activit\u00e9 solaire : Le cycle 25 d\u00e9passe le cycle 24","author":"Admin","date":"17 juillet 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Au cours des deux derni\u00e8res d\u00e9cennies, l'activit\u00e9 solaire a \u00e9t\u00e9 caract\u00e9ris\u00e9e par un minimum solaire prolong\u00e9 s'\u00e9tendant sur deux cycles solaires, connu sous le nom de minimum de Clilverd. Ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne affecte actuellement le climat, mais avant de pouvoir comprendre son impact, nous devons nous pencher sur l'\u00e9cart important entre\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Soleil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Soleil","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/soleil\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/cycle-solaire-25.webp?fit=720%2C432&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/cycle-solaire-25.webp?fit=720%2C432&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/cycle-solaire-25.webp?fit=720%2C432&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/cycle-solaire-25.webp?fit=720%2C432&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":832,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-refroidissement-climatique-ineluctable\/","url_meta":{"origin":2069,"position":3},"title":"Un refroidissement climatique in\u00e9luctable","author":"Admin","date":"1 avril 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"La douceur actuelle cache la for\u00eat du refroidissement futur. De plus, on ne peut confondre m\u00e9t\u00e9orologie et climatologie. La p\u00e9riode actuelle s'est stabilis\u00e9e depuis plus de 10 ans. Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique s'est bien arr\u00eat\u00e9. Nous avons connu plusieurs hivers en dessous des normes saisonni\u00e8res. Cet hiver fut doux dans l'ensemble\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Soleil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Soleil","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/soleil\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14814,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-distribution-des-temperatures-hivernales-de-lhemisphere-nord-au-cours-des-differentes-phases-du-cycle-solaire\/","url_meta":{"origin":2069,"position":4},"title":"La distribution des temp\u00e9ratures hivernales de l&rsquo;h\u00e9misph\u00e8re Nord au cours des diff\u00e9rentes phases du cycle solaire","author":"Admin","date":"27 f\u00e9vrier 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Plusieurs \u00e9tudes r\u00e9centes ont montr\u00e9 la variabilit\u00e9 du climat d'hiver dans l'h\u00e9misph\u00e8re Nord li\u00e9e \u00e0 diff\u00e9rents param\u00e8tres de l'activit\u00e9 solaire. En utilisant 13 cycles solaires de 1869 \u00e0 2009, nous \u00e9tudions les temp\u00e9ratures de surface de l'hiver et l'oscillation nord-atlantique (NAO) pendant les quatre diff\u00e9rentes phases du cycle des taches\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/nao-ocean-atlantique.png?fit=764%2C792&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/nao-ocean-atlantique.png?fit=764%2C792&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/nao-ocean-atlantique.png?fit=764%2C792&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/nao-ocean-atlantique.png?fit=764%2C792&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4227,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/nouvelle-etude-le-prochain-cycle-solaire-pourrait-etre-tres-bas\/","url_meta":{"origin":2069,"position":5},"title":"Nouvelle \u00e9tude, le prochain cycle solaire pourrait \u00eatre tr\u00e8s bas","author":"Admin","date":"11 d\u00e9cembre 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Voici donc une nouvelle \u00e9tude qui d\u00e9montrerait la v\u00e9racit\u00e9 des propos de David Archibald, le prochain cycle solaire n\u00b024 pourrait \u00eatre tr\u00e8s bas, et apporterait donc un refroidissement plan\u00e9taire. Ici t\u00e2ches solaires en direct Lueur d'espoir : Le soleil peut-il nous sauver du r\u00e9chauffement global ? La baisse de l'intensit\u00e9\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Soleil&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Soleil","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/soleil\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/soleil3.gif?fit=512%2C512&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}