{"id":12492,"date":"2016-06-04T09:36:39","date_gmt":"2016-06-04T07:36:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/?p=12492"},"modified":"2016-06-04T09:36:39","modified_gmt":"2016-06-04T07:36:39","slug":"le-rechauffement-climatique-un-suspect-douteux","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/le-rechauffement-climatique-un-suspect-douteux\/","title":{"rendered":"Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique, un suspect douteux"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique ne serait pas responsable des actuelles crues du Bassin parisien.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Plus pluvieux au nord de la France, plus sec au sud. Telles pourraient \u00eatre les cons\u00e9quences du d\u00e9r\u00e8glement climatique pour la m\u00e9t\u00e9o hexagonale. \u00abLe probl\u00e8me est que, dans les mod\u00e8les climatiques, il y a une incertitude sur la limite nord-sud de l&rsquo;ordre de\u2026 1 000 kilom\u00e8tres\u00bb, sourit Vazken Andr\u00e9assian, hydrologue et directeur adjoint scientifique de l&rsquo;Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l&rsquo;environnement et l&rsquo;agriculture (Irstea).<br \/>\nUne crue jug\u00e9e \u00e9tonnante<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique est-il responsable des actuelles crues du Bassin parisien? Impossible de lier un \u00e9v\u00e9nement donn\u00e9 et de court terme \u00e0 ce processus de long terme qu&rsquo;est le r\u00e9chauffement, clament en ch\u0153ur les climatologues. La crue en cours est cependant jug\u00e9e \u00e9tonnante, parce qu&rsquo;elle survient en cette fin de printemps. Les cours d&rsquo;eau venus des montagnes ont tendance \u00e0 d\u00e9border au printemps, \u00e0 cause de la fonte des neiges. La Seine et ses affluents, eux, connaissent des crues lorsqu&rsquo;il pleut beaucoup, donc plut\u00f4t en hiver. \u00abHistoriquement, les grandes inondations de la Seine (1910, 1924, 1945 et 1955) ont eu lieu en janvier ou f\u00e9vrier\u00bb, pr\u00e9cise Vazken Andr\u00e9assian. \u00abCependant, note l&rsquo;hydrologue, une crue dans le Bassin parisien en mai est inhabituelle, mais pas in\u00e9dite. Il y avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 eu en 2013 un \u00e9v\u00e9nement assez similaire, mais plus localis\u00e9 sur l&rsquo;Yonne, qui s&rsquo;\u00e9tait att\u00e9nu\u00e9, car la Seine avait pu absorber le \u201ctrop-plein\u201d.\u00bb Une autre crue historique a eu lieu en juin: celle de la Loire en 1856.<\/p><div class=\"1665f18d14f35dd9e7566e1a8ac9a3e9\" data-index=\"2\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\r\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2860849627502538\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3019501113\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Or si la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures est responsable de l&rsquo;avanc\u00e9e de la fonte des neiges, il est plus complexe d&rsquo;\u00e9tablir un lien entre r\u00e9chauffement climatique et \u00e9pisodes pluvieux. Certaines projections climatiques anticipent m\u00eame\u2026 un ass\u00e8chement du Bassin parisien, tandis que d&rsquo;autres pensent que son climat ressemblera davantage au climat d&rsquo;Europe centrale, o\u00f9 le Danube est volontiers en crue en \u00e9t\u00e9. Et l&rsquo;hydrologue de r\u00e9sumer ainsi la question du lien entre r\u00e9chauffement climatique et crues franciliennes: \u00abIl est justifi\u00e9 d&rsquo;\u00eatre suspicieux. Mais cela peut aussi \u00eatre l&rsquo;effet du hasard.\u00bb<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">source :\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/sciences\/2016\/06\/03\/01008-20160603ARTFIG00318-le-rechauffement-climatique-un-suspect-douteux.php\" target=\"_blank\">http:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"bawpvc-ajax-counter\" data-id=\"12492\">(621)<\/p>\n<!--CusAds0-->\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique ne serait pas responsable des actuelles crues du Bassin parisien. Plus pluvieux au nord de la France,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12485,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Le r\u00e9chauffement climatique, un suspect douteux @laterredufutur","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[20,32],"tags":[681,188,56,645,55,1780,169],"class_list":["post-12492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climat","category-meteorologie","tag-crue","tag-europe","tag-france","tag-inondations","tag-meteo","tag-paris","tag-rechauffement-climatique","wpcat-20-id","wpcat-32-id"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/nemours-sous-les-eaux.jpg?fit=600%2C450&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p631RN-3fu","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":20162,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/pluviometrie-exceptionnelle-les-episodes-mediterraneens-de-lautomne-2019-se-ressemblent-et-se-succedent\/","url_meta":{"origin":12492,"position":0},"title":"Pluviom\u00e9trie exceptionnelle, les \u00e9pisodes m\u00e9diterran\u00e9ens de l&rsquo;automne 2019 se ressemblent et se succ\u00e8dent","author":"Admin","date":"24 novembre 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Depuis la mi-octobre, plusieurs \u00e9pisodes m\u00e9diterran\u00e9en touchent la bassin occidental de la m\u00e9diterran\u00e9e impactant durement la France, l'Italie, l'Espagne et les pays du Maghreb. Ici nous allons nous concentrer sur ce qui s'est pass\u00e9 en France D\u00e8s le 22 octobre, le 1er \u00e9pisode m\u00e9diterran\u00e9en a touch\u00e9 le Languedoc Roussillon, et\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Ev\u00e8nement Brutal&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ev\u00e8nement Brutal","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/evenement-brutal\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/episode-mediterran%C3%A9en-23nov2019-1.jpg?fit=1197%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/episode-mediterran%C3%A9en-23nov2019-1.jpg?fit=1197%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/episode-mediterran%C3%A9en-23nov2019-1.jpg?fit=1197%2C450&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/episode-mediterran%C3%A9en-23nov2019-1.jpg?fit=1197%2C450&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/episode-mediterran%C3%A9en-23nov2019-1.jpg?fit=1197%2C450&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2576,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/les-ouragans-se-rapprochent-de-leurope\/","url_meta":{"origin":12492,"position":1},"title":"Les Ouragans se rapprochent de l&rsquo;Europe","author":"Admin","date":"14 d\u00e9cembre 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"Le changement climatique peut entra\u00eener la g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisation de manifestations climatiques extr\u00eames tels que les s\u00e9cheresses, les cyclones, les temp\u00eates tropicales et les crues. La modification des ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes climatiques \u00e0 l'\u00e9chelle de la plan\u00e8te pourrait impliquer que l?Europe de l'Ouest soit touch\u00e9e par de v\u00e9ritables ouragans. La d\u00e9sertification pourrait s'acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer dans\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/meteorologie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Photo Ouragan","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/html\/images\/articles\/fran05b.jpeg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":22748,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/les-inondations-de-liege-en-1926-aujourdhui-et-demain\/","url_meta":{"origin":12492,"position":2},"title":"Les inondations de Li\u00e8ge en 1926, aujourd&rsquo;hui et demain","author":"Admin","date":"17 juillet 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Au-del\u00e0 de l\u2019\u00e9moi et du malheur qu\u2019elles suscitent parmi les populations touch\u00e9es, les grandes catastrophes (inondations, tremblements de terre et autres ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes naturels) ont souvent fait l\u2019objet de comportements singuliers, refl\u00e9tant presque \u00e0 la perfection les multiples buts, visions et aspirations latentes d\u2019une soci\u00e9t\u00e9. Certaines r\u00e9actions de la population, des\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/meuse-inondations-19256-1926.jpg?fit=1200%2C777&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/meuse-inondations-19256-1926.jpg?fit=1200%2C777&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/meuse-inondations-19256-1926.jpg?fit=1200%2C777&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/meuse-inondations-19256-1926.jpg?fit=1200%2C777&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/meuse-inondations-19256-1926.jpg?fit=1200%2C777&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5073,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/selon-les-experts-du-giec-le-climat-mondial-pourrait-se-refroidir\/","url_meta":{"origin":12492,"position":3},"title":"Selon les experts du GIEC, le climat mondial pourrait se refroidir","author":"Admin","date":"23 octobre 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Le GIEC, le plus officiel des groupements influen\u00e7ant la th\u00e8se du r\u00e9chauffement climatique tourne leur veste. Sur la Terre du Futur, cela fait 6 ans que nous parlons de Refroidissement Climatique comme Issue du changement climatique actuel. \"Le climat mondial pourrait se refroidir et se r\u00e9chauffer plus tard\" \"Les pr\u00e9visions\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/.._spaw_images_giec2007%281%29.jpg?fit=530%2C498&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/.._spaw_images_giec2007%281%29.jpg?fit=530%2C498&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/.._spaw_images_giec2007%281%29.jpg?fit=530%2C498&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2661,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/une-aridite-et-des-vents-toujours-en-augmentation\/","url_meta":{"origin":12492,"position":4},"title":"Une aridit\u00e9 et des vents toujours en augmentation","author":"Admin","date":"22 janvier 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"Depuis plusieurs ann\u00e9es les zonnes temp\u00e9r\u00e9es de la plan\u00e8te connaissent une aridit\u00e9 en constante \u00e9volution. Et si cet ass\u00e8chement de zones temp\u00e9r\u00e9es n'\u00e9tait pas seulement d\u00fb au r\u00e9chauffement global ? Nous savons que depuis quelques ann\u00e9es le Sahara aurait tendance\u00a0\u00e0 reverdir, alors pourquoi les zones temp\u00e9r\u00e9es s'ass\u00e8chent ?\u00a0Et que pensez\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Climat&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climat","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/climat\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.laterredufutur.com\/spaw\/images\/0205mb05.jpeg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2529,"url":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/assombrissement-global-ou-global-shit\/","url_meta":{"origin":12492,"position":5},"title":"Assombrissement Global ou Global Shit","author":"Admin","date":"29 mars 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"L\u2019assombrissement global ou obscurcissement plan\u00e9taire, en anglais Global Dimming, modifie notre climat depuis les ann\u00e9es 1950. L'assombrissement, mis en \u00e9vidence pour la premi\u00e8re fois par Gerald Stanhill, biologiste isra\u00e9lien, est la r\u00e9duction de l'intensit\u00e9 lumineuse qui atteint la Terre en journ\u00e9e. L\u2019assombrissement cr\u00e9e un refroidissement qui vient contrecarrer l\u2019effet de\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Pollution&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Pollution","link":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/sujets\/pollution\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12492","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12492"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12492\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12493,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12492\/revisions\/12493"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12485"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12492"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12492"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.laterredufutur.com\/accueil\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12492"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}