{"id":1870,"date":"2014-03-20T23:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-03-20T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/?p=1870"},"modified":"2014-03-20T23:00:00","modified_gmt":"2014-03-20T22:00:00","slug":"un-monde-condamne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-condamne\/","title":{"rendered":"Un monde condamn\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1866\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-condamne\/machou-pichou\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?fit=255%2C197&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"255,197\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"machou-pichou\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?fit=255%2C197&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?fit=255%2C197&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-1866\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?w=120\" border=\"0\"  style=\"float: left;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?w=255&amp;ssl=1 255w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?resize=70%2C53&amp;ssl=1 70w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 255px) 100vw, 255px\" \/>Comme les Romains ou les Mayas avant nous, notre civilisation moderne et industrielle pourrait bien \u00eatre condamn\u00e9e \u00e0 dispara\u00eetre. C\u2019est ce qu\u2019assure une \u00e9tude du Centre de vols spatiaux Goddard de la Nasa, rapport\u00e9e par The Guardian.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Ce n\u2019est pas la premi\u00e8re fois que l\u2019on pr\u00e9dit la fin du monde. Mais cette fois-ci, ce sont des scientifiques qui avancent l\u2019effondrement de la \u00abcivilisation industrialis\u00e9e\u00bb. La Radio T\u00e9l\u00e9vision Belge (RTBF) appuie en outre la \u00abcr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9\u00bb de cette \u00e9tude sur le fait qu\u2019elle a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9e par le \u00abtr\u00e8s s\u00e9rieux Elsevier Journal Ecological Economics\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">   <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Emmen\u00e9s par le math\u00e9maticien Safa Motesharri, ces chercheurs basent leurs recherches sur un mod\u00e8le appel\u00e9 \u00abHANDY\u00bb, pour Human and And Natural DYnamical.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Cette \u00abdynamique nature-humanit\u00e9\u00bb leur a permis d\u2019identifier les facteurs qui ont conduit \u00e0 la chute d\u2019anciennes civilisations: \u00abla population, le climat, l\u2019eau, l\u2019agriculture, et l\u2019\u00e9nergie\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Comment ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments peuvent-ils conduire \u00e0 l\u2019effondrement d\u2019une civilisation? Lorsqu\u2019ils \u00abconvergent pour g\u00e9n\u00e9rer deux fonctions sociales cruciales\u00bb, explique le Guardian, traduit par la RTBF.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1867\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-condamne\/iles-de-pacques\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/iles-de-pacques.jpg?fit=848%2C478&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"848,478\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"iles-de-pacques\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/iles-de-pacques.jpg?fit=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/iles-de-pacques.jpg?fit=800%2C451&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-1867\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/iles-de-pacques.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/iles-de-pacques.jpg?w=848&amp;ssl=1 848w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/iles-de-pacques.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 848px) 100vw, 848px\" \/><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLa raret\u00e9 des ressources provoqu\u00e9e par la pression exerc\u00e9e sur l\u2019\u00e9cologie et la stratification \u00e9conomique entre riches et pauvres ont toujours jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le central dans le processus d\u2019effondrement. Du moins au cours des cinq mille derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Ainsi, une surexploitation des ressources naturelles combin\u00e9e \u00e0 une trop forte disparit\u00e9 entre riches et pauvres, ou entre \u00ab\u00e9lites\u00bb et \u00abroturiers\u00bb, comme ils sont nomm\u00e9s dans l\u2019\u00e9tude, ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 conduit \u00e0 l\u2019effondrement de civilisations. Dans son essai L\u2019Effondrement, pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 dans Le Monde, Jared Diamond expliquait par exemple comment les Mayas ont couru \u00e0 leur propre fin. La d\u00e9forestation et la culture intensive du ma\u00efs ont \u00e9t\u00e9 les premiers pas vers l\u2019\u00e9croulement de cette civilisation.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p> <script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script> <!-- TDF2 --> <ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"      style=\"display:inline-block;width:336px;height:280px\"      data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"      data-ad-slot=\"1340140919\"><\/ins> <script> (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); <\/script> <\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">L\u2019auteur identifie cinq facteurs qui m\u00e8nent \u00e0 l\u2019effondrement d\u2019une civilisation, facteurs qui rejoignent l\u2019\u00e9tude de la Nasa. Jared Diamond parle entre autres de \u00abdommages irr\u00e9parables \u00e0 l\u2019environnement\u00bb, ou encore des \u00abgouvernements et des \u00e9lites\u00bb qui \u00abaggravent [l\u2019effondrement] par des comportements de caste, continuant \u00e0 prot\u00e9ger leurs privil\u00e8ges \u00e0 court terme\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1868\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-condamne\/effondrement-civilisation\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?fit=640%2C360&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"640,360\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"effondrement-civilisation\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?fit=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?fit=640%2C360&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-1868\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?w=640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Selon le mod\u00e8le \u00abHandy\u00bb, ce sont bien ces types de comportements qui conduiront \u00e0 la fin de notre civilisation. L\u2019accaparement des richesses par les plus riches pourra mener \u00e0 la disparition des plus pauvres et \u00e0 celle de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 toute enti\u00e8re.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Les r\u00e9sultats de la recherche pr\u00e9sentent deux sc\u00e9narios possibles. Premi\u00e8re possibilit\u00e9:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLes \u00e9lites consomment trop, ce qui conduit \u00e0 une famine parmi les roturiers, ce qui finalement cause l\u2019effondrement de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">La RTBF pr\u00e9cise que \u00abdans ce cas, la destruction de notre monde ne serait donc pas due \u00e0 des raisons climatiques, mais \u00e0 la disparition des travailleurs\u00bb. Le site poursuit en r\u00e9sumant le second sc\u00e9nario:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLe second sc\u00e9nario catastrophe repose sur la surconsommation des ressources qui entra\u00eenerait un d\u00e9clin des populations pauvres, suivie par celui, d\u00e9cal\u00e9 dans le temps, des populations riches\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Selon le math\u00e9maticien, cet effondrement est \u00abdifficile \u00e0 \u00e9viter\u00bb. Lui et ses coll\u00e8gues donnent toutefois des pistes pour tenter d\u2019y \u00e9chapper.<\/span><\/span><\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLes deux solutions-cl\u00e9s sont de r\u00e9duire les in\u00e9galit\u00e9s \u00e9conomiques afin d\u2019assurer une distribution plus juste des ressources, et de r\u00e9duire consid\u00e9rablement la consommation de ressources en s\u2019appuyant sur des ressources renouvelables moins intensives et sur une croissance moindre de la population\u00bb Comme les Romains ou les Mayas avant nous, notre civilisation moderne et industrielle pourrait bien \u00eatre condamn\u00e9e \u00e0 dispara\u00eetre. C\u2019est ce qu\u2019assure une \u00e9tude du Centre de vols spatiaux Goddard de la Nasa, rapport\u00e9e par The Guardian.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1869\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-condamne\/rome-antique\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/rome-antique.jpg?fit=630%2C420&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"630,420\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"rome-antique\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/rome-antique.jpg?fit=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/rome-antique.jpg?fit=630%2C420&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" size-full wp-image-1869\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/rome-antique.jpg?w=450\" border=\"0\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/rome-antique.jpg?w=630&amp;ssl=1 630w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/rome-antique.jpg?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\" \/><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Ce n\u2019est pas la premi\u00e8re fois que l\u2019on pr\u00e9dit la fin du monde. Mais cette fois-ci, ce sont des scientifiques qui avancent l\u2019effondrement de la \u00abcivilisation industrialis\u00e9e\u00bb. La Radio T\u00e9l\u00e9vision Belge (RTBF) appuie en outre la \u00abcr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9\u00bb de cette \u00e9tude sur le fait qu\u2019elle a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9e par le \u00abtr\u00e8s s\u00e9rieux Elsevier Journal Ecological Economics\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Emmen\u00e9s par le math\u00e9maticien Safa Motesharri, ces chercheurs basent leurs recherches sur un mod\u00e8le appel\u00e9 \u00abHANDY\u00bb, pour Human and And Natural DYnamical.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Cette \u00abdynamique nature-humanit\u00e9\u00bb leur a permis d\u2019identifier les facteurs qui ont conduit \u00e0 la chute d\u2019anciennes civilisations: \u00abla population, le climat, l\u2019eau, l\u2019agriculture, et l\u2019\u00e9nergie\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Comment ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments peuvent-ils conduire \u00e0 l\u2019effondrement d\u2019une civilisation? Lorsqu\u2019ils \u00abconvergent pour g\u00e9n\u00e9rer deux fonctions sociales cruciales\u00bb, explique le Guardian, traduit par la RTBF.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLa raret\u00e9 des ressources provoqu\u00e9e par la pression exerc\u00e9e sur l\u2019\u00e9cologie et la stratification \u00e9conomique entre riches et pauvres ont toujours jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le central dans le processus d\u2019effondrement. Du moins au cours des cinq mille derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Ainsi, une surexploitation des ressources naturelles combin\u00e9e \u00e0 une trop forte disparit\u00e9 entre riches et pauvres, ou entre \u00ab\u00e9lites\u00bb et \u00abroturiers\u00bb, comme ils sont nomm\u00e9s dans l\u2019\u00e9tude, ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 conduit \u00e0 l\u2019effondrement de civilisations. Dans son essai L\u2019Effondrement, pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 dans Le Monde, Jared Diamond expliquait par exemple comment les Mayas ont couru \u00e0 leur propre fin. La d\u00e9forestation et la culture intensive du ma\u00efs ont \u00e9t\u00e9 les premiers pas vers l\u2019\u00e9croulement de cette civilisation.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">L\u2019auteur identifie cinq facteurs qui m\u00e8nent \u00e0 l\u2019effondrement d\u2019une civilisation, facteurs qui rejoignent l\u2019\u00e9tude de la Nasa. Jared Diamond parle entre autres de \u00abdommages irr\u00e9parables \u00e0 l\u2019environnement\u00bb, ou encore des \u00abgouvernements et des \u00e9lites\u00bb qui \u00abaggravent [l\u2019effondrement] par des comportements de caste, continuant \u00e0 prot\u00e9ger leurs privil\u00e8ges \u00e0 court terme\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Selon le mod\u00e8le \u00abHandy\u00bb, ce sont bien ces types de comportements qui conduiront \u00e0 la fin de notre civilisation. L\u2019accaparement des richesses par les plus riches pourra mener \u00e0 la disparition des plus pauvres et \u00e0 celle de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 toute enti\u00e8re.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Les r\u00e9sultats de la recherche pr\u00e9sentent deux sc\u00e9narios possibles. Premi\u00e8re possibilit\u00e9:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLes \u00e9lites consomment trop, ce qui conduit \u00e0 une famine parmi les roturiers, ce qui finalement cause l\u2019effondrement de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">La RTBF pr\u00e9cise que \u00abdans ce cas, la destruction de notre monde ne serait donc pas due \u00e0 des raisons climatiques, mais \u00e0 la disparition des travailleurs\u00bb. Le site poursuit en r\u00e9sumant le second sc\u00e9nario:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLe second sc\u00e9nario catastrophe repose sur la surconsommation des ressources qui entra\u00eenerait un d\u00e9clin des populations pauvres, suivie par celui, d\u00e9cal\u00e9 dans le temps, des populations riches\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Selon le math\u00e9maticien, cet effondrement est \u00abdifficile \u00e0 \u00e9viter\u00bb. Lui et ses coll\u00e8gues donnent toutefois des pistes pour tenter d\u2019y \u00e9chapper.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">\u00abLes deux solutions-cl\u00e9s sont de r\u00e9duire les in\u00e9galit\u00e9s \u00e9conomiques afin d\u2019assurer une distribution plus juste des ressources, et de r\u00e9duire consid\u00e9rablement la consommation de ressources en s\u2019appuyant sur des ressources renouvelables moins intensives et sur une croissance moindre de la population\u00bb<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">source :\u00a0http:\/\/www.slate.fr\/<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"1870\">(588)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" alignleft size-full wp-image-1866\" src=\"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg\" border=\"0\" width=\"120\" style=\"float: left;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?w=255&amp;ssl=1 255w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?resize=70%2C53&amp;ssl=1 70w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 255px) 100vw, 255px\" \/>Comme les Romains ou les Mayas avant nous, notre civilisation moderne et industrielle pourrait bien \u00eatre condamn\u00e9e \u00e0 dispara\u00eetre. C\u2019est ce qu\u2019assure une \u00e9tude du Centre de vols spatiaux Goddard de la Nasa, rapport\u00e9e par The Guardian.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Ce n\u2019est pas la premi\u00e8re fois que l\u2019on pr\u00e9dit la fin du monde. Mais cette fois-ci, ce sont des scientifiques qui avancent l\u2019effondrement de la \u00abcivilisation industrialis\u00e9e\u00bb. La Radio T\u00e9l\u00e9vision Belge (RTBF) appuie en outre la \u00abcr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9\u00bb de cette \u00e9tude sur le fait qu\u2019elle a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9e par le \u00abtr\u00e8s s\u00e9rieux Elsevier Journal Ecological Economics\u00bb.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1866,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[18],"tags":[866,384,2042,101,128,541,130,731,2043,398],"class_list":["post-1870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde-futur","tag-agriculture","tag-civilisation","tag-condamne","tag-energie","tag-futur","tag-industriel","tag-monde","tag-population","tag-rtbf","tag-scientifiques","wpcat-18-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/machou-pichou.jpg?fit=255%2C197&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-ua","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5885,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-nasa-predit-la-fin-de-notre-civilisation-un-monde-condamne\/","url_meta":{"origin":1870,"position":0},"title":"La Nasa pr\u00e9dit la fin de notre civilisation, un monde condamn\u00e9","author":"Admin","date":"9 mai 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"LE PLUS. Notre civilisation serait condamn\u00e9e \u00e0 dispara\u00eetre. Non, vous n'\u00eates pas dans un film de science-fiction, c'est la Nasa elle-m\u00eame qui l'annonce, via une \u00e9tude qu'elle a financ\u00e9e. Des chercheurs ont ainsi montr\u00e9 que plusieurs crit\u00e8res pourraient entra\u00eener la disparition de notre civilisation d'ici une quinzaine d'ann\u00e9es. Doit-on craindre\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"effondrement-civilisation","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/effondrement-civilisation.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":17091,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-une-civilisation-a-bout-de-souffle\/","url_meta":{"origin":1870,"position":1},"title":"Un monde, une civilisation \u00e0 bout de souffle ?","author":"Admin","date":"5 novembre 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"La fin de la civilisation humaine incarne l\u2019une des grandes craintes des sp\u00e9cialistes car c\u2019est l\u2019Homme lui-m\u00eame qui en est responsable. La NASA s\u2019est pench\u00e9e sur la question et d\u2019apr\u00e8s ses analyses, ce n\u2019est qu\u2019une question de d\u00e9cennies avant que l\u2019Homme ne disparaisse compl\u00e8tement. Cependant, nous pouvons encore agir pour\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/fin-de-civilisation.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/fin-de-civilisation.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/fin-de-civilisation.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/fin-de-civilisation.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/fin-de-civilisation.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":7454,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-sixieme-extinction-massive-animale-et-humaine-est-en-cours\/","url_meta":{"origin":1870,"position":2},"title":"La sixi\u00e8me extinction massive animale et humaine est en cours","author":"Admin","date":"23 juin 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Notre civilisation est en voie d'extinction. C'est une \u00e9tude scientifique publi\u00e9e qui l'affirme. Et parmi les nombreuses esp\u00e8ces qui sont condamn\u00e9es : l'homme. La fin du monde approche. Apr\u00e8s les dinosaures il y a 66 millions d'ann\u00e9es, la Terre est en train de subir sa sixi\u00e8me extinction de masse, selon\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Divers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Divers","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/divers\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/extinction.jpg?fit=800%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/extinction.jpg?fit=800%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/extinction.jpg?fit=800%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/extinction.jpg?fit=800%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":16615,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/la-montee-et-la-chute-de-lempire-romain-est-reecrite-par-la-glace-cachee-sous-le-groenland\/","url_meta":{"origin":1870,"position":3},"title":"La mont\u00e9e et la chute de l&rsquo;Empire romain est r\u00e9\u00e9crite par la glace cach\u00e9e sous le Groenland","author":"Admin","date":"3 juin 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"L'immensit\u00e9 glaciale du Groenland aurait pu \u00e9chapper \u00e0 l'emprise de l'Empire romain, mais cela ne veut pas dire que les terres glac\u00e9es du Nord ne sentirent jamais les fortunes imp\u00e9riales. Une nouvelle \u00e9tude a fourni un aper\u00e7u \u00e9tonnant, sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent dans l'\u00e9volution de la civilisation romaine et grecque ancienne en\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Arch\u00e9ologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Arch\u00e9ologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/archeologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/colysee-rome.jpg?fit=1040%2C585&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/colysee-rome.jpg?fit=1040%2C585&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/colysee-rome.jpg?fit=1040%2C585&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/colysee-rome.jpg?fit=1040%2C585&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2533,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-climat-aurait-une-grande-influence-sur-les-civilisations\/","url_meta":{"origin":1870,"position":4},"title":"Le climat aurait une grande influence sur les civilisations","author":"Admin","date":"31 mars 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Pendant des si\u00e8cles, pr\u00e9voir le temps qu\u2019il ferait le lendemain a \u00e9t\u00e9 impossible. Or, une \u00e9tude r\u00e9v\u00e8le que la chute de l\u2019empire romain, par exemple, serait en partie due \u00e0 la m\u00e9t\u00e9o, impr\u00e9visible. Ulf B\u00fcntgen de l\u2019institut f\u00e9d\u00e9ral suisse de la recherche sur la for\u00eat, la neige et le paysage\u00a0\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Arch\u00e9ologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Arch\u00e9ologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/archeologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/laterredufutur.com_photos_rome2.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1776,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/un-monde-a-evacue\/","url_meta":{"origin":1870,"position":5},"title":"Un monde \u00e0 \u00e9vacuer","author":"Admin","date":"26 janvier 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Et si la Terre \u00e9tait condamn\u00e9e, un astre fonce sur nous et notre temps et compt\u00e9, alors que la civilisation vascille, serions nous capable d'aller vers une autre plan\u00e8te ? Pourrions nous \u00e9vacuer la Terre ? C'est digne d'un sc\u00e9nario de science fiction. Pourtant on ne pourra jamais dire que\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Monde Futur&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Monde Futur","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/monde-futur\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/terre-lune.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/terre-lune.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/terre-lune.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/terre-lune.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/terre-lune.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1870","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1870"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1870\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1866"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1870"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1870"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1870"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}