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Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Phénomènes Climatiques en rapport avec le Soleil. Le cycle 24 devrait être faible, voici une question majeure sur l'influence climatique de notre prochaine decennie.

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 18 juin 2022, 03:31

8 région(s) active(s) RA 3030 , 3031 ,3032 , 3033 , 3034 ,3035 ,3037 , 3038 et 72 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 164 / 22 observatoires
NOAA -> 152
SWPC -> 167
Flux solaire -> 146
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

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Region 13030 [N18W05] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet. C1 flares: C1.1 @ 01:21 UT.
Region 13031 [S27W30] decayed slowly and still has a magnetic delta in a trailing spot section penumbra. Further M class flares are possible. C1 flares: C1.4 @02:08, C1.7 @ 15:40, C1.6 @ 19:43, C1.2 @ 20:25, C1.4 @ 22:27 UT.
Region 13032 [N20W08] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13033 [N17E15] was quiet and stable.
Region 13034 [N01E27] was quiet and stable. This is likely an SC24 group.
Region 13035 [S18E28] gained spots and lost mature penumbra.
Region 13036 [S12W80] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flares: C1.3 @ 03:40 UT
Region 13037 [S20W27] was mostly quiet and rotated partly out of view.
New region 13038 [N16E48] emerged on June 15 and developed further on June 16 when it was numbered by SWPC. C1 flares: C1.1 @ 12:40 UT

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7628 [S18W29] was quiet and stable.
S7629 [N18W42] was quiet and stable.
S7642 [N13E57] was quiet and stable.
S7646 [N28E71]was quiet and stable.
New region S7647 [S13E07] emerged with a tiny spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 19 juin 2022, 04:18

9 région(s) active(s) RA 3030 , 3031 ,3032 , 3033 , 3034 ,3035 ,3037 , 3038 , 3039 et 55 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 165 / 19 observatoires
NOAA -> 145
SWPC -> 160
Flux solaire -> 140
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13030 [N18W32] developed slowly and produced several C flares.
Region 13031 [S26W44] decayed further producing a few C flares early in the day. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 02:24, C1.9 @ 06:58 UT.
Region 13032 [N20W21] was quiet and stable.
Region 13033 [N16W00] decayed quickly and was quiet.
Region 13034 [N01E14] was quiet and stable. This is likely an SC24 group.
Region 13035 [S18E15] displayed spot fragmentation and decayed slowly.
Region 13037 [S20W54] was mostly quiet and stable. C1 flare: C1.2 @ 22:03 UT
Region 13038 [N15E36] developed slowly and quietly.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7628 [S21W30] decayed slowly and quietly.
S7629 [N13W51] developed as new flux emerged.
S7642 [N13E42] was quiet and stable.
S7646 [N28E58] was quiet and stable.
New region S7648 [S33W11] emerged with a tiny spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 20 juin 2022, 03:54

7 région(s) active(s) RA 3030 , 3031 ,3032 , 3034 ,3035 ,3037 , 3038 et 50 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 123 / 12 observatoires
NOAA -> 120
SWPC -> 132
Flux solaire -> 144
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13030 [N18W44] developed slowly and was mostly quiet. A minor M class flare is possible.
Region 13031 [S26W58] decayed slowly and produced a few C flares. C1 flares: C1.8 @ 11:53, C1.1 @ 17:12, C1.4 @ 17:44, C1.1 @ 22:24 UT.
Region 13032 [N20W33] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13033 [N17W11] decayed further and was quiet.
Region 13034 [N01E00] was quiet and stable. This is likely an SC24 group.
Region 13035 [S18E03] decayed further and was mostly quiet.
Region 13037 [S20W70] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet. C1 flare: C1.4 @ 00:09 UT.
Region 13038 [N15E21] developed slowly and has minor M class flare potential.
New region 13039 [N13W67] emerged with new flux on June 17 and was numbered by SWPC the following day. Slow decay was observed on June 18. C1 flares: C1.8 @ 11:53 UT

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7642 [N13E33] was quiet and stable.
S7646 [N28E45] was quiet and stable.
New region S7649 [N21E18] emerged with a tiny spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 21 juin 2022, 03:38

6 région(s) active(s) RA 3030 , 3031 ,3032 , 3034 ,3035 , 3038 et 52 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 100 / 14 observatoires
NOAA -> 112
SWPC -> 123
Flux solaire -> 137
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13030 [N18W57] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet.
Region 13031 [S25W72] decayed slowly and produced a few C flares. C1 flares: C1.2 @ 12:54 UT.
Region 13032 [N20W47] was quiet and stable.
Region 13033 [N18W20] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13034 [N01W12] was quiet and stable. This is likely an SC24 group.
Region 13035 [S18W12] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13037 [S21W80] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet.
Region 13038 [N15E08] developed quickly gaining spots and area. The region is heading towards a DKC classification but wasn't quite there at midnight. A major flare is possible. A small magnetic delta has formed in a leading central penumbra. C1 flares: C1.0 @ 08:24, C1.4 @ 09:11, C1.3 @ 13:52, C1.6 @ 19:40 UT.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7642 [N13E20] decayed slowly and quietly.
S7646 [N28E37] was quiet and stable.
New region S7650 [N06E24] emerged with a tiny spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 22 juin 2022, 03:31

6 région(s) active(s) RA 3030 , 3032 ,3034 , 3035 ,3038 , 3040 et 44 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 102 / 19 observatoires
NOAA -> 104
SWPC -> 114
Flux solaire -> 139
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13030 [N18W70] decayed slowly producing several C flares. C1 flares: C1.7 @ 21:39 UT
Region 13032 [N20W60] was quiet and stable.
Region 13033 [N20W32] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 13034 [N00W25] was quiet and stable with the main umbra splitting into 2 umbrae. This is likely an SC24 group.
Region 13035 [S18W25] was quiet and stable.
Region 13038 [N15W05] gained area and lost the magnetic delta. While only C class flaring was recorded, a major flare is possible. C1 flares: C1.6 @ 08:01, C1.4 @ 09:08, C1.3 @ 12:18 UT

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7642 [N12E07] decayed slowly and quietly.
S7646 [N28E25] was quiet and stable.
New region S7651 [N27E60] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7652 [S09E16] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7653 [S25E62] emerged with tiny spots.
New region S7654 [S12E84] rotated partly into view with a mature spot.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 23 juin 2022, 03:45

5 région(s) active(s) RA 3032 ,3034 , 3035 ,3038 , 3040 et 30 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 97 / 18 observatoires
NOAA -> 80
SWPC -> 88
Flux solaire -> 129
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Region 13030 [N18W83] decayed slowly and was mostly quiet. C1 flares: C1.2 @ 01:44, C1.4 @ 07:08, C1.0 @ 11:04, C1.1 @ 15:10 UT
Region 13032 [N20W73] was quiet and stable.
Region 13033 [N22W45] was quiet and stable.
Region 13034 [N01W38] was quiet and stable. This is likely an SC24 group.
Region 13035 [S18W36] decayed early in the day, then new flux emerged with an increase in area and spot count.
Region 13038 [N16W18] produced several C flares and has major flare potential. Two small magnetic deltas were observed near the center of the spot group. C1 flares: C1.4 @ 00:53, C1.4 @ 01:08, C1.8 @ 03:43, C1.3 @ 04:05, C1.3 @ 04:42, C1.9 @ 05:40, C1.9 @ 07:21, C1.5 @ 08:45, C1.8 @ 09:52, C1.2 @ 10:15 UT.
New region 13040 [S12E72] rotated into view on June 20 and was numbered the next day by SWPC.

Spotted regions not observed (or interpreted differently) by SWPC:
S7646 [N27E14] was quiet and stable.
S7651 [N27E47] developed slightly and was quiet.
S7653 [S25E50] was quiet and stable.
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 24 juin 2022, 04:09

4 région(s) active(s) RA 3034 , 3035 ,3038 , 3040 et 29 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 72 / 19 observatoires
NOAA -> 69
SWPC -> 76
Flux solaire -> 121
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

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It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 25 juin 2022, 04:06

4 région(s) active(s) RA 3034 , 3035 ,3038 , 3040 et 20 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 68 / 14 observatoires
NOAA -> 60
SWPC -> 66
Flux solaire -> 115
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity.html

Image

Pour le détail sur les régions actives -> "Les données récentes basées sur SDO ne sont actuellement pas disponibles en raison d'une panne de courant importante qui a commencé le 21 juin sur le campus de Stanford "
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 26 juin 2022, 04:10

2 région(s) active(s) RA 3038 , 3040 et 11 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 52 / 19 observatoires
NOAA -> 31
SWPC -> 34
Flux solaire -> 108
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Pour le détail sur les régions actives -> "Les données récentes basées sur SDO ne sont actuellement pas disponibles en raison d'une panne de courant importante qui a commencé le 21 juin sur le campus de Stanford "
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

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Re: Suivi , évolution de l'activité solaire 2022 , 1er trimestre

Message par cartesien66 » 27 juin 2022, 03:34

2 région(s) active(s) RA 3038 , 3040 et 53 TS observées
WDC Silso -> 33 / 17 observatoires
NOAA -> 73
SWPC -> 80
Flux solaire -> 102
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/rep ... eport.html

Image

Pour le détail sur les régions actives -> "Les données récentes basées sur SDO ne sont actuellement pas disponibles en raison d'une panne de courant importante qui a commencé le 21 juin sur le campus de Stanford "
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.
Richard P. Feynman

Image

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